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rhd's Top 75

Here is my list of top 75 prospects.  I am sending this same list to Slurve.  The list I update on a regular basis is for roto, so it takes me a while to turn it into a 'real' list.  Could use a little more work but Slurve's deadline approaches, so here it is.  

It's kind of a 'safe' list, I suppose.  But, FWIW, and I think unlike many of the posters here (correct me if I'm wrong), I've seen a lot of these guys play, albeit briefly.

I could have posted a Top 100 (or Top 300, FTM), but when you get past 75 or so, I find it problematic who to include because you start getting to players that you're more and more unsure about.

Comments are welcome (praise, as well as criticism!).  I generally visit the board after work, and I'm signing off for the evening, so it may be a while before I respond.

1    Jay    Bruce    Cin    OF
2    Colby    Rasmus    StL    OF
3    Evan    Longoria    TB    3B
4    Clay    Buchholz    Bos    SP
5    Clayton    Kershaw    LAD    SP
6    Cameron    Maybin    Fla    OF
7    Joba    Chamberlain    NYY    SP/RP
8    Pedro    Alvarez    College    3B
9    Travis     Snider    Tor    OF/1B
10    Chris    Marrero    Was    OF
11    Homer    Bailey    Cin    SP
12    David    Price    TB    SP
13    Andy    LaRoche    LAD    3B/2B
14    Andrew    McCutchen    Pit    OF
15    Fernando    Martinez    NYM    OF
16    Jake    McGee    TB    SP
17    Reid    Brignac    TB    SS
18    Brandon    Wood    LAA    3B
19    Matt    Wieters    Bal    C
20    Mike    Moustakas    KC    3B/OF
21    Rick     Porcello    Det    SP
22    Jordan    Schafer    Atl    OF
23    Jacoby    Ellsbury    Bos    OF
24    Carlos    Gomez    NYM    OF
25    Joey    Votto    Cin    1B
26    Jeff    Clement    Sea    C
27    Jason    Heyward    Atl    OF/1B
28    Desmond    Jennings    TB    OF
29    Chase    Headley    SD    3B/OF
30    Carlos    Gonzalez    Ari    OF
31    Lars    Anderson    Bos    1B
32    Matt    LaPorta    Mil    1B
33    Angel    Villalona    SF    3B
34    Carlos    Triunfel    Sea    SS
35    Wade    Davis    TB    SP
36    Deolis    Guerra    NYM    SP
37    Johnny     Cueto    Cin    SP
38    Bill    Rowell    Bal    3B
39    Matt    Antonelli    SD    2B/3B
40    Gio    Gonzalez    CHW    SP
41    Fautino    De Los Santos    CHW    SP
42    Chris    Tillman    Sea    SP
43    Daric    Barton    Oak    1B
45    Brandon    Jones    Atl    OF
46    Jose    Tabata    NYY    OF
47    Dexter    Fowler    Col    OF
48    Adam    Miller    Cle    SP/RP
50    Austin     Jackson    NYY    OF
49    Mike    Burgess    Was    OF
44    Josh    Vitters    CHC    3B
51    Chin-Lung    Hu    LAD    SS
52    Ryan    Kalish    Bos    OF
53    Elvis    Andrus    Tex    SS
54    Gorkys    Hernandez    Atl    OF
55    Nick    Adenhart    LAA    SP
56    Carlos    Carrasco    Phi    SP
57    Ian    Kennedy    NYY    SP
58    Will    Inman    SD    SP
59    Eric    Hurley    Tex    SP
60    Justin    Smoak    College    1B
61    Kosuke    Fukudome    Japan    OF
62    Wladimir    Balentien    Sea    OF
63    Neil    Walker    Pit    3B
64    Jed    Lowrie    Bos    SS/2B
65    Geovany    Soto    CHC    C
66    Brett    Anderson    Ari    SP
67    Jeremy     Hellickson    TB    SP
68    Michael    Bowden    Bos    SP
69    Henry    Sosa    SF    SP
70    Cole    Rohrbough    Atl    SP
71    Jarrod    Parker    Ari    SP
72    Scott    Elbert    LAD    SP
73    Jaime    Garcia    StL    SP
74    Ian    Stewart    Col    3B/2B/1B/OF
75    J.R.    Towles    Hou    C

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Don't really get
How Alvarez is rated so high but Smoak isn't, since at the moment they're pretty close.  But generally, the prospect lists only include drafted players.  Though I think Alvarez and Smoak will be in the top 15 or so of next year's prospect list.
Hey fish, leave those kids alone!

by The Congo Hammer on Dec 5, 2007 11:52 PM EST reply actions  

Smoak
Smoak had a rough time in some league this summer (Cape Cod?).  I downgraded him some because of that.  Even before that, he wasnt all that near Alvarez.  It's hard to rank players that have no US pro experience, but I think top 15 overall for him is optimistic, even if he rebounds.

by rhd on Dec 6, 2007 7:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd like to have
the first version out by next Thursday/Friday.
Send your top 50-100 prospects to slurveone@yahoo.com!!!

by slurve on Dec 6, 2007 9:15 AM EST up reply actions  

What separates
Tabata and F-Mart by 30 spots?
Todd Frazier for President

by FrazierFan on Dec 6, 2007 7:42 AM EST reply actions  

Re:
I'll give you that their stats w ARL figured in are very similar.  I had them ranked pretty close a year ago.  BA, and others, are rating F-Mart higher than Tabata now, tho, so I'm influenced by that.  And F-Mart's body is a little more projectible.  I've never seen either play.

by rhd on Dec 6, 2007 8:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Alright rhd...
let me see the top 300, I have a draft coming up!  :)

by The Colonel on Dec 6, 2007 5:08 PM EST reply actions  

Re:
I wont post it here, but if you're really interested I can email it to you.

by rhd on Dec 6, 2007 7:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Sure
That would be great.  Once I get past the top 100, I don't have much info about ranking them against each other.  traviskurtz@sbcglobal.net  - thanks in advance!

by The Colonel on Dec 7, 2007 4:40 AM EST up reply actions  

OK
I'm on the road now, but I'll try to send it to you later this weekend.  

You'll notice that I lot of the better pitchers for this year's draft (Moskos, Latos, Cecil, etc.) I have ranked in the 140-160 range.  That's because I dont know how highly regarded they are in relation to other players.  As BA finishes their Top 10's, a lot of them probably will move up.  

by rhd on Dec 8, 2007 3:44 AM EST up reply actions  

Lillibridge?
No love for Brent Lillibridge? I would think a ML-quality glove at SS with a plus arm and a bat that looks to be MLB-average (ie, better-than-average for a SS) at least would get a mention.

Kid finished last season ripping up AAA, has good on base skills and once he gets there, steals bases and doesn't get caught. K-rate looked like it might be an issue earlier this year, but he brought it down to his career level (around 18%) when he got to Richmond. Considering how close he is to the majors, I'd probably have him in my top 50.

by mraver on Dec 6, 2007 9:12 PM EST reply actions  

Re:
Thanx for your response, mraver.  Lillibridge is 1 of those guys I'd consider for the back of my top 100.  He is in my roto top 100, partly because of his speed.  He was 24 this year and still was in AAA, and may not get a regular MLB gig this year either.  And altho his stats were solid they werent great either.  I'd consider him borderline top 100.  He might make BA's list in the 80-100 range, but I dont expect he'll be any higher.

by rhd on Dec 8, 2007 3:40 AM EST up reply actions  

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