2008 community prospect ratings--brett cecil

this thread is for discussion of brett cecil, LHP, toronto blue jays. here are some links to cecil's stats:

http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=33961
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Brett%20Cecil&pos=P&sid=milb&t =p_pbp&pid=446399
http://firstinning.com/players/Brett-Cecil-a/

and since he's got so few pro innings, here's a link with his college stats:

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/C/Brett-Cecil.shtml

i'll leave this thread open for at least 48 hours. you can vote at any time, but since you can't change your vote, if you are uncertain in any way, it's probably best to refrain from voting until after you get a chance to read the discussion.

the numerical ratings should follow this scale:

10 bona fide blue-chip grade A stud
9
8 great prospect, somebody you'd be okay with as the jewel of your favorite team's system
7
6 good prospect, but not among the best in the game
5
4 marginal prospect, but somebody with a pulse
3
2 organizational filler--just a warm body to fill out a minor league roster
1

the rating should be a combination of the player's possible outcomes and his likelihood of reaching those outcomes. in other words, consider both "upside" and "safety" when making your decision--though how you weight them is entirely up to you.

for example, you could give somebody an 8 because you feel he is sure to be a pretty good player, but you could also give somebody else an 8 because even though he has a higher chance to flame out, he also has a chance to be really special. a 5 might be a guy with a decent chance to be a regular, or it might be somebody with a pretty big upside who you are just not very confident will actually ever make it.

Update [2008-1-14 0:27:52 by jpahk]:
freeze:
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