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Prospect Retro; Jose Reyes

Jose Reyes Prospect Retro

Jose Reyes was signed by the Mets as a free agent out of the Dominican Republic in 1999. He made his pro debut in 2000, hitting .250/.359/.318 for Kingsport in the Appy League at age 17. At this point, his best attributes were defensive: his range, hands, arm strength, and athleticism drew raves from scouts. But his bat was questionable. He drew some walks, but he lacked power and it was uncertain if he would hit at higher levels. At this point, he'd rate as a Grade C prospect: athletic, young, but a long way from the majors. He wasn't listed among the Mets top prospects and was overshadowed by other players in the Appy League.

That changed in 2001. Reyes hit .307/.337/.472 in 100 games for Capital City in the Sally League, hitting 22 doubles and 15 triples and stealing 30 bases. He continued to draw praise for his glovework, but his bat had taken a huge step forward. He remained rather impatient, but the stunning development of his power to the gaps was a great sign. I gave him a Grade B+ in the 2002 book, writing that he could turn into Nomar Garciaparra if his bat continued to develop, or Neifi Perez if it stagnated. I ranked him as the Number 46 prospect in baseball.

Reyes began '02 with St. Lucie in the Florida State League, hitting .288/.353/.462 with 31 steals in 69 games. Promoted to Double-A at midseason, he hit well for Binghamton at .287/.331/.425 with 27 steals. He improved his walk rate sharply, drawing 46 walks on the year compared to just 18 all season in '01. I gave him a Grade A in the '03 book, warning that he might not help much right away in '03 but that he was a terrific long-term investment.

He helped a lot sooner than expected in '03, hitting .269/.333/.356 in 42 games in Triple-A but a much stronger .307/.334/.434 in 69 games for the Mets, at age 20. Injuries slowed him down in '04 and he hit just .255 with weak power, but he had a fair rebound season in '05, and was outstanding in '06. Reyes is certainly one of the most exciting young players in the game today. If he continues to develop his plate discipline and remains healthy, he should have a spectacular career.

His minor league record started off slowly in rookie ball, but he made gigantic strides in his second season and kept the momentum going. Reyes is a good example of a Tools Player who learned baseball skills and successfully applied them. He is a Seven Skill middle infielder, a rare bird indeed.

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writeup
"that's hot"

7 tool player. DAMN!

by akk99 on Feb 15, 2007 2:24 PM EST   0 recs

oops
skills vs. tools.

by akk99 on Feb 15, 2007 3:11 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Future Reyes
I do worry that last year's new found patience was just a blip and he'll revert to the .270, no on base skills player he was in '05.  But that's just the pessimistic Mets fan in me.

by Lunkwill Fook on Feb 15, 2007 2:29 PM EST   0 recs

doubtful
if you watched enough mets games between '05 and '06 you could see the development on a weekly basis

i saw it in '05 and predicted that by the end of '06 reyes would be the 2nd best leadoff hitter in baseball, behind only ichiro...i sounded like a super-homer at first but reyes proved me right, in fact he might have even surpassed ichiro this year but thats debateable

now i have no doubt reyes will improve even more this year, becoming one of the best all-around players in the game

also, hes going to hit 30 hrs one of these years, my guess is in '08...just wanted to get that out there

by robcast23 on Feb 15, 2007 10:43 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Elvis Andrus
That's what Andrus should be compared to.  There is some website that think Andrus won't do nothing at all, and look at Reyes when he first started out.  He struggled and now is one of the better shortstops in the league.  

by Bravesin07 on Feb 15, 2007 2:33 PM EST   0 recs

in my wet dreams...
As a Braves fan, Andrus turning into what Reyes is currently would be fantastic. The biggest problem with losing Furcal was losing his range (which helped make up for Chipper's poor range). Renteria has a solid glove; he just doesn't get to that many balls. If Andrus could develop along the lines of Reyes, it would be fantastic for the Braves.

That said, it's something of a long-shot that he'll be that good, although he's certainly got the tools.

by mraver on Feb 15, 2007 2:57 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

John
what does "seven-skill" refer to? We all know "5 tool" how about sevenskill?

by Peter North on Feb 15, 2007 2:44 PM EST   0 recs

Thanks!!!
Thank you so much for this post.

by GuyinNY on Feb 16, 2007 12:03 PM EST   0 recs

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