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2008 community prospect ratings--brett cecil

this thread is for discussion of brett cecil, LHP, toronto blue jays. here are some links to cecil's stats:

http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=33961
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Brett%20Cecil&pos=P&sid=milb&t =p_pbp&pid=446399
http://firstinning.com/players/Brett-Cecil-a/

and since he's got so few pro innings, here's a link with his college stats:

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/C/Brett-Cecil.shtml

i'll leave this thread open for at least 48 hours. you can vote at any time, but since you can't change your vote, if you are uncertain in any way, it's probably best to refrain from voting until after you get a chance to read the discussion.

the numerical ratings should follow this scale:

10 bona fide blue-chip grade A stud
9
8 great prospect, somebody you'd be okay with as the jewel of your favorite team's system
7
6 good prospect, but not among the best in the game
5
4 marginal prospect, but somebody with a pulse
3
2 organizational filler--just a warm body to fill out a minor league roster
1

the rating should be a combination of the player's possible outcomes and his likelihood of reaching those outcomes. in other words, consider both "upside" and "safety" when making your decision--though how you weight them is entirely up to you.

for example, you could give somebody an 8 because you feel he is sure to be a pretty good player, but you could also give somebody else an 8 because even though he has a higher chance to flame out, he also has a chance to be really special. a 5 might be a guy with a decent chance to be a regular, or it might be somebody with a pretty big upside who you are just not very confident will actually ever make it.

Update [2008-1-14 0:27:52 by jpahk]:
freeze:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 0 1 3 12 28 19 3 0 1

Poll
How good a prospect is Brett Cecil?
1
1 votes
10
3 votes
9
0 votes
8
3 votes
7
19 votes
6
28 votes
5
12 votes
4
3 votes
3
1 votes
2
0 votes

70 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 4 comments

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Comments

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cecil
college closer at maryland who's being converted to starting by the jays. early returns look very good (check out his numbers) but perhaps it's to be expected that a polished college lefty will make the hitters in short-season ball look bad.

according to KG, he's got a solid 3-pitch assortment (low 90s FB, hard slider, change), with the slider being his best pitch, but no real knockout punch. john rated him a B+ but that seems very aggressive to me.

what do you all think?

by jpahk on Jan 10, 2008 11:49 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

No knockout punch?
That slider is filthy.  It may have been the draft's best.  If it isn't a knockout punch, there's no such thing.

by ayjackson on Jan 11, 2008 2:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Cecil > Moskos
Matt Eddy and Aaron Fitt seem to think that Cecil will be a better pro than Moskos, who was chosen 32 picks ahead of Cecil.  Aaron Fitt covered the NYPL and covered both pitchers in college.  FWIW.

by ayjackson on Jan 11, 2008 2:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

hey
a simple search uncovered this little thread from a couple weeks ago about cecil.

by jpahk on Jan 11, 2008 4:41 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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