Community Projection: Casey Kotchman

by John Sickels on Mar 15, 2008 12:24 PM EDT in News Comment 25 comments

Next up is Casey Kotchman. Project

Games
At-bats
Runs
Hits
Doubles
Triples
Homers
RBI
Walks
Strikeouts
Batting average (make sure H/AB calc is correct)
Steals
Caught Stealing

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prediction

Games: 135
At-bats: 459
Runs: 70
Hits: 142
Doubles: 33
Triples:1
Homers: 15
RBI: 75
Walks: 60
Strikeouts: 50
Batting average: .309
Steals: 2
Caught Stealing: 3

The Dodgers won't win a playoff series until the Cool-a-Coo returns.

by mckeeno on Mar 15, 2008 12:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Kotchman prediction

Injury-plagued season results in disappointing .272/.352/.427:

Games: 100
At-bats: 318
Runs: 40
Hits: 86
Doubles: 23
Triples: 2
Homers: 8
RBI: 40
Walks: 39
Strikeouts: 49
Batting average: .272
Steals: 1
Caught Stealing: 2

by JackSpellman on Mar 15, 2008 12:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Good numbers, just not 1B "power" #'s

Games: 145
At-bats: 501
Runs: 74
Hits: 141
Doubles: 40
Triples: 1
Homers: 17
RBI: 76
Walks: 71
Strikeouts: 60
Batting average: .281
Steals: 4
Caught Stealing: 1

by dlpme77 on Mar 15, 2008 1:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

he will hit .397

and lead my fantasy team to victory. Ok, maybe not.

Games - 136
At-bats - 493
Runs - 68
Hits - 137
Doubles - 33
Triples - 1
Homers - 13
RBI - 73
Walks - 54
Strikeouts - 59
AVG/OBA/SLG - .279/.350/.430
Steals - 3
Caught Stealing - 3

by El Duq of Hurl on Mar 15, 2008 2:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

The Kotch

Games: 135
At-bats: 450
Runs: 75
Hits: 131
Doubles: 26
Triples: 1
Homers: 20
RBI: 75
Walks: 60
Strikeouts: 60
AVG/OBP/SLG: .291/.375/.487
Steals: 3
Caught Stealing: 2

Yeah. Not so much.

by twentyseven on Mar 15, 2008 2:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Kotchman 2008

Games: 145
At-bats: 475
Runs: 75
Hits: 145
Doubles: 42
Triples: 2
Homers: 15
RBI: 79
Walks: 55
Strikeouts: 50
AVG/OBP/SLG: .305/.377/.497
Steals: 2
Caught Stealing: 3

by dmitri on Mar 15, 2008 6:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Kotchman

Games: 117
At-bats: 358
Runs: 59
Hits: 102
Doubles: 20
Triples: 1
Homers: 12
RBI: 62
Walks: 30
Strikeouts: 50
AVG: .284
Steals: 2
Caught Stealing: 3

I see him splitting time with Juan Rivera

by lakerfan030 on Mar 15, 2008 6:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Breakout...

Games: 142
At-bats: 521
Runs: 94
Hits: 164
Doubles: 48
Triples: 1
Homers: 22
RBI: 95
Walks: 56
Strikeouts: 51
AVG/OBP/SLG: .315/.388/.537
Steals: 3
Caught Stealing: 4

Pret-ty, pret-ty, pret-ty good.

by uga007 on Mar 15, 2008 8:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

fresh start for Kotchman....well kinda

Here is my prognosis and analysis for his upcoming season:

Games: 124
A/Bs: 394
runs: 57
hits: 121
2bs: 24
3bs: 2
HRs: 17
RBIs: 71
walks: 47
k's: 38
avg: .307
obp: .380
s/b's: 4
c/stealing: 3

I dont see Kotchman having a complete season once again due to injury. When healthy I rate him comparable to Sean Casey and/or Mark Grace. A nice average and nice OBP, but not much power production (especially for a 1b). With the additions to the Angels line-up, I dont see Kotchman being a middle of the order type of hitter. Hitting lower in the order where less power and run production is needed fits Kotchman better than his previous high expectations of Home Runs and RBI's.

Jed Lowrie.....best prospect in history of baseball, isn't that right John?

by Texas Leaguers on Mar 16, 2008 12:10 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

im kind of surprised

at most of these projections..I really think Kotch is capable of more than most are giving him credit for, at the very least, in the average category. He is a .300 hitter IMO

Marcello on Tim Lincecum's 2008: "Yeah, he only pitched 180 innings last year, who knows if he can handle 200?!?!??"

by realityconquest on Mar 16, 2008 1:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

+1

i agree.

i wasn't going to do a projection,
because i overthink them,
but now i will.

by god allah star on Mar 16, 2008 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

threehundred

Games 151
At-bats 508
Runs 72
Hits 154
Doubles 41
Triples 0
Homers 19
RBI 91
Walks 67
Strikeouts 52
Batting average .303
Steals 1
Caught Stealing 1

by god allah star on Mar 16, 2008 10:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Project Kotch

Games 138
At-bats 466
Runs 70
Hits 139
Doubles 31
Triples 1
Homers 16
RBI 80
Walks 56
Strikeouts 59
Batting average .298
Steals 4
Caught Stealing 2

"Motivation, being good is a lot better than being pathetic." - thefasterblade, Project Prospect

by PujolsJunkie on Mar 16, 2008 2:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Kotchman

Games: 149
At-bats: 530
Runs: 69
Hits: 156
Doubles: 34
Triples: 0
Homers: 16
RBI: 84
Walks: 67
Strikeouts: 81
Batting average: .297
Steals: 1
Caught Stealing: 1

by chase035 on Mar 16, 2008 4:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Kotchman

Games: 120
At-bats: 415
Runs: 51
Hits: 112
Doubles: 25
Triples: 1
Homers: 11
RBI: 54
Walks: 44
Strikeouts: 67
Batting average: .270
Steals: 2
Caught Stealing: 2

J-Mac

by jdmcrae on Mar 16, 2008 4:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Kotchman

Games: 140
At-bats:440
Runs:80
Hits:135
Doubles:35
Triples:1
Homers:18
RBI:85
Walks: 75
Strikeouts:60
Batting average: .306
Steals: 5
Caught Stealing:6

by cronie on Mar 16, 2008 6:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Vey Good Hitter

I think the Grace comparions are valid

Games: 150
At-bats:586
Runs:86
Hits:184
Doubles:44
Triples:3
Homers:16
RBI:88
Walks: 78
Strikeouts:52
Batting average: .314
OBP: .395
Slug: .486
Steals: 4
Caught Stealing:4

by Sage Sam on Mar 17, 2008 3:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

kotch has been massively underrated here

Games: 136
At-bats: 526
Runs: 96
Hits: 182
Doubles: 45
Triples: 1
Homers: 18
RBI: 103
Walks: 58
Strikeouts: 34
AVG/OBP/SLUG: .345/.418/.538
Steals: yeah, right
Caught Stealing: 3

unless he gets plunked 23 times, there is no way that kotchman will put up an isolated discipline of greater than .100. his excellent batting eye shows up more in his ability to avoid strikeouts and foul off borderline pitches, than in his ability to draw walks.

ORGANIZATIONAL DEPTH REPORTS (Astros: better than you thought)

variables don't; constants aren't

by overlord on Mar 17, 2008 11:10 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

eh

overdoing his K total a bit. He won't strike out 34 times in 526 AB. All else is reasonable to me.

"Motivation, being good is a lot better than being pathetic." - thefasterblade, Project Prospect

by PujolsJunkie on Mar 17, 2008 1:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Kotch can Hit

Games: 131
At-bats: 478
Runs: 87
Hits: 146
Doubles: 34
Triples: 2
Homers: 20
RBI: 95
Walks: 66
Strikeouts: 51
AVG/OBP/SLUG: .305/.392/.510
Steals: 3
Caught Stealing: 2

by arsenal on Mar 17, 2008 12:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Casey Kotchman

Games: 151
At-bats: 520
Runs: 78
Hits: 160
Doubles: 40
Triples: 1
Homers: 19
RBI: 85
Walks: 50
Strikeouts: 65
Batting average: .30769 (.308)
Steals: 2
Caught Stealing: 2

In an attempt to drive the ball more, I think it will show up in his W totals dropping, although still a nice ratio.

by thomasps3 on Mar 17, 2008 1:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Casey at the bat...

Lets say he puts it all together this season. From one Casey to another.

Games: 144
At-Bats: 458
Runs: 88
Hits: 141
Doubles: 32
Triples: 2
Homers: 25
RBI: 80
Walks: 77
K's: 63

Avg: .308/.407/.550

Steals: 5
CS: 4

I think he'll begin to turn that good batting eye and bat control into quite a bit more HR power this season. Even more selectiveness will allow himk to hit for a better avergae as well.

by casejud on Mar 17, 2008 8:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Kotchman 2008

Games: 140
At-bats: 456
Runs: 81
Hits: 139
Doubles: 42
Triples: 2
Homers: 14
RBI: 85
Walks: 63
Strikeouts: 45
AVG: .304
Steals: 2
Caught Stealing: 2

by King Billy Royal on Mar 17, 2008 11:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

kotchman

Games: 150
At-bats: 550
Runs: 83
Hits: 165
Doubles: 44
Triples: 2
Homers: 16
RBI: 91
Walks: 66
Strikeouts: 71
Batting average: .300
Steals: 2
Caught Stealing: 2

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Mar 18, 2008 4:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs