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The Next Big Thing

Not that statistical analysis has reached a dead end with nothing left to unearth, but it's not farfetched that we have reached or are close to reaching a point of diminishing marginal returns.

What do you think is the next big area where major league clubs can make important discoveries?  Better psychological/intelligence testing?  More objective/scientific measurement of tools (batspeed, visual acuity, etc.)?

 

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Brock Lesnar

I believe the quantification of scouting will become the next major area of study. Pitch F/x to be the beginning of the next major revolution, which will eventually seek to quantify all those things which scouts are responsible for (makeup/tools/stuff). However, I also believe that we're far from entirely understanding the game solely through statistical analysis. Defense, baserunning, and yes, "clutch" are all still wonderfully enigmatic, and strides are being made by people like Dan Fox of BP to quantify them more accurately.* Someday, basically everything that goes on during a baseball game will be quantified and available in easy-to-swallow stat form. And the beauty of the game is that there will still be people who say that numbers don't tell the whole story, and they'll be right.

* Tom Tango has set up a new study to see which players are "clutch". However, I believe his basic premise to be flawed. Clutch isn't as much about "which hitter" you'd like to have up at the plate in a pressure situation as who you'd least like to face. Due to the largely static nature of the batting order and the understandable desire to start your best players, it is very hard for a team to select who they would like to have up. However, it remains possible for the opposing team to "choose" which player to face (Walk Papi to face Manny?) Moreover, clutch would intuitively be about who is better at remaining at their level, rather than regressing due to the pressure and more difficult circumstance (closers with fresh arms) of late game situations.

I personally believe clutch is much more readily apparent in who didn't choke than who suddenly became a slugger. Anyway, look for yourself at : http://www.tangotiger.net/clutch/

by GuyinNY on Mar 26, 2008 4:37 PM EDT   0 recs

Injuries

pre-hab, better instruction on an amateur level, more cognizance of pitch counts/IP caps/when not to throw breaking balls, etc...

Defense too, but it seems like incredible strides are already being made there.

Also, better, more undetectable PEDs!

by number_twentyone on Mar 26, 2008 7:50 PM EDT   0 recs

Kinesthetics

Kinesthetics as a field really seems to be affecting baseball as a whole. It ties in with everything from injuries to drafting too, and it's blowing (blown?) up as a field in the 21st century...

Think about it...swing mechanics, pitching mechanics, better running technique, creating more baseball oriented workouts, scouting and the draft, coaching, scouting...ALL that stuff can and probably has been changed by this stuff.

It'll be talked about alot more soon enough IMO.

by SenorGato88 on Mar 27, 2008 12:38 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Hey Gato

Tried to reach you about a fantasy league, but didn't have your email address and the diary got deleted by mods. How goes it?

by Locke000 on Mar 27, 2008 5:46 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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