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Unsung Prospect: Allen Craig

Unsung Prospect: Allen Craig

Here is the comment for Allen Craig from the 2008 Baseball Prospect Book.

SLEEPER ALERT. The Cardinals drafted Craig in the eighth round in 2006, out of the University of California. As you can see, he has been very successful as a pro, and it's a bit of a puzzle why he's received so little attention. He has very good bat speed and power to all fields. His plate discipline needs work, and it's possible his batting average will drop off at higher levels, though the power should remain. He was one of the best hitters in the Florida State League last year, posting an excellent +26 percent OPS, ranking third in batting average, third in OPS, third in homers, and third in SLG. Defense is an issue. He has a strong arm, but lacks consistency with his footwork and has spent time at shortstop, outfield, and third base. He might end up at a corner outfield spot eventually if he can't settle down in the infield, but his bat will play there if current trends continue. He turns 24 in July so he needs to move quickly, but if you are looking for an under-the-radar hitter, Craig is a great candidate. Grade B-.

I think that lays it out pretty well. He has the arm for third base and perhaps additional reps will improve his range and reliability, though it seems unlikely he will become more than average defensively in the infield. If he hits well an average glove will be enough. It will be interesting to see what he does against a full season of advanced pitching, but my guess is that he'll continue to hit impressively in Double-A and Triple-A and may not be fully challenged until he sees major league pitchers.

PECOTA comps include guys like Kevin Kouzmanoff, Steve Pearce, and Mark Reynolds, but also Mark Quinn, Cole Liniak, and Russ Davis. We need to get more data from higher levels to see exactly where Craig stands, but he IS an unsung prospect, in the sense of deserving more attention than he has received.

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i'm curious
Sometimes a hot prospect is a bit like a hot tv star or model or some such thing: there needs be a certain 'buzz' and there are certain players who perform well but, for whatever reason, never get that buzz.

Like John says, Allen Craig can certainly hit and, while by no means an elite prospect, my understanding is the Cards are happy with his 3B defense and, if so, that'd make him a pretty good value. and, yet...no buzz.  

by dealer on Mar 11, 2008 2:53 PM EDT   0 recs

I really like this writeup
Hurrah for the unsung prospect.  Usually when these are posted on the dairies it ends up being a homerfest (which I have done before, see: Danny Valencia) but I really like the evenhanded way that you write John.

Thanks again for the site

I am just now reaching the age of Dusty Baker prospectdum. maybe i should give Krivsky a call

by Terry Ryan Jr on Mar 11, 2008 3:49 PM EDT   0 recs

I hope
no one else in my NL only league reads this, as it is always nice to nab a guy like this as a late-round draft pick
"Dying is no big deal. The least of us will manage that. Living is the trick." - Red Smith

by finman on Mar 11, 2008 4:48 PM EDT   0 recs

Nice feature
I like seeing reports on guys like this. The guy who really isn't get much attention elsewhere, but has a decent chance to be something useful. Sometimes in a case like this if a guy was a 2nd round instead of a 9th round pick, or was a year younger, he'd get more attention.

Often there are flaws which keep a guy from ranking higher, but the guys higher up on lists often have flaws as well. Often it's a guy who doesn't project to be a star, but if a guy has a really solid bat, then good enough tools for an MLB 3B or LF ought to be enough.

The guys with great star potential tools often get recognition whether they put up numbers or not. And the guys with great bats get recognition even if they're limited to DH. The guys who are often under rated seem to me to be the guys with solid average tools and not star ceilings, but proven bats with good swings. Maybe you won't get many star players there, but a higher percentage of guys who turn into solid useful players.

by acerimusdux on Mar 11, 2008 5:11 PM EDT   0 recs

Nice column
Really like the idea.  Any chance to get an Unsung Prospect report of Peter Bourjos?

by LAangels07 on Mar 11, 2008 6:52 PM EDT   0 recs

i could see him becoming
ty wigginton, or at peak maybe garrett atkins.

thnx john.

by erik on Mar 11, 2008 8:39 PM EDT   0 recs

Reynolds/D'Antona vs. Craig/Freese
I liked seeing the Reynolds comp above, because since the day the Cards traded for David Freese, I've been wondering how similar the 3B situation in St. Louis this year will be to that of the one in Arizona last year. If Troy Glaus spends his requisite time on the DL this year, it will be interesting to see if Craig -- who could be ready with the bat, but not the glove -- gets bypassed like D'Antona did last year for a more consistent all-around player such as Freese.

by StickRat on Mar 12, 2008 12:37 AM EDT   0 recs

i think
Craig is above Freese in the Cards' minds, so I imagine that if Glaus is injured (or, if you prefer, when Glaus is injured) if Craig has had at least a half season in AA and performed well, he'd be the call-up.

I'd expect him to do well -- by all indications the kid can hit. Good call by John to see him as overlooked.

On the other hand, these are prospects, so that can change.

by scooter on Mar 13, 2008 11:34 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Craig vs. Freese
I like Allen Craig, a lot. Two years ago during the Brennan Boesch craze at Cal, I was saying "Allen Craig", and people called me nuts. Not that Boesch isn't a decent prospect, but the disparity between them didn't make sense to me. Despite being the best hitter on that Cal team in '06, however, Craig dropped to the 8th round, while Boesch was taken in the 3rd. Why? Craig's defense was going to be problematic. Is it still? I personally don't know. I am tending to believe so, since John raised the issue of lack of range. That may have more an impact on a 3B callup than the offensive abilities.

by StickRat on Mar 13, 2008 4:14 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Yeah
people called me nuts? That is funny? Allen Craig is a good player, I never doubt about that.

by Ellenlessd123 on Mar 17, 2008 6:22 AM EDT   0 recs

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