2008 community prospect ratings--bryan anderson
this thread is for discussion of bryan anderson, C, st louis cardinals. here are some links to anderson's stats:
http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=456
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Bryan%20Anderson&pos=C&sid=milb&am p;t=p_pbp&pid=457762
http://firstinning.com/players/Bryan-Anderson-a/
i'll leave this thread open for at least 48 hours. you can vote at any time, but since you can't change your vote, if you are uncertain in any way, it's probably best to refrain from voting until after you get a chance to read the discussion.
the numerical ratings should follow this scale:
10 bona fide blue-chip grade A stud
9
8 great prospect, somebody you'd be okay with as the jewel of your favorite team's system
7
6 good prospect, but not among the best in the game
5
4 marginal prospect, but somebody with a pulse
3
2 organizational filler--just a warm body to fill out a minor league roster
1
the rating should be a combination of the player's possible outcomes and his likelihood of reaching those outcomes. in other words, consider both "upside" and "safety" when making your decision--though how you weight them is entirely up to you.
for example, you could give somebody an 8 because you feel he is sure to be a pretty good player, but you could also give somebody else an 8 because even though he has a higher chance to flame out, he also has a chance to be really special. a 5 might be a guy with a decent chance to be a regular, or it might be somebody with a pretty big upside who you are just not very confident will actually ever make it.
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anderson
I'll step up
I was pimping him and Wlad Balentien at mid-season and they both screwed me.
6
Estrada
Still, that's not a bad major league comparison but I'd rather have Yadier Molina just because Molina is the best defensive catcher in baseball right now and he's not an awful hitter.
I think Anderson is pretty close to being a top 100 prospect if he isn't already. His numbers will probably be pretty good next year if he starts out at AA again and then goes up to AAA midseason. There's no reason to rush him if you're the Cardinals. Its actually better to keep him at AA and bump up his trade value.
He was certainly no flavor of the month prospect. He's a solid catching prospect that has pretty good value to the Cardinals. If his power gets going, and it very well could since he was probably not thinking about power at all last year, he's a better prospect than Hank Conger.
flavor of the month
Probably
More negative info has surfaced about his defense as well that wasn't available at the time. I still have him rated higher than Conger though - his strengths would play better at another position, and while he won't have the same kind of power, he might end up as a servicable 4th OF.
Estrada - Anderson
Anderson's career minor league average is .305 and his career OBP is .367. A 62 point difference compared to Estrada's 37 point difference. And for being 3 to 5 years older than Anderson at a lot of levels, Estrada's career slugging percentage isn't much higher than Anderson's(.433 to .421).
I think Estrada is a safe comparison but I wouldn't be shocked if Anderson hit a little better.
An optimistic comparison I've used in the past is Jason Kendall from his Pirate days with a lesser average and OBP. I don't see Anderson putting up many .330/.430 seasons but I can see him being a poor mans Kendall without the speed.

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