So, I figured we could use an Oscars thread.  Here are my picks :

Who I want to win?
Best Picture : Michael Clayton
Best Actor : Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Supporting Actor : Hal Hollbrook
Best Actress : Ellen Page
Best Supporting Actress : Cate Blanchett
Best Director : Jason Reitman, Juno

Who do I think will win?
Best Picture : Atonement
Best Actor : Daniel Day-Lewis (maybe Tommy Lee Jones)
Best Supporting Actor : Javier Bardem
Best Actress : Marion Cottilard
Best Supporting Actress : Ruby Dee
Best Director : The Coen Bros.

And Juno better win for soundtrack!

What do you guys think? Who are your picks?  What's your commentary?  Insert question here