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2008 community prospect ratings--jesus montero

this thread is for discussion of jesus montero, C, new york yankees. here are some links to montero's stats (warning, there's not much here):

http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=33900
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Jesus%20Montero&pos=C&sid=milb& ;t=p_pbp&pid=524968
http://firstinning.com/players/Jesus-Montero-a/

i'll leave this thread open for at least 48 hours. you can vote at any time, but since you can't change your vote, if you are uncertain in any way, it's probably best to refrain from voting until after you get a chance to read the discussion.

the numerical ratings should follow this scale:

10 bona fide blue-chip grade A stud
9
8 great prospect, somebody you'd be okay with as the jewel of your favorite team's system
7
6 good prospect, but not among the best in the game
5
4 marginal prospect, but somebody with a pulse
3
2 organizational filler--just a warm body to fill out a minor league roster
1

the rating should be a combination of the player's possible outcomes and his likelihood of reaching those outcomes. in other words, consider both "upside" and "safety" when making your decision--though how you weight them is entirely up to you.

for example, you could give somebody an 8 because you feel he is sure to be a pretty good player, but you could also give somebody else an 8 because even though he has a higher chance to flame out, he also has a chance to be really special. a 5 might be a guy with a decent chance to be a regular, or it might be somebody with a pretty big upside who you are just not very confident will actually ever make it.

Poll
How good a prospect is Jesus Montero?
2
1 votes
1
3 votes
10
9 votes
9
6 votes
8
15 votes
7
23 votes
6
35 votes
5
25 votes
4
8 votes
3
4 votes

129 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 6 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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6.... for now
Way too far to be considered top prospect . but extremely intriguing potential bat. would be insane if he could stay behind the plate.

If he could do well into FSL next year. i'll take him as a 8 in my book. if he does it as a catcher . i'll go up to 9.

by RollingWave on Jan 14, 2008 5:03 AM EST reply actions  

Aye
He's 19 with 80 raw power.  That's certainly something.  But he's gotta get out of the GCL before he's really top-100 material...
"I feel like I've been around long enough at shortstop to be the leader of Jose Castillo." -- Jack Wilson

by delomir on Jan 14, 2008 1:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Kevin Goldstein in a chat from BP last week
"I've never talked a single person who gets paid for their professional opinion about players who ever really thought or really thinks that Montero can stay at catcher."

http://baseballprospectus.com/chat/chat.php?chatId=403

He's got a projectable bat, but he's more likely a 1b or LF.

The Dodgers won't win a playoff series until the Cool-a-Coo returns.

by mckeeno on Jan 14, 2008 2:40 PM EST reply actions  

Sure but
There's always a first. and with that power and age and that he showed very good plate discipline in the FSL. even if he does move out of catcher spot he's a likely candidate to be a great prospect. just that he would be off the scales awsome if he does it while being a catcher.

by RollingWave on Jan 15, 2008 5:20 AM EST reply actions  

whoa
FSL? no. montero was in the GCL, which is a complex league. the FSL is high-A, which is roughly 3 levels higher.

by jpahk on Jan 15, 2008 9:57 AM EST up reply actions  

your right
my mistake there, I meant GCL

by RollingWave on Jan 16, 2008 6:52 AM EST up reply actions  

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