Minor League Ball: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
New Blog: RSL Soapbox for Real Salt Lake Fans!

Question about Padres Prospects

With the Padres and Astros reportedly discussing a trade for Luke Scott, I was hoping to get some information (preferably some kind of scouting report) on the following prospects who are being mentioned as trade candidates:

Nick Hundley, Will Venable, Josh Geer, and Wade LeBlanc.

Thanks for any help.

0 recs  |  Comment 5 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

I was looking at them
I don't know anything but what I have read.

I would have no interest in either Pos players. The two pitchers are not great but they have promise. I think 2 players equal to LeBlanc's value would be about right for Scott. But if all they can get is LeBlanc and Geer it is not insulting.

Any thoughts from a Pads guy

Make the world a better place. Punch Tim Purpura in the face.

by Shamus on Dec 4, 2007 11:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Padres Top 30
I've blogged on the Padres (emphasis on MiLB) on and off for 5 years (more on than off) and did a top 30 this year. Here's my report on those 4 (tne whole top 30 is posted at MadFriars.com):

7. Wade Leblanc
SP, Bats: L, Throws: L, Birthday: August 7, 1984, 6'3" 202
Hi-A (CAL): 6-5, 2,64 ERA, 92.0 IP, 72 H, 5 HR, 17/90 BB/SO ratio
AA (TEX): 7-3, 3.45 ERA, 57.1 IP, 48 H, 8 HR, 19/55 BB/SO ratio

Like virtually every lefty whose fastball doesn't regularly break 90, Leblanc gets the obligatory Glavine-comparison... Unlike most others, for Leblanc, it fits.

As a collegian, Leblanc posted an aggregate 9.11 K/9 rate. As a professional he has posted a more-than-respectable 8.51 K/9 rate. Also, as a professional, Leblanc has only once posted an ERA greater than 3.45 (he posted a 4.29 in 21.0 innings in Eugene) and has a cumulative 2.97 professional ERA.

The biggest reason for the Glavine-comp, is Leblanc's change. Baseball America called it the best changeup of the 2006 draft. Also, like Glavine, Leblanc has a mid-upper 80's fastball and decent curve.

Leblanc may not be a member of the Padres 2008 starting rotation in April, but he will likely make his MLB debut next season.

15. Nick Hundley
C, Bats: R, Throws: R, Birthday: September 8, 1983, 6'1" 210
AA (TEX): .247/.324/.475 with 23 2B, 1 3B, 20 HR, 42/74 BB/SO ratio

Nick is another guy that is hard to rate. Consider:

A.    .276/.347/.453
B.    .224/.306/.493

The "A" stats are Nick's home stats where the wind blows straight in from CF and the park favors pitchers by a wide margin. The "B" stats are the from the hitter-friendly Texas League... Here is another relevant home/road statistic: Nick's BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) was .304 at home and .217 on the road.

Without having seen every game, it is hard to determine what factors might have been at play here ... A .304 BABIP is not abnormal (the San Antonio Missions as a team had .298 BABIP). The easiest (and likely, most accurate) conclusion to jump to is that Nick was unlucky on the road.

I think that Mitch Canham is going to turn out better, but Hundley is underrated should be an above average back up or average-to-slightly below average starting catcher.

17. Will Venable
OF, Bats: L, Throws: L, Birthday: October 29, 1982, 6'2" 205
AA (TEX): .278/.337/.373 with 19 2B, 3 3B, 8 HR, 38/84 BB/SO ratio

Venable fell more (in my book) than any other hitting prospect on this list.

When it comes to ranking prospects, one thing to look at is age. However, if a player dominates the level he is at, it should not be counted against as much (see David Freese). Last year I wrote,

[Will Venable] has much less baseball experience than most Low-A players. Now, because Will was late to baseball, he may continue to "grow" into the sport, making the outfielder's 2006 campaign [(.314/389/.477)], his first full-season of professional baseball, all the more impressive.

While Venable did skip a level his lack of power (both his lack of power-production and his lack of development) and reduced walk-rate hurt.

As a defender, the jury is out. If Venable can play above-average defense in CF, he may be able to carve out a big league career. If Will is defensively limited to a corner OF, his bat will be a liability.

27. Josh Geer
SP, Bats: R, Throws: R, Birthday: June 2, 1983, 6'3" 190
AA (TEX): 16-6, 3.20 ERA, 171.1 IP, 163 H, 9 HR, 27/101 BB/SO ratio
AAA (PCL): 1-0, 3.00 ERA, 6.0 IP, 6 H, 0 HR, 1/6 BB/SO ratio

Josh is overlooked more than a merely good-looking woman at beauty contest. Other than going 1-1 in five games in Fort Wayne, he's had winning record at every level of professional baseball. He even went 12-4 in college at Rice.

To Geer's credit, he doesn't allow home runs; he's never allowed more than 10 in a season and has allowed only 27 over three minor league seasons. Why then don't I have him ranked higher? Two reasons: One, in 400 minor league innings, Geer has allowed 421 hits and secondly he has a 5.53 career K/9 rate. The stat that means more than anything to me is K/9 and I also don't like to see more hits than innings pitched. Geer reminds me a lot of Michael Thompson.

-peter

by PeterF on Dec 5, 2007 12:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks
for all the info. Thats why I come here. Don't hesitate to ask me about any Astro prospects or MLB players in the future.
Make the world a better place. Punch Tim Purpura in the face.

by Shamus on Dec 5, 2007 12:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks
Thanks a lot.  I had looked at the stats, but stats don't always tell the whole story.  Your information was very helpful.  Moot, but very helpful.

by astrosfan76 on Dec 5, 2007 2:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Rosenthal
says the deal is dead
Make the world a better place. Punch Tim Purpura in the face.

by Shamus on Dec 4, 2007 11:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Minor League Ball: Where the Future of Baseball is Discussed
Start posting on Minor League Ball »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Arizona Fall League 2009 Video Posted
Small
Top-10 Prospects of the Last 20 years: Hitters

Recent FanPosts

413niegoftl__sl500_aa280__small
Open Thread: Best of the Unprotected; Top Rule V Prospects
Small
Last year's rookies, top community prospects for future performance #11
Adam_jones_small
Dustin Ackley to 2nd base
Super_grover_small
Throwing stuff against the wall: What would it cost the A's to trade for Florida's Josh Johnson?
Small
AFL Championship Game Thread
Small
Last year's rookies, top community prospects for future performance #10
Small
Any surprises with your team's 40 man protection today?
Small
Mock MLB offseason: Should A's trade for Reid Brignac?
Small
This Stephen Strasburg guy

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Carew_small John Sickels


Site Meter