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Prospects for Justin Upton in 2008

With Quentin out of the way, it looks like the D-Backs are going to start with Upton in RF and give him a shot. After holding his own last year what are reasonable expectations? I think he can hit about .260 with 15-20 HR/SB.

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i can see a
.285 line with 22 homers and 85 rbis
Marcello on Tim Lincecum's 2008: "Yeah, he only pitched 180 innings last year, who knows if he can handle 200?!?!??"

by realityconquest on Dec 24, 2007 3:32 PM EST reply actions  

Bill James
... projects a .278/.353/.496 line with 32dbl, 9trp, 19hr, 76r and 74rbi's.  I personally think the avg is a little high but I believe the power numbers are attainable.

by scstrato on Dec 24, 2007 3:49 PM EST reply actions  

me and a struggle
.255 26dbl, 5trp, 16hr, 72r, 68rbi 52bb,95k's.

by Bravesin07 on Dec 24, 2007 4:44 PM EST reply actions  

Upton's Line
I don't see him having a very good season and believe he will more then likely be sent down to triple a in late may or early june.  He will most likely get recalled sometime in the middle of august.

So with about 340 at bats, I am thinking the following line:
7hr, 40rbi, 35runs, 12stl a 235 average and a 300 on base percentage.

The internet's latest attempt at understanding what is going on inside baseball - http://theoutsiderslook.blogspot.com

by bheikoop on Dec 24, 2007 4:58 PM EST reply actions  

i agree that his avg will be pretty low
but this guy could hit 20 hrs accidentally.  if he gets a full season up, i have to think he hits at least 25.
http://www.simdynasty.com/index.jsp?refer=mychiefs58

by huckleberry on Dec 25, 2007 2:15 AM EST reply actions  

Two Scenarios
He either goes the Ken Griffy/Manny Ramirez route and hits .270/24 HR before he starts putting up consistant MVP seasons or he goes the Pujols/A-Rod route and puts up MVP numbers in his first full season.

I assume this is a fantasy based question. The real answer is, Upton should go around the 20th or so OF off the board, ahead of guys like Sheffield, Manny Ramirez, and Ken Griffey. The upside is well worth it and the downside is limited. Most likely, he will slide much furthur than OF#20, so you will be able to snag him at a bargain. In a keeper league, you could argue he's in the top 10 OF, maybe even top 5, depending on keeper structure.

by rwperu34 on Dec 25, 2007 1:16 PM EST reply actions  

Top 5
I was hoping he would be there.  I am in a keeper league and have the 3rd pick.  Thoughts are that Braun will go 1, and Gordon 2, so that leaves me with the pick of Gallardo, Hughes, Upton or Lincecum.  My team is an expansion team, so really bad, either way I wont be wining this year.  Does Upton have more of an immediate upside then those other three?  I have always liked going with a guy who will play 150 games, not 30, so I always go batter vs pitcher.  Problem is both my pitching and batting will be bad this year and next.

by ChrisRef19 on Dec 25, 2007 4:06 PM EST up reply actions  

circumstances
In your situation, I would rank Upton ahead of all those other guys by a wide margin.

by BobbyMac on Dec 25, 2007 5:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Justin Upton or Delmon Young
Which one would you pick first in a keeper league at this point?
The squirrels have become organized...and they're angry!

by maxisagod on Dec 25, 2007 11:45 PM EST reply actions  

Upton
Better plate discipline, better overall tools although Young might hit for a wee more power.

by npurcell on Dec 26, 2007 12:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Neither
I'd rather have several other guys before them in a keeper league.

by siddfynch on Dec 26, 2007 1:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Curious...
who would you like to have who has had 1-2 years experience or less?

Of course, I'd rather have Upton at this point because of Young's performance trends over the past 3 years. I probably would take Rasmus and Bruce over Young at this point too. But I'm curious on your take.

by beastball on Dec 26, 2007 9:51 AM EST up reply actions  

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