John Danks Community Projection
OK, now tell me how wrong I am about John Danks. Let's do a Community Projection. Project
Games
Games Started
Innings Pitched
Runs
Earned Runs
ERA
wins
losses
Hits allowed
strikeouts
walks
homers
complete games
shutouts
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Nice year
GS: 19
IP: 109 2/3
R: 61
ER: 53
ERA: 4.35
W: 9
L: 4
H: 118
K: 86
BB: 39
HR: 15
CG: 2
SO: 1
I would probably be harder on Danks, but I'm a huge fan of his, and thus give him nice rookie numbers.
Overrated
Games 20
Games Started 20
Innings Pitched 106
Runs 72
Earned Runs 65
ERA 5.52
wins 6
losses 8
Hits allowed 110
strikeouts 87
walks 59
homers 15
complete games 0
shutouts 0
Decent...
GS: 21
IP: 124 2/3
R: 69
ER: 67
ERA: 4.84
W: 5
L: 8
H: 131
K: 109
BB: 45
HR: 19
CG: 0
SO: 0
by uga007 on Mar 30, 2007 4:23 PM EDT reply actions
EHH
GS:14
IP:79
R:49
ER:45
ERA:5.13
W:2
L:7
H:86
K:65
BB:23
HR:10
CG:0
SO:0
Lots of other pitchers waiting if he fails early
by MARKWHOLERS on Mar 30, 2007 4:39 PM EDT reply actions
Optimistic View
GS: 26
IP: 146.2
R: 83
ER: 79
ERA: 4.85
W: 10
L: 8
H: 128
K: 119
BB: 54
HR: 19
CG: 1
SO: 0
If he can keep is ERA at 5.00 or below he will pitch the entire season.
re
GS: 29
IP: 170
R: 92
ER: 86
ERA: 4.55
W: 11
L: 10
H: 191
K: 138
BB: 60
HR: 28
CG: 0
SO: 0
Promising first season, but with struggles. Typical talented rookie. Every starter on that staff gave up over 25 home runs last year, iirc, so that home run number may even be conservative. I think he will surprise with the very good BB rate, and that's what will keep his ERA from ballooning. Ozzie Guillen and AJ Pierzynski will be up his ass the second he doesn't locate his pitches, and I think he'll respond to that. With his stuff, that's most all he needs to do.
In the long run, I'm far more worried about injury than ineffectiveness.
by bootsy on Mar 30, 2007 6:53 PM EDT reply actions
I needs a subject
GS: 26
IP: 157
R: 95
ER: 90
ERA: 5.16
W: 11
L: 12
H: 149
K: 129
BB: 67
HR: 21
CG: 1
SHO: 0
ok
Games Started: 11
Innings Pitched: 54
Runs: 39
Earned Runs: 36
ERA: 6.00
wins: 2
losses: 7
Hits allowed: 68
strikeouts: 45
walks: 21 (+2 HBP)
homers: 11
complete games: 0
shutouts: 0
WHIP: 1.68
Danks!
Games Started: 8
Innings Pitched: 41 2/3
Runs: 28
Earned Runs: 27
ERA: 6.15
wins: 2
losses: 5
Hits allowed: 51
strikeouts: 26
walks: 19
homers: 10
complete games: 1
shutouts: 1
WHIP: 1.70
AND WHAT A SHUTOUT IT WILL BE!
Poo
GS: 12
IP: 85
R: 60
ER: 55
ERA: 5.82
W: 3
L: 5
HA: 90
SO: 69
BB: 42
HR: 12
CG: 0
SHO: 0
Will be one of the White Sox best starters
GS: 27
IP: 165
R: 86
ER: 83
ERA: 4.53
W: 13
L: 9
H: 181
SO: 145
BB: 64
HR: 19
CG: 1
SHO: 1
by Kanst42 on Mar 31, 2007 5:06 PM EDT reply actions
Typical #5 starter
GS: 20
IP: 113
R: 74
ER: 68
ERA: 5.42
W: 6
L: 9
H: 122
K: 66
BB: 54
HR: 15
CG: 1
SHO: 0
Think he'll struggle with his control too much to pitch late into games, even with Ozzie whipping him along. Injuries will also play into it. Have no idea why I have him with 15 decisions in 20 starts, but maybe he pitches a lot of blowouts, one way or the other.

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