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Around SBN: The Slow Decline of Duke

Is there any hope for Chris Nelson?

I was reading through John's book last night and I came across him... it's funny how you forget about someone so quickly! :)

I went and looked at what he's done this season and I (mostly) like what I see, although it does come with the pretext of being in the CAL. His numbers (275/347/422) don't look great in comparison to last year (260/313/416) except for his higher OBP. However, he looks like he's improved his plate discipline relatively significantly. His AB/BB rate has gone from 14.56 to 10.55. His AB/K rate has gone from 4.61 to 5.55. Those are both relatively significant improvements. Since the end of April, his BB/K/AB ratio has been 15/20/121, which represents an even further improvement.

However, his power has gone a little backwards this year, hitting less 2B and HR than last year. This is not a good sign from a player in the CAL.

I'm very interested to see if he can take his new-found plate discipline and turn it into more production, especially in the power department. Scouts have always been impressed with his physical tools, so it would be surprising to me to not see him develop more power as he begins to swing at better pitches.

By no means do I think he will be a star, but I'm beginning to believe that he is showing signs that he can be a productive major league hitter if this improvement does not stall. Remember, he is only 21. John gave him a straight C in the book and I would think that will be higher by season's end.

Any thoughts? It would be great to hear from people who have seen him play this year.

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Doubt he'll be any higher
Utility infielder now at best.

by Bravesin07 on Jun 5, 2007 2:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

idiot.
or just an annoying who likes messing with people?

by daveh33 on Jun 6, 2007 1:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

really?
how can he be written off so quickly (relatively) after showing so much promise as a draftee?  i mean it's not like he was omar quintanilla or tony giarratano.

knowing the pride and ego of many athletes, it had to be hard for him to see tulo drafted right after him, and then to see his success.  now that tulo's up and that's a given, can't chris start to refocus?  or maybe better, hasn't he maybe started already?

i know it happens sometimes that these guys just never develop, whether it's injury or mental or just work ethic.  my dear cubs have ryan harvey.  but i feel like chris is still young enough to not write off.  and i hope he works hard to make it happen.

http://www.simdynasty.com/index.jsp?refer=mychiefs58

by huckleberry on Jun 5, 2007 3:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

HB
Pay no attention to Bi07.  He specializes in jumping to rash conclusions.  Here are some his greatest "hits".
  1. Most Overrated Hitter  -  Justin Upton based on his low A stats last year (not the only one to say that though)
  2. Compared Carlos Gomez to Carlos Beltran after *2* spring training at bats
  3.  Compared Carlos Gomez to Roberto Clemente based on his struggles at the plate this year
  4.  Equating Brandon Wood to Russeel Branyan
  5.  Predicted Sheets would K 12-15 Braves when he only got 2
  6.  Giving Colby Rasmus a ceiling of Al Kaline
I could go on and on, but I think you get the point.  Mahalo
I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it.

by WayneCampbell05 on Jun 5, 2007 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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