Giants fans will hate this one, but I'm trying to stimulate a discussion here. What makes you think that Lowry will be MORE durable than this?
Disclaimer: The Crystal Ball is an "educated opinion"...not to be taken TOO seriously and mostly for fun. I do put quite a bit of work into them, looking at similar players and trying to figure out how the guy in question might develop. Is there a fancy computer program? No. Do I just slop numbers on the page? No. It is less than a projection/prediction but more than just guesswork. The point is to stimulate discussion about the player.