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Why do teams shun co-closing combos?

Two closers. One right hander and one left hander. They switch roles as setup man and closer depending on the hitters who are coming up. Sort of the way you have a speedy running back for potential big gains and a bulldozing running back for garunteed small yards.

Not only does it let you match up better, it leaves you a solid plan B if one of the guys go down with an injury (Most interim closers have no experience closing in the year they are asked to step in). Not to mention the potential money you save if you have a closing vacancy.

Lets take a look at the Mets for example. They can sign K Rod for about 15 million a year or trade for George Sherill and sign Trevor Hoffman for an estimated 5 million a year. What I was hoping for originally was Damaso Marte and Juan Cruz at 5 million a year each but Marte didn't even explore the market. Yes its likely that K Rod/Fuentes/Putz/Jenks will do a much better job in the 9th inning, but what happens if one of them gets injured (BJ Ryan, Billy Wagner) or goes cold (Brad Lidge 06, Fuentes 07)? You would then be paying 10-15 million for an injured or ineffective closer and everyone else's role in the bullpen gets tougher. On the other hand if one guy goes cold, the other should still be servicable closing solo.

As you all know, the saves statistic is quite deceiving so unless you have a top 10 closer I believe all teams should employ a pair of right-left co-closers.

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Cash Money

Grooming a setup man to close keeps him way cheaper before your closer ends up leaving seems to be the most likely reason to me. The thought being that those types of guys will step up eventually when the fellow moves on.

Also, don’t know that BJ Ryan is the best example, since Accardo did a pretty damned good job in his absence, and the Jays had multiple people with closing experience. They just had an established pecking order with Ryan at the end.

Not that it would be a bad idea. I can definitely see it being a good idea for some teams.

Rios is the next Juan Gonzales, thats right, I said it.

by KaoticKlown on Nov 30, 2008 3:40 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Unless you have both a dominant righty and lefty, it wouldn’t work. When people talk about traits that make a good closer, terms like “the right make up” and “strong mentality” get thrown around a lot. People rarely talk about the most important quality of a closer though, and that is one must be a great pitcher. By this, I mean a good closer has to be able to get any hitter out in any situation. When you’re talking about dominant closers — Mariano Rivera, Dennis Eckersley, John Franco — righty/lefty matchups don’t matter, because effective closers can get any kind of hitter out. Platooning closers by trying to match up righties and lefties would get exploited by good lineups, because you have to get three outs, and if (let’s say) Boston has Youkilis, Ortiz, and Bay coming up, you either have to have (using the closers you mentioned) Marte face Youkilis, or Cruz face Ortiz. It’s better to have one closer that can be depended upon to face all three.

by StickRat on Nov 30, 2008 5:00 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yes but the problem is there are only about 5-10 elite closers in the game. Everyone else is only a “closer” because of they have been appointed that role and I don’t buy that they all have that bulldog mentality to finish a game. The bottom 50% of appointed closers in this game would probably not do much better than their replacement. Huston Street is a closer but I think there are about 15-30 relievers with no closing experience that would do just as well as him.

To answer your concern about facing a good lineup. I don’t think any closer is a guarantee to save a 1 run game with Youkilis, Ortiz and Bay coming up. And if managers don’t have a problem with Juan Cruz or Damaso Marte setting up in the last few years against a similar lineup then why why he have a problem with them closing against that lineup? Set up men are groomed to be closers these days because they treat their 8th inning as the last inning of the game.

Maybe this is not the best route for a big market team but I think mid market teams could field better results by signing 2 relievers for 10 million instead of 1 brand name closer for 10+ million.

by BLieve on Nov 30, 2008 3:51 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It's just not that simple

One of the biggest things you’re overlooking is stability in the bullpen. The closer committee idea seems nice, but in reality it’s just too hard to manage – even with a few studs. Having one guy at the back of the bullpen allows you to more easily manage your set-up guys. I’ve already pointed out that I don’t agree with the “closer mentality” cliche that gets thrown around all the time – but at the same time, not all pitchers are cut out for that role from a physical standpoint.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 4:06 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Ay but this is no committee

This is pitcher A and pitcher B. 2 pitchers that would be regarded as set up men being designated roles. If pitcher A is lefty and sees two lefty bats in the 8th inning, he WILL know in advance to get his ass up whereas if its a right handed order, he will also know to prepare for the 9th.

by BLieve on Dec 1, 2008 2:56 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yep.

And then it all goes to shit with pinch hitters.

by slurve on Dec 1, 2008 8:27 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think the premise of this thread is off just a little

the question shouldn’t be why don’t teams use R/L closer committees, but why do teams use closers at all? Why would anyone hold back their best relief pitcher for a game situation that may not (in fact is usually not) the riskiest situation for the team. Because the definition of save is so broad, and managers stick to relief roles, closers often come into games with no one on base and a 2 or 3 run lead. Most relievers will succeed in that role over 90% of the time. Teams like Cleveland, San Diego, Tampa, and Arizona (whether intentionally or not) made better use of their bullpens by having their best relievers as set up guys that they could insert into games in high leverage situations.

The problem is that reliever usage is often dictated by a stat (saves) that has little to no relation to the value of the relief situation.

by vaclipper on Nov 30, 2008 6:36 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Don't agree

Closer by committee has been tried and it has failed every time. The latest was the Red Sox about 5 years ago. It failed miserably and they stuck Kim (who gets blown up by lefties) in there and went out the following year and got Keith Foulke. I don’t buy into the “mental toughness” to be a closer as much as many who defend using closers do, but there certainly is something to be said for pitchers being more comfortable/productive when they are have a regular routine. Like StickRat points out – they need to be effective against both sides of the plate, specialists would be exploited with pinch hitting / switch hitters, which also addresses your assertion of using best relievers earlier in the game. Typically they can use their set-up guys in specific situations that will allow for a high success rate. A lefty specialist in the 7th inning is less likely to see a pinch hitter, where a closer is going to face a line-up that is pulling out all the stops.

I don’t think the premise of this thread is off a little – i think your point is off a little. The broad definition of saves is not what absolutely controls how a manager uses his pitchers. It has definately placed an over-emphasis on the importance of the save stat itself and has lead to some disproportionate salaries, but it is what is.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 7:53 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

absolutely agree

on the “mental toughness” angle….it’s a different mentality, but no more strong than the 7th inning guy who has to come in with one out and the bases loaded, or the starter who has to work himself out of a jam for six innings before handing it off, etc….each job has its own mindset…and that’s where i think the struggle ends up because you don’t allow a guy to really get into that mindset before the game gets going….

i guess the best example of a situation that’d work well right now in the majors would be atlanta with mike gonzalez and raffy soriano…the problem there is injuries with both, but they’re not the typical righty/lefty duo….they both can get guys out from both sides of the plate….let’s face it…if a guy of either hand can get both sides of the plate out on a consistent basis, he’s either starting or an elite closer….so the premise of having two guys who can do it well is already misconstrued right there….

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting different results.

by biggentleben on Nov 30, 2008 11:14 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think thats a great example of a duo that could work out. For those that feel one pitcher MUST be appointed as closer please consider this. If you appoint Gonzalez as the closer and you have 2 lefty bats coming up in the 8th inning vs Soriano, I think it would be backwards to say I am saving Gonzalez for the 9th inning because he is my closer.

I am not asking for a bullpen by committee. Short and middle relievers throwing 85 are not gonna save any games for me. But the fact that so many set up men are groomed to be closers show that the roles are not too far apart. I think as long as a manager makes it clear to his co-closers what their roles are, it would be quite effective.

by BLieve on Nov 30, 2008 3:59 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

There are plenty of examples of successful committees

if you go back further……Bullpen committees worked just fine BTL (before Tony Larussa)…some excellent examples include the Yankees of the late 70s Gossage/Lyle/Davis, Reds of the mid 70s Eastwick/McAnaney/Borbon/Carrol and early 90s (Myers/Dibble/Charlton) and the Mets of the late 80s with various combinations of McDowell/Orosco/Myers/Aguilara/Sisk

The committee in Boston didn’t work because the pitchers weren’t any good. Show me a committee with good relievers that failed and I’ll concede the point. The only reason committees have been tried recently is because there is no or little talent in the bullpen. The reason they haven’t worked is that they are destined to failure before they begin. If you go back further, there are plenty of good committees that thrived for successful teams. The current structure is driven by contracts that reward saves and managers/GMs who are afraid to try something new (actually old).

by vaclipper on Nov 30, 2008 11:54 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Boston

and how long did they try it before the media forced them to go to one guy? You don’t give something a chance for a month or two and if it doesn’t work perfectly, give up. If the premise is strong, you stick with it through a long enough sample size to get reliable results. The Red Sox didn’t do this at all.

by DrunkIrish on Nov 30, 2008 12:25 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think

it had more to do with it’s lack of success than it did the media.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 12:54 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Um...

Boston’s relievers sucked at the time. The fact that your team doesn’t have anyone capable of locking down close games doesn’t invalidate the idea of closer by committee.

by slamcactus on Nov 30, 2008 1:09 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Um...

No shit their relievers sucked. My point was it didn’t work, so they shut it down, not because the media. The media was on them because it wasn’t working.

Shitty relievers —> committee system didn’t work -→ media criticism.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 1:15 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

+1

It wasnt the scheme that failed, it was the crappy players. You cant have a closer by commitee if the commitee members are crappy.

by alskor on Nov 30, 2008 7:04 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Boston's was by design

This is Theo we’re talking about here – he purposely “constructed” the pen so it would rotate closers in and out. The pitchers weren’t that bad – they just couldn’t handle the situation as their performance didn’t hold up by being put into situations that were more difficult than they usually were put into.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 7:23 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Judging Boston's results based on 2 months of save situations...

is ridiculous. I’m sure you typically understand sample sizes, so I’m gonna spare you that sermon. The fact is, if it wasn’t for intense pressure by the media in Boston (where the media has as much influence over a team as anywhere in the country) the Red Sox management wouldn’t have scrapped the idea over two months of subpar production.

Face it, a lot of people simply hate the closer by committee. It’s different. It’s less sexy and entertaining than a swaggering, six-shooting closer. It’s bad for the player’s association, because you’d see fewer big reliever contracts to washed-up “proven closers”. And, finally, it’s something statheads generally support. That’s enough to stop idiots like Dan Shaugnessy dead in their tracks right there.

by DrunkIrish on Dec 1, 2008 12:12 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Not really

It was costing Boston games, so they stopped. Sure the media is a source of pressure, but to believe they were THE major factor in ceasing the committe is just… for lack of a better term ignorant. When batters go in the tank for 2 months they get benched. When pitchers suck for 6-8 weeks at a time, they get sent to the pen. The committe experiment in Boston was no different. Theo is a stathead and is not exactly someone who cowers to sports radio and the papers. If he tought the idea was worth a shit, he would have gone out and gotten the pieces to make a more legitimate go at it. If not him, surely Beane or one of the other saberGM’s would have by now – especially ones in mid to small markets.

by slurve on Dec 1, 2008 4:03 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

...

Does the name Andrew Friedman ring any bells to you?

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Dec 1, 2008 10:17 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I know

who he is – not sure what you’re getting at.

by slurve on Dec 2, 2008 9:37 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

When the chips were down, Troy Percival was nowhere to be seen

In the playoffs, they correctly used Grant Balfour and David Price in the most critical situations, not Percival or, since he was hurt, their secondary “closer,” Dan Wheeler.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Dec 2, 2008 2:10 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Percival

Why, then, did Friedman allocate so much of his payroll to Percival? Percival was dealing with back injuries through October, which likely led to the Rays’ decision to leave him off the roster. Further, Price is a superior pitcher to Percival, and did function as a closer in the postseason.

by GuyinNY on Dec 2, 2008 3:48 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yep

They went to a rotation due to injury – not by design and by the end of the WS, Price was pretty well established as his closer for the time being.

by slurve on Dec 2, 2008 5:11 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Pointing at a few

exceptions doesn’t mean it should be a universal model. If it worked so well, why didn’t they stick with it? Again, most relievers that you were talking about above are placed in situations that give them a high success rate. Couple that with pitchers needing to be creatures of habit and factor in a little economic force and you have the culture that we have in regards to closers. A committee can be pulled off for stretches, but it is harder to do and you need the right pieces – it isn’t a sustainable model over a longer period.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 12:36 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Worked well for the Rays

After Percival went down, Maddon mixed and matched this year. It was pretty shrewd.

by demondeaconsbaseball on Nov 30, 2008 12:34 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Small sample

size and that bullpen is full of studs.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 12:38 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

which is the real point

“Closer by committee” never works because the members of the committees always suck. It’s almost a tautology. “Closer by committees” implies no reliever good enough to “close”.

If you put 3 good relievers in the bullpen and let them alternate closing, you’ll do fine. If you put three mediocre ones back there, you’ll blow a lot of leads. If you have one good guy, you stick him back there to close all the games if you’re the manager because a blown lead in the 9th inning gets a lot more play in the press than a blown lead in the 7th. It’s not that complicated.

The reason you have a “closer” is because most teams don’t have a lot of good bullpen arms. Teams will have one shut-down guy, two at best. If you have two guys, well, chances are one was there first and has already taken the “closer” role. If that guy is doing a good job, you don’t risk the bad press at the first blown save by screwing around with it. If he’s not doing well (ie, had two out of three bad outings last week), he obviously doesn’t have the “mentality” to close, so you stick him as the setup guy and have your other stud close. Which, again, works well only if the other guy is a good reliever. If he’s not very good, well, then you’re trying a CLOSER BY COMMITTEE.

by mraver on Nov 30, 2008 1:03 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That's pretty much

what I’ve been saying. There aren’t enough relef pitchers to go around to make it a feesable system. It’s not rocket science – if it was a sustainable system – it would get used. No one on this board is going to revolutionalize the way pitchers are used. It’s been thought of before, it’s been used before. It works is short stretches with the right pieces – it’s not a model that will work over a long period.

by slurve on Nov 30, 2008 1:21 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That's fair

I suppose a more prudent approach would be 3-4 solid bullpen pitchers and a good closer. A smaller bullpen means a larger bench, which means more fun with platoons and pinch-hitters and such.

by demondeaconsbaseball on Nov 30, 2008 1:48 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

doesn't work

many teams have tried…..as cooky as it may sound, it takes a mindset to know you’re the last line and you’re supposed to be the last guy that pitches that day….i can’t tell you why it works like that, but i can tell you from filling starter, middle relief, and closing roles myself that closing requires a different mindset….and usually what happens is if you’ve got more than one guy supposed to fill that role, they either never achieve that mindset or they’re in that mindset every time they come in the game and have issues being taken out when they’re not closing that game….

a couple of examples off the top of my head would be the braves the second half of the year that they traded rocker….they tried a multiple guy situation, but once smoltz came back from surgery, they latched on immediately to one guy filling the role….the red sox also tried it with a pen with brandon lyon, alan embree, and mike timlin before going out and getting byung-hyun kim….

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting different results.

by biggentleben on Nov 30, 2008 7:25 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

At least,

that’s what Dan Shaugnessy tells me.

by DrunkIrish on Nov 30, 2008 12:26 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

really?

never read him….had to google him to even know who he was

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting different results.

by biggentleben on Nov 30, 2008 1:28 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

One of the most famous sportswriters in the country.

Unfortunately, anyway. Coined the term, “Red Sox Nation”.

Anyway, what you said (“doesn’t work, many teams have tried”) is simply wrong. The save is a relatively new statistic, and the “closer” is a relatively new position. Baseball only saw about 80 years of “closer by committee” before the stat that spawned its own position was conceived.

by DrunkIrish on Dec 1, 2008 12:18 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Selective memory

Those 80 years are characterized by a much, much higher CG% than today’s game. A proper closer would have been a waste of an arm during that era, and bullpens did much less high-leverage work, anyway. Remember that starters often relieved.

by GuyinNY on Dec 1, 2008 12:43 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So...

the Saves stat (invented in 1969) is what eventually spawned the designation of a “closer” on each team. Did the modern game begin existing in 1970? Bullpens are certainly a bigger part of the game now, but it’s not as if each team didn’t carry 10 pitchers for at least several decades prior to saves being invented.

And, if you want to go back and look at saves totals (bb-ref keeps track of ‘em retroactively) of teams in, say, the 1950’s, you’ll see that they’re spread around quite a bit. And, lo and behold, there were even a few of those relievers that didn’t suffer nervous breakdowns from the pressure.

by DrunkIrish on Dec 1, 2008 1:12 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

okay....

what you’re arguing for is the absence of closers, not a closer by committee system….you’re arguing for every guy being a situational guy and never knowing when he may be put in….and that is entirely different than having 2-4 of the guys in your pen being designated as possible closers on any given night….that’s what i’m arguing against….so we’re really on two different points….

as a former reliever, i could honestly go for the “no one has a set role” system…but not the “closer by committee” one….when you have to be ready to have your number called at any moment, you’re more mentally ready than if you’re not sure if it’s you or the other guy who will get the call in the 8th inning, then the 9th inning….the latter is a closer by committee system…the former i think could be very effective, but you’d have to constantly develop phenomenol pitchers in your system or sign them off the scrap heap because once free agency hit, you’d lose them all to bigger contracts and set roles that other teams have….the no-role bullpen would be okay, but it’s just not something that would work in baseball’s current economy or game play, sadly….

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting different results.

by biggentleben on Dec 1, 2008 10:10 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

not from the northeast

so i typically read national writers or local ones (sid f’n hartman, baby!)….and in the absence of newspaper popularity anymore, i would wager that being a famous sportswriter would require a job with somewhere like espn, fox sports, cbs, mlb.com, etc. where a national audience would be reading….my great grandma subscribed to a chicago area newspaper for years while living in various parts of the country because she liked their cubs beat writer….people just don’t do that anymore….

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting different results.

by biggentleben on Dec 1, 2008 10:14 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The Shank

is on ESPN all the time.

by alskor on Dec 1, 2008 1:26 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don't know, but it cost the A's at least one game this year

when they somehow managed to have Huston Street face 4 straight lefties, then Jerry Blevins face something like 3 out of 4 righties.

Keep in mind both of those guys allow something like a .500 OPS to guys of their handedness and about a .750 to the other side.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Nov 30, 2008 2:39 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The problem with the Co-Closer theory is that there are humans involved…..

1) Money. More and more pitchers are getting paid for racking up “Saves”, thus if you are a relief pitcher/prospect who is looking to get paid, you want to be a full closer and will not be happy unless you are in that role.

And before you suggest that if you pay them closer money, they shouldn’t care what role they are used in, Realize that we’re also talking about future contracts….a couple years out of an full closers role and people will have doubts about if he can still handle it, taking money out of their next contract. Realize that we are also talking about endorsements, which the pitcher might not recieve being in a “Co-Closer” system. Even if the money is the same up front, it doesn’t necessairily mean the future money is close to the same.

2) Prestige. The 9th inning, like it or not, is viewed as the most important inning, people remember who celebrated the big outs that clinch championships, as a Mets fan I remember Jesse Orosco throwing his glove in the air after saving the final game of the 86 series. I’m sure Phillies fans will remember Brad Lidge out there with his teammates last October. Those are the moments that all closers aspire to be a part of…….and unfortunately, not enough people remember who induced the double play in the 7th inning that made the 9th inning celebration possible.

3) The action of making it happen is far more complicated then you would think. Lets face it, the top rate “Closers” are not interested in being a part of a “Co-Closer” role, they believe they can handle the role by themselves. Hell, the middle tier of “Closers” are not interested in a “Co-Closer” role either. Thus, you would be forced to settle for second rate pitchers, or developing your own pitchers, ones that would be happy just being given the opportunity to close some games, when building such a bullpen. Of course, when you are settling for second rate pitchers from the beginning you cannot possibly expect to see elite results, that’s why several previous “Closer by Committee” systems have failed. And of course, once they become established in their “Co-Closer” roles they’ll likely seek greener pastures ($$$), so there will be a high turnover rate there even if it does show some reason to think it might be successful.

It sounds better on paper then it actually plays out in reality.

by adropofvenom on Nov 30, 2008 11:53 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It's like advocating the Dvorak keyboard, or single-payer health care in the US

Does it make objectively more sense than the current system? Yes. But it’s a non-starter because there are so many entrenched interests against it.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Dec 1, 2008 12:12 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

This...

is the first opposing opinion that has made any sense.

Nice work.

by DrunkIrish on Dec 1, 2008 12:20 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Path dependence

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Dec 1, 2008 2:32 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Great points but...

1. Money. I am in no way shape or form asking the Yankees or Red Sox to find a co-closer for Rivera or Papelbon. I am talking about the Damaso Martes and Juan Cruz who would be looked at as setup men and giving them a chance or half a chance to save.

Manager: Hey Juan do you want to co-close or set up?
Juan: (Thinks about future contract) Co-closing sounds good.

I think Huston Street is the best current example of this. Yes of course he wants to close but you will likely find 15-30 relievers with no closing experience that can probably do a comparable job so why should a team GIVE him the full closer role?

2. Of course they want recognition. Now will Cruz get more recognition setting up or co-closing? Once again I understand you are referring to elite closers, so unless you have a top 10 closer in the league, this should at least be considered, right?

3. I agree with this. Once a set-up man moves up to the ranks of co-closer he will try to find a full time closing vacancy. And if he did such a good job to warrant that expectation than I am happy as hell as a manager because I just paid 5 million a year for 3 years for a serviceable closer. If he sucked in his role as a co-closer I just paid 5 million a year for a middle relief pitcher, no one should cry about this.

My point is there are only about 5-10 elite closers and 5-10 more good closers. Take a look at the statistics of the bottom 50% of closers and tell me with a straight face they are not replaceable.

by BLieve on Dec 1, 2008 2:52 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Leverage

I think the closer concept is off base (no pun). Right now, the closer is used in the ninth inning of every game in which the lead is three runs or fewer. Why?

Where can a closer help more — pitching the final two innings in a one-run game or pitching a single inning in a two-run game and another in a three-run game? I think the answer is rather obvious.

Sometimes the key situation of a game doesn’t even come in a set up or closing situation. It can come in the fifth, sixth or seventh inning, that inning when the bases somehow get loaded in a one- or two-run game. Why not bring the closer in then?

Or to follow through on this particular thread, if a lefty is needed, why not bring in your best lefty if the closer is right-handed and might be more useful later? Or vice versa. Why not do situational managing?

I guess my question is, would it be too much to ask for a manager and pitching coach to figure out which pitcher is best for a given situation, rather than doing everything by rote?

by sharksrog on Dec 1, 2008 3:07 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I see what you’re saying but that is beyond closer by committee level, that is counter attack level.

I think pitchers have problems with that because they prefer a defined role. I think closers are established because it hurts a team much more mentality to have a lead blown at the end of a game than in the middle. If you use Mariano in the 6th, who do you go to if the game is close in the 9th?

by BLieve on Dec 1, 2008 3:12 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Good points

You make some very good points here. This definitely DOES go against the defined role concept, although my next idea goes right WITH it.

But even though baseball is less a team sport than the more action-oriented sports of football, basketball, hockey and even soccer, players can be taught to do what is best for the team and always to be ready, just as in the other sports. If this approach is better and leads to more winning, it likely will be accepted and even embraced.

As for using Mariano in the sixth inning and then wondering whom to use to close the game, that’s a good point. But my thinking is that if Mariano ISN’T used in the sixth, there may not be a game to save.

If you use your best pitcher at the game’s most important time, you have your lesser pitchers pitching lesser innings. While I realize that isn’t perfect, it does seem the best utlilization of assets. And if you were a set up man or a sixth- or seventh-inning guy, wouldn’t you relish the occasional opportunity to take on a more important role, or at least one that is considered more important by today’s standards?

Wouldn’t that also help “train” lesser pitchers for more important roles if needed due to failure, injury or merely the evolution of the team?

While the two ideas I have presented aren’t likely to be used anytime soon, I do think major league managers and pitching coaches could benefit from thinking outside the box. Baseball is the SLOWEST of the major sports to adopt new ideas, at least according to Michael Lewis, who has gotten close enough to more than one of them to write books around the sport.

If a team can use new ideas to gain a competitive advantage, isn’t that part of what management and coaching are all about?

by sharksrog on Dec 1, 2008 3:39 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Usage and the Option

In the short term it might be optimal to have your bullpen ace in the game in the big situation in the sixth or with a one run lead in the eight, but in the long term, major league managers are pretty efficient with their useage of the bullpen aces. You can see the “improvement” in bullpen ace usage in October when there is less of tomorrow to play for. Think Smoltz vs Lidge circa 2004.

Closers this day in age are going to make ~65 appearances and log ~70 IP. They aren’t going to log 90+ innings on a regular basis like the Lyles and Geese of the world. This has more to do with the tougher pitching conditions than the save rule. For the most part, managers have closers pitch the ninth to protect their arms.

The limited number of games/innings a bullpen ace can make excentuates the option. While the sixth inning situation might be the most important in the game, it might not. If you wait until the ninth, you have more complete information to help you make a better decision. Sure, you end up “wasting” a few innings this way, but overall, this is probably the most efficient way to use your bullpen ace. The evidence to support this is that the leaders in leverage index are typically dominated by closers (the percieved bullpen ace).

by rwperu34 on Dec 1, 2008 5:39 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Another idea

How about taking a different kind of role approach — one where every pitcher knows he will get regular work and knows his specific role? One with takes advantages of different pitching styles and coreographs lefties with righties?

Why not take our team’s five starters and match them up with five “finishers.” The starters would be coupled with the “finishers” by handedness and by style. If the starter were a flame-throwing right-hander, he would be matched with a “finisher” who was a southpaw, a soft tosser, or — better yet — both.

The starter would pitch as long as the game situation dictated — including completing the game on rare occasions. But when it was time to pinch hit or to bring in a reliever, the “finisher” would be called. That pitcher would then finish the game as long as the situation so dictated. If not, he would turn the game over to one of the closers — preferably one left-handed and one right-handed, to better provide for situational use.

The idea would be to turn the lineup around with the “finisher,” so that if trouble arose late in the game, the closer of opposite hand could be called in for a highly critical situation.

It is even possible this methodology could be used with just four starters and four “finishers,” since there would be less pressure on the starter to pitch deeply into the game. Then with two or three closers, a pitching staff of “just” 10 or 11 pitches could be used, actually giving a team a real bench.

Oh, and while there would be teamwork and a set role between and for the closer and his “finisher,” there would also be a healthy competition. If a starter were failing in his duties as a starter, the “finisher” could take his spot in the rotation, with the former starter becoming the new “finisher.”

Don’t know how practical either of these two ideas are, but at least they would offer something besides the status quo.

Clearly the first approach would work best with two or three good relievers who could flourish in tough situations, regardless of inning. The second approach would work best with a plethora of pitchers who could pitch starter or at least long relief innings and who had some complementary features. And with two solid relievers for closers, one of each hand.

But the beauty of such an approach is that most pitchers are starters until they have to be converted. Using five starters and five “finishers” takes advantage of the pitchers’ natural ability to pitch fairly long innings. Each of the ten long-ining pitchers could gear up for their particular day to pitch. There would be no need to overwork a starter, since his “finisher” would stand at the ready.

An opposing manager who liked to turn his lineup around to take advantage of matchups would find his hands a bit more tied, perhaps to the point of frustration. And our team’s manager would be in fine position to set up and take advantage of matchups nearly all game long. With a “finisher” at the ready, pinch hitting for the starter could be done more strategically.

Good grief! If a team is going to have 12 or 13 pitchers, why not take advantage of ALL of them? Couldn’t hurt with building the team concept, and might even help keep arms fresher. And wouldn’t it be REALLY amazing if the concept could be done with 10 or 11 pitchers? Then there would actually be players available to pinch hit when needed.

by sharksrog on Dec 1, 2008 3:30 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Good Pitching

There’s just not enough good pitching to go around. The way it’s done, you need 3-6 good pitchers. Your way, you’d need 6-10. It’s just a lot more efficient to get a few good starters and a dominant ace at the back of the pen, then make do in the middle.

by rwperu34 on Dec 1, 2008 5:50 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

four man rotation another option

Another option that I recall Tony Larussa tried a few years back and which I think had a lot of merit was the four man rotation. I’m not talking about going back to the days of Cy Young or even of Tom Seaver, 70-80 pitches per start should keep most starters fresh enough to come back on three days rest and not infrequently a fourth day or rest would show up due to an off day. You could then have a couple of guys including the guy who would otherwise be your fifth starter coming in and pitching a couple of innnings (ideally a lefty folowing a right or vica versa) in games that are going well and a couple of other guys who would come in if the game wasn’t going so well. That should get you to the 7th and from there you could go with traditional roles or mix that up as well.

My recollection is that Mcdowell/Orosco worked quite well for the Mets, in the mid-80s, but of course there has been a redefinition of the closer role since then specifically since Eckersley. Bill James and others have written extensively on the point that the highest leverage situations aren’t always the begin the 9th inning save. If Mariano Rivera is so good isn’t he the one who should come in with the bases loaded up a couple of runs with one out in the 8th, get out of that mess and then let the next best guy finish? The problem is that the players agent would be complaining that he was not being used appropriately and the media has the idea of setup man and closer so fixed in their brains that you would never be able to convince them that Mo hadn’t been demoted. I think if a team were foftuitous enough to get a lefty and a right simultaneously who are both very good and neither of which has been closing already that you might be able to try this out, but it would take a very strong manager and gm to avoid having this lumped as another case of closer by committee.

by Dalman on Dec 1, 2008 1:05 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Rivera

is a terrbile example. He ususally did come in, if not to start of the 8th inning, he was in before the end of the inning. Mariano getting 5 or 6 out saves was commonplace during his prime.

I agree that the money is a big factor, but I haven’t seen anyone come close to convincing me that it plays as big of a part as it’s being passed of as.

by slurve on Dec 1, 2008 2:24 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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