Crisp to KC for Ramon Ramirez
Confirmation from MLB.com.
Good deal for the Sox here, in my opinion. Crisp is a good defensive outfielder with a weak bat, and Ramirez was one of the better relievers in baseball last year. Coco's the guy most people know, but the addition of Ramirez to an already great Boston bullpen will help them a lot more than a 4th-OF type who makes too much money.
And again, the Royals bring in a player that's not going to help them much now, or in the future. I guess the talk about valuing OBP in the organization was just hot air, as I don't think Crisp's career .331 mark is going to turn any tides offensively. Bad deal, in my opinion.
Any thoughts on the deal? Am I wrong?
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Perhaps
They can flip Crisp for Andy Marte or Chuck Finley?
by gogotabata on
Nov 19, 2008 12:33 PM EST
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Oh, what sweet sweet irony.
Only if they can throw in Kelly Shoppach…
"That is like saying my ‘upside’ is Brad Pitts face, with Einstein’s brain, and Ron Jeremy’s unit. It is nice to dream, but that ceiling isn’t going to happen." (King Billy Royal)
by drjayphd on
Nov 19, 2008 12:36 PM EST
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I still say Dayton Moore is on his way out.
Jacobs and Crisp… you spent the time after the season ended analyzing your team and these are the solutions you came up with??? Trade two moderately valuable relievers for two below average offensive players at their positions? Really??
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 12:44 PM EST
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re
what else are they going to do? they don’t have much of a farm system to make big moves, they don’t have the budget to sign a Sabathia, and their only players with any trade value are young guys they are trying to build around (Gordon/Buttler).
The Royals plan is too build from within and make value trades when they pop up. Jacobs and Crisp aren’t world savers, but they are exactly what they need. Relatively inexpensive stop-gap players until the farm system kicks in.
If by 2010 the Royals MLB roster isn’t filled with young talent, then fire Moore
by ScottAZ on
Nov 19, 2008 1:06 PM EST
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I sort of buy that
but theyve traded guys they had control over for multiples year for guys they control for less years at expensive prices… thats a pretty big waste of assets on a non-contender.
If Jacobs or Crisp were any sort of premium players… sure…but theyre below average options…
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 1:36 PM EST
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re
yeah, but I guess they look at it like this: if you don’t even have a capable CFer, then there really isn’t a huge need for middle relief.
I’m not defending what they do either. I think the Royals are terrible and I don’t see light at the end of the tunnell when they keep bringing in Reggie Sanders/Jose Guillen types every year. They are better off keeping that extra $7/yr and investing that in Latin America or on premium draft players.
by ScottAZ on
Nov 19, 2008 3:27 PM EST
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Ramirez and Nunez
They have value. The Royals had a very good pen with Soria at the top and these guys and others. These trades are absolutely idiotic.
by wobatus on
Nov 19, 2008 3:38 PM EST
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Yes, they both do have value
And both Ramirez and Nunez are coming off career years. I assume you’ve heard the term “buy low, sell high”, yes? Moore has shown that he can find quality relievers off the scrap heap (Horacio Ramirez anyone? Robinson Tejada….hell, he got Ramirez for Jorge de la f’n Rosa).
It seems like a great strategy to find these relievers at a minimal cost, build up their value, and flip them for higher-valued assets.
by deezle on
Nov 19, 2008 6:36 PM EST
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Horacio Ramirez is not good
The fact that he happened to throw a handful of reasonable innings for the Royals this season was blind luck.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 7:16 PM EST
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Wholeheartedly agree with the first part
but the “blind luck” argument you keep beating doesn’t work after we’ve now seen numerous examples of Moore building a pen from scrap parts. He got Soria from the Rule 5, Ramirez for De la rosa, Horacio Ramirez and Robinson Tejada off the scrap heap.
Again: It seems like a great strategy to find these relievers at a minimal cost, build up their value, and flip them for higher-valued assets.
by deezle on
Nov 19, 2008 8:21 PM EST
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No, see, when you collect a bunch of minor league relievers with good stats
and a few of them work out, that’s not luck.
When you hire major leaguers with horrible track records who inexplicably throw 30 good innings for you, get traded and instantly go back to sucktacular, that’s luck.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 10:36 PM EST
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The same Jorge De La F'n Rosa
who had a 4.06 FIP and a K per inning for the Rockies this year?
Yeah, I’m sure Moore has tons of those guys he can flip for relievers.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 7:33 PM EST
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have you looked at his career numbers?
they don’t scream fluke to you?
Accidentally not thedude925 anymore. I do hate this new name.
by wildthang on
Nov 19, 2008 7:37 PM EST
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His solid ground ball rate and standout K-rate...
scream NICE PITCHER! to me. He’s Ubaldo Jimenez with a few less ground balls and a few more K’s.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 8:06 PM EST
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He's not a fluke
If you look at his actual skill set, he’s a lefty who throws three or four pitches that grade out as above avg or better at times while hitting the mid-90’s on the radar gun. There’s a reason teams keep giving him a chance. The stuff is there, he just struggles to put it all together. So to call him a fluke is to soley look at his numbers and ignore the skill set that he actually posseses.
by joltinjoe on
Nov 20, 2008 12:54 AM EST
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Once traded for Curt Schilling
along with Brandon Lyon.
by alskor on
Nov 20, 2008 12:58 AM EST
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Butler
If they are trying to build around Butler, then they would not have traded for Jacobs and added to that logjam.
by count sutton on
Nov 20, 2008 11:31 AM EST
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the word is
Butler is a very strict eating/diet this winter to get in shape. If he is in great shape (for him) next spring, I think he is the opening day 1B with Jacobs the DH. If not…who knows….
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 20, 2008 5:23 PM EST
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i can't even begin to tell you how...
unfair this deal is. the red sox get one of the best relievers in the AL and what do the royals get……they get an overpaid 4th-OF type……if this were a fantasy baseball trade, then i would vote for it to be vetoed…..
by psugator on
Nov 19, 2008 12:54 PM EST
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Really?
A guy who thinks Ramirez is “one of the best relievers in the AL?” I’d love to have that guy in my league…
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 19, 2008 3:52 PM EST
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Ramirez was a dominant reliever. He's got everything you look for.
Entering his prime, cheap, great secondary stats and was in fact one of the best relievers in the league this season.
Tools Whore
Sign Bonds!
by Tyler on
Nov 19, 2008 4:13 PM EST
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I look for control
so… not dominant…. but a pretty good reliever. Im concerned that he wont be able to keep his HR rates down that low… but he should still be a very good reliever.
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 4:15 PM EST
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Okay, but he was easily one of the 30 best relievers in game. So dominant
might not be the right word, but well above-average. A closer on a lot of teams.
Tools Whore
Sign Bonds!
by Tyler on
Nov 19, 2008 4:55 PM EST
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Well
Is “one of the 30 best relievers in [the] game” equivalent to “one of the best relievers in the AL?”
I don’t believe it is.
Still, even taking your (watered-down) assessment, I think it is highly debatable whether RR is in fact one of the “30 best relievers in the game.” His xFIPs have been 4.58, 4.69, and 3.61 three years running. His performance last season was above-average, but his xFIPs the previous two years were the virtual definition of “average.”
Perhaps you think that he can continue to post sub 3.00 ERAs with an absurdly low 3% HR/FB rate and 3.89 BB/9. I don’t.
And I absolutely, positively, would not want RR to close for my team. But then again, I prefer my high-leverage RPs to a) throw harder than 92 mph; b) walk fewer than 4 guys per 9; and c) have K/BB rates at least above 2.5, and preferably above 3.0.
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 19, 2008 5:51 PM EST
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Relievers
aren’t bound to the same parameters on HR/F that starters are. It’s quite reasonable to accept that Ramirez has set a bench mark over his 150+ major league innings (in Coors and KC no less) as a reliever that can limit homeruns per fly ball.
HR/F is totally different for relievers than starters. Almost every elite reliever beats the 11% benchmark. xFIP isn’t useful for relievers. FIP is preferable, but even that is off, because it regressese to a BABIP that is higher than what the average reliever gives up.
-Dave Cameron, from USSMariner’s evaluating pitcher talent.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 6:14 PM EST
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Flaws
1. It’s debatable whether your quote applies to RR, since the whole point of this exercise is to determine if he is “elite.”
2. Even if RR doesn’t fully regress to 11% HR/F, his 4% HR/F is likley unsustainable. In 2009, even a jump to 7 or 8% would move his FIP significantly.
3. I do not agree that RR’s first 150 IPs established his baseline. My rule of thumb is closer to 250.
4. Kaufman Stadium in KC is at best offense-neutral. It has always been considered pitching-friendly.
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 19, 2008 9:07 PM EST
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As it is...
RR’s career FIP is 3.30, amassed with Coors and Kaufman as his home parks. Nobody who argues that he’s currently a closer-level talent should be given much attention, but it’s obvious that he’s an effective cost-controlled reliever, and vastly more valuable to a rebuilding team than one year of an overpriced 4th OF talent.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 6:17 PM EST
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Difficult to take you seriously
when you end that post by saying Crisp is an “overpriced 4th OF talent”. Sure, he’s a 3rd/4th OF on Boston, but he’s certainly a worthy starting CF and definitely improves KC’s team.
by deezle on
Nov 19, 2008 6:40 PM EST
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he might be...
if they didnt already have a better CFer on the team.
but, hey that’s never stopped Dayton Moore before…
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 6:52 PM EST
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that's never stopped him before in what?
Improving his team? It’s clear when watching Royals games that Dejesus is a below-average defender in center. This isn’t a video game – having a vacuum in center and a below-average CF playing left field will do wonders for the outfield defense. Come on guy, this isn’t rocket science.
by deezle on
Nov 19, 2008 6:58 PM EST
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Isn't above-average defense and below-average bat
the definition of a 4th OF? The three guys in Crisp’s BB-Ref’s “10 most similar hitters” that have played in the last few years are Terrence Long, Gabe Kapler, and Reed Johnson. Guys with Crisp’s skillset can be signed to cheap, 1-year contracts on a whim.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 8:00 PM EST
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bat is not below average
If we put down every starting CF in the league, Coco would fit probably right in the middle. Plus, his numbers were significantly better in Cleveland, so we know his upside is much higher and he didn’t fit in with Fenway.
Look, it’s apparent you’re a boston fan and really want them to look like the winners in this trade, but it’s probably not going to happen. I expect Coco to post better numbers next year once he’s the everday starter and gets to play in a larger home park.
by deezle on
Nov 19, 2008 8:26 PM EST
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Well then, lets use a better stat than xFIP,
tRA and it has him as the 24th best reliever out of 215.
Tools Whore
Sign Bonds!
by Tyler on
Nov 19, 2008 6:21 PM EST
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OK
I’m new to tRA, so perhaps that’s a better measure, but doesn’t his 2008 tRA (notably, you don’t cite his league average 2007 tRA or his above-average but not Top 30 2006 tRA) still embed the same unsustainable HR/F rates?
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 19, 2008 9:25 PM EST
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Crisp could be the regular CF
I mean, who else would they play in CF, Mitch Maier? As far as I know, DeJesus’ defence is best suited for a corner even if his bat is not. Crisp would play good defense and might see an resurgence of his bat to 2004-2005 form now that he is in the prime of his career.
by tdot mariner fan on
Nov 19, 2008 1:03 PM EST
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I'm sure he will be.
The question is, how hard would it be for the Royals to find another CF with good defense and a .700-.750 OPS bat? Granted, those guys aren’t just lying around, but smart teams can find them cheaply.
For the record, Crisp also makes $5.75M in ’09, and has a team option for $8M in ’10. How he could have significant trade value with that contract is beyond me.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 1:09 PM EST
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re
I agree. Crisp will be better for the Roayls than he was in Boston. He posted a .344OB last year, and while his slugging% was weak, that can be somewhat attributed to Fenway is not generally a park where lefties put up big numbers (Papi aside). I would be surprised to see Crisp post a .280/.340/.450 line with 15 homers and plenty of doubles and triples in that park
by ScottAZ on
Nov 19, 2008 1:09 PM EST
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+1
Take a look at Crisp’s numbers before he came to the Red Sox. I just think he was one of those guys who could not handle the pressure of Boston, and never recouped after that finger injury. He could very easily be a .280/15/70 with 30 steals guy .355+OBP and a possible gold glove defense. This is the best CF’er the Royals have had in a while.
As for Ramirez, as a Red Sox fan, I want to see him first in a pressure enviroment. He has not had to deal with that yet. I have seem relievers come and go, but his stuff seems solid. I would not throw him in the 8th inning role right away however. Keep Masterson/Okajima there and let Ramirez and Delcarmen battle it out for the 7th inning role
by dlpme77 on
Nov 19, 2008 1:15 PM EST
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+1
I agree with you.
Ramirez is a very good reliever. We will miss him because a Ramirez-Soria ending was death on opponents. But DM has picked up relievers easy in the past, hoping he can do it again.
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 19, 2008 2:30 PM EST
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Had a wrist injury in 2006, never regained his power
I am not expecting him to ever regain the power he had in Cleveland .
I like the deal for the RedSox, but I am worried about 3.89 BB per 9.
by laxtonto on
Nov 19, 2008 2:47 PM EST
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Upgrades the defense
pretty significantly. For a low-budget team in rebuilding mode I’m actually a fan of moves like this. Good defensive outfields make mediocre pitchers look like more attractive properties in trades. From a win-now perspective it’s a kind of worthless lateral move, but not all that damaging. Long-term, though, it could help turn some totally fungible pitchers into type-B free agents.
by slamcactus on
Nov 19, 2008 1:07 PM EST
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Unless...
if this is opening the door for a trade of Teahen, I think it’s a good move. If they’re going to trade DeJesus, it’s a horrible strategy by a guy who doesn’t understand how to put together a baseball team.
by slamcactus on
Nov 19, 2008 1:08 PM EST
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well...
…pretty much anyone who needs a CF. OPS of .818 on a crappy team for a CF is pretty damn good.
by sabernar on
Nov 19, 2008 4:00 PM EST
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signed cheap as well
team friendly deal.
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 4:15 PM EST
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Are you serious?
.300/.350/.450 from a good defensive CF or a VERY good defensive LF at a seriously below-market contract? That’s serious value. If you were kidding, apologies for not recognizing the snark.
by slamcactus on
Nov 19, 2008 4:21 PM EST
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The smartest thing...
Dayton Moore can do for the future of the Royals franchise is trade Joaquim Soria while his value’s high for a king’s ransom in prospects.
by slamcactus on
Nov 19, 2008 1:15 PM EST
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Why do you think Soria would get a "king's ransom"?
Peavy is having trouble getting a king’s ransom in prospects, but you think Soria definitely can?
by deezle on
Nov 19, 2008 6:44 PM EST
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One has a contract that's about $20 million cheaper over its duration
The other is free for two years and below market for another two others.
I’d say their contracts have roughly equal value once you account for the fact that if Soria’s is a lot less risky by virtue of being year-to-year rather than guaranteed.
by mraver on
Nov 22, 2008 2:46 PM EST
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Soria actually signed a 3 year contract with 3 club option years last May
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 22, 2008 5:32 PM EST
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well, same principle with the club option years
But thanks for the correction.
by mraver on
Nov 22, 2008 8:19 PM EST
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You know, I'm not a big Dayton Moore fan, to say the least
but that’s a brilliant contract structure. Soria gets his nest egg, but the Royals aren’t screwed if he suffers a career ending injury.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 23, 2008 5:41 PM EST
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This is a much better trade than the Jacobs deal
Ramirez is overrated based on a lucky ERA this year, and Crisp is not a bad CF because he’s outstanding defensively. However, I don’t think it’s exactly going to turn the Royals into a barn-burner.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 1:19 PM EST
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Ehh...
People are over-reacting to this trade – not saying that’s what you’re doing here Paul. Like stated above, the ERA was heavily influenced by luck – people are acting as if they just let a cornerstone of the organization go for peanuts. Relief pitchers are very fluid commodities. This was a minor deal – is it going to turn the Royals into a barn-burner? No, it wasn’t intended to, it was a trade to put a warm body in CF.
by slurve on
Nov 19, 2008 1:28 PM EST
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Crisp
And it was huge need. I’m not a huge fan of Crisp as a starter, but he’s a big upgrade over Gathright, who actually started 74 games for this team last season.
KC is a better team after this trade. One thing Moore has seemed to do a decent job of is finding some pitching. They still need more, but that’s one area where he has had some successes. Dealing from the bullpen to fill out the weaker spots on the team with at least average talent isn’t a bad strategy.
by acerimusdux on
Nov 19, 2008 11:10 PM EST
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i'm not disputing this fact....
“Ramirez is overrated based on a lucky ERA this year”
but i sure would like to see the numbers that you are using to back up that statement……from everything i’ve read, Ramirez was a complete stud last year. I was under the impression that he was in line to one day be a major-league closer. i thought his stuff was good enough to close.
by psugator on
Nov 19, 2008 1:21 PM EST
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More than 3 walks per inning, fewer than 9 Ks per inning says "not a closer" to me
His FIP was in the high 3s.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 1:41 PM EST
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Is 2.84 in the high 3's?
I’m guessing you went to Fangraphs and looked at the bottom line, which is ’09’s Marcel projections.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 2:20 PM EST
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My apologies, you're right
However, it’s based on an unrealistically low HR/FB, which needs to be regressed to the mean (especially for relievers). xFIP of 3.61, regressed tRA of 3.42… these are good numbers, but they’re not closer good.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 3:15 PM EST
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9 K's per INNING?
Isn’t that asking a little much? I’d get a new catcher if my pitcher was striking out 9 an inning anyways.
"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton
by vignette17 on
Nov 19, 2008 3:32 PM EST
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Olivo is the king of dropped pitches
IT COULD HAPPEN111
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 19, 2008 3:39 PM EST
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I wonder what the record for most strikeouts in an inning is
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 3:48 PM EST
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4
done many times, maybe upwards of a dozen? i think most recently by wakefield, but i’m not sure.
5 would be something.
by jpahk on
Nov 19, 2008 3:51 PM EST
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Quite sure...
5 has been done multiple times in college and high school ball. Maybe even in the minors. I seem to remember reading or hearing about a player in college or the minors doing it some time recently. Past three years maybe?
"My mom always taught me it's better to laugh at yourself than to laugh at others. She was so wrong. ;)" -Pedrophile
by Boxkutter on
Nov 20, 2008 6:54 AM EST
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i struck out 5 one time when i played
granted, i was 12. and my catcher was bad. but it was kinda cool.
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 19, 2008 4:06 PM EST
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Not sure I get
All the Red Sox love on here, this looks like a clear win for KC. Ramirez is an OK RP, but what Crisp doesn’t accomplish with the bat he does with the glove, as an above-average CF. This allows DeJesus to slide over to a corner position where he’ll be more comfortable, or he can be dealt to a team in need of a CF for 2009 (Atlanta?).
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 19, 2008 1:27 PM EST
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it's not a clear win for KC because why are they acquiring a CF for one year?
i realize that the royals need to seriously consider fielding an above .500 team at some point and next year is as good as any time to try to do so. however, i’m not sure how much that’s actually worth. looks like a fairly even trade to me overall.
free chris getz!
by larry on
Nov 19, 2008 1:33 PM EST
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at 6 mil!
for a reliever they had control over cheaply through 2012(13?).
I think KC may have come out slightly ahead on a value basis… but it doesnt make much sense in the context of their team. The problem last year was the offense. Now theyve ensured theyre going to have an even worse batter in CF… and likely push Dejesus to the corner? Jacobs at 1B seemingly shooting for a .330 OBP?? The Royals offense could be epically bad next year.
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 1:49 PM EST
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+ draft pick compensation
If Crisp plays a full season and improves even a little bit from the ~.280/.340/.410 numbers he put up last year, he’ll be a type-B free agent. That softens the blow of losing a RP.
by slamcactus on
Nov 19, 2008 2:04 PM EST
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If Crisp has a good year someone's going to want him in CF for 1/$8M in 2010
It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver
by WaddellCanseco on
Nov 19, 2008 9:10 PM EST
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Defense
To me, it’s a win because OK RPs are much easier to find than CFs with above-average defense.
Not only does adding Crisp help the overall team in 09, it will also specifically improve the perceived values of KC’s staff, especially guys like Meche and Bannister, who need OFs who can cover a lot of ground.
I get the point on team context, but that argument really proves too much; improving your team move-by-move is the best way to become a contender IMO. Moore’s not done yet, so I won’t judge the finished product. However, I do like the recognition that defense is important, and apparently undervalued in today’s market.
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 19, 2008 2:50 PM EST
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tell that to the mets
a bunch of decent relievers are not that easy to find. They are a crap shoot, however.
Ramirez struck out about 9 per 9.
Crisp, while a good defender, is expensive for thre royals and will not be the key to the next Royals division winner, if such a future can possibly exist.
It’s not that awful deal if the situation were different. But KC doesn’t need a gret defensive center fielder that costs this much for 2009. This along with the nunez/jacobs deal just shows they are still clueless.
by wobatus on
Nov 19, 2008 5:23 PM EST
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The Mets
Had plenty of fine RPs. They just couldn’t keep them healthy and out of police custody.
Seriously, though, I think you’re 100% right when you said that RPs are a crap shoot. What’s more, even when you find one that you think is good, there’s not a ton of predictability going forward that he will continue to be good. Variance in performance is extraordinarily high.
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 19, 2008 5:57 PM EST
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it really seems like the trend these days
the rays did it ….they revamped their infield, changing the team’s philosophy completely….they began to focus on defense, pitching and speed, and it seemed to work. the newspaper here in fort lauderdale had a story a few days ago saying that the marlins were now trying to copy that of the rays………i’m beginning to think that there are other teams out there — maybe even the royals now that they have acquired crisp — who are trying to mimic the rays and what made them successful…..
by psugator on
Nov 19, 2008 1:41 PM EST
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defense is argued to be the latest market inefficiency.
of course, part of that is probably that it’s difficult to accurately measure who is contributing what and how much on defense.
free chris getz!
by larry on
Nov 19, 2008 1:43 PM EST
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The Rays didnt have massive problems scoring runs.
KC scored 691 Runs this season. Tampa scored 774 going into their defensive remake.
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 1:50 PM EST
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tampa scored about that in 2006.
such a great idea that they’re starting a year earlier?
free chris getz!
by larry on
Nov 19, 2008 1:52 PM EST
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Then how does trading for a guy
you only control for one year fit that “plan?”
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 1:58 PM EST
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Helps..
pitchers put up better numbers, provides just about average offense, and might net you an extra 1s draft pick next June.
There’s very little downside, and a little upside here. It’s at worst a lateral move.
by slamcactus on
Nov 19, 2008 2:07 PM EST
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If you were trying to do this the smart way...
you’d sign Ryan Langerhans to provide similar value (especially defensively) for peanuts. Then you’d get to keep your above-average, cheap reliever to hold leads for your starting pitchers and still have $5M for payroll flexibility.
The only way the Royals win this deal is if Crisp performs drastically better at the plate than he has over his last 1400 ABs. Color me skeptical on that one.
by DrunkIrish on
Nov 19, 2008 2:18 PM EST
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If...
Ron Mahay puts up an artificially low ERA because there are two good CFs roaming the OF, and Crisp hits well enough to get type-B compensation, the Royals could end up with two 1S picks next year. That’s another way for them to win it that doesn’t require an unforeseeable performance spike.
by slamcactus on
Nov 19, 2008 2:40 PM EST
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obviously because they plan to exercise that oh so cheap option for 2010.
free chris getz!
by larry on
Nov 19, 2008 2:08 PM EST
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That's ironic...
that the Marlins want to copy the Rays. Isn’t it the Rays that copied the Marlins? Florida won the Series in 2003 using speed (Castillo and Pierre at the top), good defense (Derek Lee and Mike Lowell have both won GGs, Pudge was great at throwing out runners, Castillo was a vacuum at 2B that year. Speedy CF in Pierre… and I can’t remember who else was on the team lol) and good/solid pitchers (Burnett, Pavano, and Beckett).
"My mom always taught me it's better to laugh at yourself than to laugh at others. She was so wrong. ;)" -Pedrophile
by Boxkutter on
Nov 20, 2008 7:03 AM EST
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A more accurate characterization of what won the Rays the AL would be "power, defense, and good pitchers"
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 20, 2008 11:56 AM EST
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Don't get it
I like Boston in this trade. Crisp is decent, but I don’t get why KC would trade a 27 year old reliever who has been good in two of the last three years. Ramirez can get strikeouts, gives up less than a H/IP, and is very stingy homers – just 9 in 156 career IP.
Who knows, maybe this is part of something bigger.
I didn’t think KC needed to trade for Jacobs either (Killa).
by rdf8585 on
Nov 19, 2008 2:27 PM EST
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Teabags is gone.
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 19, 2008 2:34 PM EST
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What about Guillen?
I wondered if this would allow the Royals to eat half of Guillen’s contract and maybe move him in a deal. I know he’s not going to be extremely desirable, but at about $6M a year on a two year deal I think someone would be interested, right? My thinking is with Crisp and DeJesus in CF and RF most likely, then you could probably get by with the lesser of 4 evils in LF between Butler/Shealy/Kila/Jacobs. One goes to 1B, one to DH, one to the bench then. I would think you’d have a better offensive club that way, wouldn’t you?
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
by gatling on
Nov 19, 2008 3:11 PM EST
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optimally
Yes, I would rather move Hozay than Teahen, but like you said, he’s not desirable at all to anyone.
And your proposal would definitely upgrade the offense, no question about. That said…I really doubt any of those guys could even be the tiniest bit competent in the outfield. By that, I mean they’d easily be the worst defender in the league. Maybe Shealy could, but he’s an injury risk.
I think Teahen will be moved though. Watch the transaction wire…(Sean Marshall).
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 19, 2008 3:39 PM EST
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I guess I was thinking
with above average defenders in CF and RF, you would be able to get by with a guy like Shealy or Butler in LF, since Crisp and DeJesus should both have enough range to compensate.
I do think that Teahen is gone, but what do you expect the cost to be in trade? If he can play at least average defense at 3B, I’d think he’d be an upgrade for the A’s over Hannahan, since Teahen should easily out OPS him by 100 points. The A’s have surplus of RP types, especially lefties. Or is something like that too little of a return in your mind?
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
by gatling on
Nov 19, 2008 3:55 PM EST
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The A's aren't going to obtain anyone at third base who comes at "starter" prices this offseason
They still consider Chavez to be the starting third baseman. Which makes sense; he’s a sunk cost for the next two seasons. So unless the Royals are selling him as what amounts to a utility player, I can’t see him coming to Oakland.
If he’s still hurt next offseason, I expect them to go after Adrian Beltre.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 4:16 PM EST
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We're in for a world of hurt
if we’re considering Chavy the starter. Hannahan can’t hit and I have no faith in Baisley. If we’re pushing to win this year, we need to truly consider Chavy a sunk cost and call it wasted money and find a replacement now.
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
by gatling on
Nov 19, 2008 4:38 PM EST
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There are many more important holes on the A's roster which don't have former MVP candidates lying around who might fill them
SS, 1B, 5th starter.
Also, forgive the pedantry, but I’m not “pushing to win this year”…
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 6:27 PM EST
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Well
That MVP candidate is probably not a player we’ll ever see again. Especially not if we try to shove him back to 3B. He needs to be 100% before doing anything baseball related, and then he needs to come along slowly and make sure he’s ready to play so we don’t have another lost season at $10M+. I don’t disagree that SS and another SP aren’t important, they certainly are. However I think we’re down to one option at SS in Furcal, otherwise we’re gonna see Croz/Penny or some other equally poor hitter out there. I have no clue who we might target for the rotation, but I wouldn’t expect it to be a huge signing or anything, more of an actual 5th starter type, since we’ve got multiple guys that could conceivably contribute in the second half. I think there are a few options at 1B, including Chavez if he’s healthy. Barton probably isn’t going to be the guy unless he’s lights out in the spring, and even then I’m not sure. Depending on how the OF shakes out, I could see Holliday moving to 1B so that Cunningham and Buck both have starting spots, since I don’t think Sweeney will be going anywhere unfortunately.
All of that said, my whole question was whether or not a reliever would be enough for Teahen. I’m certainly not talking someone like Devine, but we have so many arms right now I’m sure we could package two decent ones together in a deal if that was amenable to KC. I don’t feel that a reliever or two is too much to pay for Teahen. As for “pushing to win”, I’m not sure what else you’d call the Holliday trade. Extension for him or not, I think the whole idea here is to put a winning team on the field this year. I don’t see a great chance of that if a guy like Baisley or Hannahan is getting consistent PT, nor do I see it if we’re trying to put Chavy back at 3B. Whether you agree with the trade and the direction the team is going is pretty irrelevant. I don’t think you trade for Holliday and not try to win your division.
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
by gatling on
Nov 19, 2008 7:37 PM EST
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No, see
You said “we’re” pushing to win this year. Maybe you are, but I’m not.
The A’s are certainly pushing to win this year, however.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 10:39 PM EST
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And I will say again
Whether you agree with the direction the team is taking or not is irrelevant. It’s not going to change anything. The team is trying to win this year, and I think it’s extremely foolish to expect to rely on Chavez at 3B, with the only other options being Hannahan or Baisley. You say below that Chavy is very blunt, not saying I disagree, but did he think he was healthy last year when he came back in May and was back on the DL by July? Relying on him is a big risk. He’s a sunk cost, so look at him as a loss, and then anything you get from him production wise is a bonus. With that in mind, if you can cheaply acquire another option, one that has at least shown an ability to hit major league pitching, then why not? What’s the worst case scenario then? Teahen rides pine and can backup all four corners spots? Didn’t he log some time in CF at one point or another(maybe in ST)? The guy is versatile, so it’s like it would kill you if Chavy did come back healthy.
All of this aside, if you’re going to try and count on Chavy for something, wouldn’t first base make more sense, with the less wear and tear on his surgically repaired shoulder? I mean sure, it would be great to see Chavy back in pre-injury form at 3B, but I think expecting him to play 3B at all and stay healthy is risky.
Finally, I understood what you said in regards to “we’re”, I just chose to actually focus on something to discuss, not one of your little anal-retentive “pet peeves” that I and probably anyone else here could give two shits about. You’ve established yourself as a pompous ass here and on AN, so unless you really want to make sure all new members catch on quick you can probably stop and no one will forget who you are.
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
by gatling on
Nov 19, 2008 11:18 PM EST
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The phrase "it takes one to know one" seems particularly appropriate here
given the rather healthy rate at which you produce personal insults and ad hom attacks in your posts. But, hey, hypocrisy is endemic to the human species, so at least you’re not alone.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 20, 2008 2:30 AM EST
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Well
I had a scathing reply all typed out and ready to go, but that really wouldn’t gain us anything. I was wrong to make a personal attack on you, and for that I apologize. I’m no saint, and outside of indiansfan, I don’t think anyone else can really claim to be around these parts either. I do wish that you’d leave the small “pet peeve” type issues alone when you reply to posts though, it doesn’t add to the discussion and that should really be the only goal around here. Just make your points about the issue at hand, and leave the other stuff out.
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
by gatling on
Nov 20, 2008 12:10 PM EST
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Good, it's distracting and serves no purpose
Our goal here is to inform ourselves and develop analytical skills, not (as far as I can tell) to form lasting bonds of brotherhood.
I accept the apology, and I apologize in turn if I’ve insulted you at some point, which I gather I probably have. Let’s put it behind us and move on.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 20, 2008 4:50 PM EST
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Isn't the simple explanation
that Beane is trying to strengthen his team generally, by adding stars when he can get them for reasonable prices, but focusing primarily on adding prospects who can help in 2-3 years when the team is actually good?
TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems
by OldProspects on
Nov 20, 2008 11:26 AM EST
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That's possible I guess
But they’ve traded for Holliday, are supposed to make a big push for Furcal, there was talk about Giambi….those moves to me say they’re trying to win the West in 2009. The Angels are an aging team to an extent, guys like Vlad, Hunter, Matthews, GA if they’re dumb enough to bring him back, Lackey, Escobar, Shields. I know they were very good this year, but if Teixeira leaves I don’t find them to be too scary of a team. Texas is and up and comer, but they’re in the same boat at best as the A’s are…too much talent a few years away still. Seattle…..well, nevermind. I think it’s a winnable division, and I think that’s the goal.
Outside of just baseball sense though, I think that Lew Wolff is trying to hedge his bets in case he can’t get his desired deal or deals made to build a new stadium in Fremont or what have you. I think the biggest thing for him overall was the real estate aspect of buying the team, building a stadium with the condos and shopping and what not. If that can’t get done, I don’t think he’s a long term owner for this team. So you gussy up the squad you’re putting out there and make it a winner, sell a few more tickets and make some money now, and then hope to have a buyer if you don’t get your stadium deal. He bought the team as a winner, with the economic downturn I don’t think you’d want to try and sell a team that was losing, which is going to effect your ticket sales and potential profit for a new owner.
Just my two cents.
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
by gatling on
Nov 20, 2008 11:45 AM EST
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Yeah, but
All of those moves seem designed to strengthen the current team without hurting the future team. Holliday came relatively cheaply – Smith and Street weren’t going to be major players for many more years, so all he gave up was the chance to get even more prospects in a system that’s already stuffed with them, and Carlos Gonzalez who is clearly not as good as Holliday. Furcal is a free agent, so would only cost money and maybe a draft pick. If you notice, Beane hasn’t made any noise about going for Peavy, for example, who he could almost certainly out-bid Atlanta for. I’m not denying that the As are looking to maybe take the division this year, but the steps that they are taking are very judicious and relatively conservative, risking little of their future
TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems
by OldProspects on
Nov 20, 2008 9:07 PM EST
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And with regard to the non-linguistic-pet-peeve portion of your post,
Chavez thinks he’s going to be fully healthy entering next season, per mlb.com. He’s not typically a Pollyanna— in fact, he’s about the most blunt-spoken athlete I’m familiar with— so if he says things are going well so far, they probably are.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 10:42 PM EST
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you people are weird
team A traded their overqualified 4th OF so he could be team B’s average-ish starting CF, and got a pretty good reliever in return. why are people up in arms about this in either direction? it’s bigger than “a bench guy for a bullpen arm,” but not by much… this isn’t kazmir for zambrano or even holliday for carlogon+street+smith.
by jpahk on
Nov 19, 2008 3:54 PM EST
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god forbid people talk about baseball on a baseball site.
free chris getz!
by larry on
Nov 19, 2008 4:23 PM EST
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talking about baseball is one thing
and a good thing. it’s cool that people are talking about this trade. but look at some of the things they’re saying…
I still say Dayton Moore is on his way out. Jacobs and Crisp… you spent the time after the season ended analyzing your team and these are the solutions you came up with??? Trade two moderately valuable relievers for two below average offensive players at their positions? Really??
These trades are absolutely idiotic.
i can’t even begin to tell you how unfair this deal is. the red sox get one of the best relievers in the AL and what do the royals get……they get an overpaid 4th-OF type……if this were a fantasy baseball trade, then i would vote for it to be vetoed…..
it strikes me as a totally reasonable trade for both teams.
by jpahk on
Nov 19, 2008 8:17 PM EST
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Your comment isn't edgy though.
It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver
by WaddellCanseco on
Nov 19, 2008 9:13 PM EST
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LMAO
For the record, I agree with jpahk. Very reasonable trade for both teams. I think KC will get a little more value out of it, but Boston had no real need for Crisp except as their 4th OF when JD Drew misses 40 games next year due to various injuries.
"My mom always taught me it's better to laugh at yourself than to laugh at others. She was so wrong. ;)" -Pedrophile
by Boxkutter on
Nov 20, 2008 7:08 AM EST
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I think both teams gained
An extra good reliever is more valuable than a 4th OF, which is what Crisp was for Boston, but less valuable than a decent and potentially above average starting CF, which is what Crisp will be for KC. A classic win-win deal
TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems
by OldProspects on
Nov 20, 2008 11:27 AM EST
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Nothing wrong with the first one
I admitted KC slightly “won” the trade. I just dont see why they would do it…
by alskor on
Nov 20, 2008 1:04 AM EST
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Yikes
Middle relievers are, by definition, failures. They all have failed at either starting or closing so anytime you can get an everyday player for one, it’s a win in my book.
I reject your reality and substitute my own.
by WayneCampbell08 on
Nov 19, 2008 4:43 PM EST
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wrong
Not a win at all for KC.
Lotsa guys start off in middle relief. The Orioles used to do itmall the time.
What did rivera start as? A middle reliever for Wetteland.
Not in any way saying ramirez is that valuable. But he has some worth and is cheaper than crisp.
by wobatus on
Nov 19, 2008 5:25 PM EST
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Right
There are lots of guys hanging around with Coco’s skill set or close enough. Guys like Ramirez are a little harder to find.
by alskor on
Nov 19, 2008 5:30 PM EST
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switch those two statements
and it’s a little more accurate.
Accidentally not thedude925 anymore. I do hate this new name.
by wildthang on
Nov 19, 2008 6:08 PM EST
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Rivera
Rivera started as a starter. The Yankees felt he couldn’t compete as a starter (see his 5.51 ERA as a rookie) and moved him to the pen.
by yellomellojello on
Nov 19, 2008 7:07 PM EST
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I love...
how someone can give their opinion, stating how they see things and what they value. Stating absolutely nothing as fact… just opinion. And you can still say he is wrong. Fucking internet people.
"My mom always taught me it's better to laugh at yourself than to laugh at others. She was so wrong. ;)" -Pedrophile
by Boxkutter on
Nov 20, 2008 7:10 AM EST
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I can't say your opinion is wrong if your opinion is that 2+2=3?
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 20, 2008 12:00 PM EST
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maybe common but not bad
if the question is have there been a lot of players similar to Coco Crisp in baseball history the answer, of course, is yes. The number 10 player on his through age 28 list through age 28 is still at a 948 similarity score, extremely similar. But when you look at the five relatively recent players on that list, Roberto Kelly, Chad Curtis, Maruis Grisson, Lenny Dykstra, Ken Landreaux, its hard not to conclude that this is a list of pretty good ballplayers, some of whom had quite a bit still left in the tank. Throw in the plus defender aspect and the fact that his offense while not what it was before the trade is at least pointed back in the right direction and I think KC did alright here.
by Dalman on
Nov 19, 2008 5:48 PM EST
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+1
crisp is a starting-quality major league CF. not a good one, but an average one: slightly below-average hitting and significantly above-average fielding. he makes a decent but not obscene amount of money. the royals had some bullpen depth to deal from and a pretty gaping hole in the outfield. (you wanted them to run joey gathright back out there?) the red sox had the luxury of having a quality starting OF on their bench. so they traded. seems like two GMs who know what they are doing managed to improve both of their teams by trading.
by jpahk on
Nov 19, 2008 8:19 PM EST
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That seems to be the low-end for Crisp
He’s still the same guy who had an .800 OPS with speed as a 24 year old in Cleveland. If he reverts to that (he’s still only 29), then he would be a solidly above average CF
TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems
by OldProspects on
Nov 20, 2008 11:29 AM EST
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eh, i don't think he is the same guy
there’s not much evidence to support the notion that stats from 5 years ago have any bearing on how good a guy will be going forward. he’s had some injuries and the power has never really returned. he can hit for enough average that he doesn’t kill you, and his speed is a good thing. mostly, though, his glove is what gets him to average.
by jpahk on
Nov 20, 2008 11:31 PM EST
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+1
Have you seen his projections for this year???
Bill James: .403 SLG
Marcel: .392 SLG
Yuck. Those two projection systems use very different methodologies, too… Marcel is a strict mathematical formula based heavily on the last three years. The fact both these systems have him slugging such an atrocious number is deeply troubling. He turned into a slap hitter when he arrived in Boston – or at least after the finger injury. He’s nowhere near the same player he was in Cleveland.
by alskor on
Nov 21, 2008 12:55 AM EST
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KC's offense was so pathetic last year
that picking up Coco Crisp has to be considered an upgrade over Joey Gathright. David DeJesus can play a corner OF and he is an upgrade over Mark Teahen. Crisp’s defense will play well in KC’s big yard. DDJ will be a better defensive LF than Teahen, too. Crisp also gives KC some speed at the top of the order. DDJ was no threat to steal or make things happen on the bases. DDJ will bat 3rd the way the Royals lineup is built right now.
I don’t think KC is done dealing yet. Teahen and Gathright will be traded. Mitch Maier, a Royals minor leaguer, can handle the 4th OF slot. Nunez and Ramirez had a good year but are replaceable. Ramirez was a nobody before KC picked him up in 08. Look for KC to pickup another reliever in a trade or pickup on veteran FA.
KC’s bullpen
Closer: Soria
Short: Mahay and Robinson Tejeda
Middle: John Bale and Carlos Rosa
Long: Rule 5 pickup/veteran/relievers on hand – Peralta, Musser,
by daveyork on
Nov 19, 2008 9:18 PM EST
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Teahen could go for a reliever as well
Not sure who would actually trade for Gathright.
It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver
by WaddellCanseco on
Nov 19, 2008 10:29 PM EST
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The YU Maccabees
TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems
by OldProspects on
Nov 20, 2008 11:29 AM EST
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Honda Corporation?
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 20, 2008 1:10 PM EST
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The National Car & Asian Pitcher Jumpers Association
Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.
by doublestix on
Nov 20, 2008 5:25 PM EST
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As a Yankee fan, I like this.
The depth for the Sox’s OF isn’t as deep, and now a Dejesus trade has possibly opened up.
Go get him Cash!
by schmosterballs92 on
Nov 19, 2008 10:01 PM EST
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Yeah
You probably should be happy. What do the Red Sox do if:
1) Ellsbury hits like he did in the 2H 08 rather than 1H 08?
Or
2) Drew gets hurt and misses time?
Neither of these is inconceivable to me. The Red Sox probably aren’t done, but the OF is looking pretty thin right now. Adding Baldelli would probably help a bit, but he isn’t exactly the picture of dependability.
Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball
by Yakker on
Nov 20, 2008 1:13 PM EST
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On the other hand
If Boston adds a real 4th OF, when Drew goes down you’ll have a decent bat out there instead of Crisp. :-/
by mraver on
Nov 22, 2008 2:54 PM EST
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On the subject of minor transactions,
The A’s just signed Chris Schroder, formerly of the Nationals, to a surprising major league contract. Anyone have a scouting report on him? He has some nice minor league K numbers, but he’s 30 and has 78 career major league innings. I’m trying to figure out the motive behind signing this guy.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 19, 2008 10:46 PM EST
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For what it's worth, here's Jim Callis' take
Terry, NY: Who won the Crisp-Ramirez deal today?
Jim Callis: I was surprised the Red Sox didn’t get more for Crisp, and relievers are volatile, so I’ll say the Royals. This deal will help Kansas City more than it will help Boston.
by joltinjoe on
Nov 20, 2008 3:11 AM EST
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OK, so the Red Sox probably won this one if Callis thinks they didn't
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 20, 2008 11:59 AM EST
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Well
Basically everything I’ve read (outside of the shrill reactions at the top of this thread) seem to see it as a trade that benefited at least KC. So maybe if everyone is wrong….
’Course, this is baseball, so watch Ramirez turn into a top-teir closer and Crisp break his leg in ST. :-)
by mraver on
Nov 22, 2008 2:56 PM EST
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Sure, I'm just saying that I believe whatever the opposite that Callis does
when it comes to transactions.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Nov 22, 2008 3:00 PM EST
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Is anyone considering the notion
that Crisp’s defense fell off significantly last year? Maybe it’s skewed due to limited playing time, but word on the street is that Crisp’s legs aren’t quite as sparky as they once were due to injuries and time, and that his defense wasn’t near 2007 level.
by Daniel Berlyn on
Nov 23, 2008 12:13 AM EST
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