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John Danks Community Projection

OK, now tell me how wrong I am about John Danks. Let's do a Community Projection. Project

Games
Games Started
Innings Pitched
Runs
Earned Runs
ERA
wins
losses
Hits allowed
strikeouts
walks
homers
complete games
shutouts

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Nice year
G: 19
GS: 19
IP: 109 2/3
R: 61
ER: 53
ERA: 4.35
W: 9
L: 4
H: 118
K: 86
BB: 39
HR: 15
CG: 2
SO: 1

I would probably be harder on Danks, but I'm a huge fan of his, and thus give him nice rookie numbers.

by Mike McBride on Mar 30, 2007 3:57 PM EDT reply actions  

Overrated
He had an ERA over 4.2 and batters hit .261 off of him last year.  He gave up more hits that IP and had a WHIP of 1.4.  Hes not close to having over powering stuff or great off speed pitches.  I really don't get how people have him as a top 50 prospect.

Games 20
Games Started 20
Innings Pitched 106
Runs 72
Earned Runs 65
ERA 5.52
wins 6
losses 8
Hits allowed 110
strikeouts 87
walks 59
homers 15
complete games 0
shutouts 0

by nyy601 on Mar 30, 2007 4:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Decent...
G: 21
GS: 21
IP: 124 2/3
R: 69
ER: 67
ERA: 4.84
W: 5
L: 8
H: 131
K: 109
BB: 45
HR: 19
CG: 0
SO: 0
Some people bring the Bible to college...we bring Moneyball.

by uga007 on Mar 30, 2007 4:23 PM EDT reply actions  

EHH
G:14
GS:14
IP:79
R:49
ER:45
ERA:5.13
W:2
L:7
H:86
K:65
BB:23
HR:10
CG:0
SO:0

Lots of other pitchers waiting if he fails early

by MARKWHOLERS on Mar 30, 2007 4:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Optimistic View
G: 26
GS: 26
IP: 146.2
R: 83
ER: 79
ERA: 4.85
W: 10
L: 8
H: 128
K: 119
BB: 54
HR: 19
CG: 1
SO: 0

If he can keep is ERA at 5.00 or below he will pitch the entire season.

by RME JICO on Mar 30, 2007 6:45 PM EDT reply actions  

re
G: 29
GS: 29
IP: 170
R: 92
ER: 86
ERA: 4.55
W: 11
L: 10
H: 191
K: 138
BB: 60
HR: 28
CG: 0
SO: 0

Promising first season, but with struggles. Typical talented rookie.  Every starter on that staff gave up over 25 home runs last year, iirc, so that home run number may even be conservative.  I think he will surprise with the very good BB rate, and that's what will keep his ERA from ballooning.  Ozzie Guillen and AJ Pierzynski will be up his ass the second he doesn't locate his pitches, and I think he'll respond to that.  With his stuff, that's most all he needs to do.  

In the long run, I'm far more worried about injury than ineffectiveness.

by bootsy on Mar 30, 2007 6:53 PM EDT reply actions  

I needs a subject
G: 26
GS: 26
IP: 157
R: 95
ER: 90
ERA: 5.16
W: 11
L: 12
H: 149
K: 129
BB: 67
HR: 21
CG: 1
SHO: 0
Visiting from... South Side Sox

by The Cheat on Mar 30, 2007 10:01 PM EDT reply actions  

ok
Games: 11
Games Started: 11
Innings Pitched: 54
Runs: 39
Earned Runs: 36
ERA: 6.00
wins: 2
losses: 7
Hits allowed: 68
strikeouts: 45
walks: 21 (+2 HBP)
homers: 11
complete games: 0
shutouts: 0

WHIP: 1.68

by doublestix on Mar 30, 2007 10:08 PM EDT reply actions  

Danks!
Games: 8
Games Started: 8
Innings Pitched: 41 2/3
Runs: 28
Earned Runs: 27
ERA: 6.15
wins: 2
losses: 5
Hits allowed: 51
strikeouts: 26
walks: 19
homers: 10
complete games: 1
shutouts: 1
WHIP: 1.70

AND WHAT A SHUTOUT IT WILL BE!

Morrow is the Sea Diamond.

by PujolsJunkie on Mar 31, 2007 4:50 AM EDT reply actions  

Poo
G: 17
GS: 12
IP: 85
R: 60
ER: 55
ERA: 5.82
W: 3
L: 5
HA: 90
SO: 69
BB: 42
HR: 12
CG: 0
SHO: 0

by ecpoladian on Mar 31, 2007 1:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Will be one of the White Sox best starters
G: 29
GS: 27
IP: 165
R: 86
ER: 83
ERA:  4.53
W: 13
L: 9
H: 181
SO: 145
BB: 64
HR: 19
CG: 1
SHO: 1

by Kanst42 on Mar 31, 2007 5:06 PM EDT reply actions  

Typical #5 starter
G: 21
GS: 20
IP: 113
R: 74
ER: 68
ERA: 5.42
W: 6
L: 9
H: 122
K: 66
BB: 54
HR: 15
CG: 1
SHO: 0

Think he'll struggle with his control too much to pitch late into games, even with Ozzie whipping him along. Injuries will also play into it.  Have no idea why I have him with 15 decisions in 20 starts, but maybe he pitches a lot of blowouts, one way or the other.  

When asked why I was a Mets fan, I responded, "pain is my lifeblood."

by wrightHOF on Apr 1, 2007 12:49 PM EDT reply actions  

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