Prospects for Justin Upton in 2008

by HectorLuna on Dec 24, 2007 3:32 PM EST

With Quentin out of the way, it looks like the D-Backs are going to start with Upton in RF and give him a shot. After holding his own last year what are reasonable expectations? I think he can hit about .260 with 15-20 HR/SB.

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i can see a

.285 line with 22 homers and 85 rbis

Marcello on Tim Lincecum's 2008: "Yeah, he only pitched 180 innings last year, who knows if he can handle 200?!?!??"

by realityconquest on Dec 24, 2007 3:32 PM EST reply actions

Bill James

... projects a .278/.353/.496 line with 32dbl, 9trp, 19hr, 76r and 74rbi's. I personally think the avg is a little high but I believe the power numbers are attainable.

by scstrato on Dec 24, 2007 3:49 PM EST reply actions

me and a struggle

.255 26dbl, 5trp, 16hr, 72r, 68rbi 52bb,95k's.

by Bravesin07 on Dec 24, 2007 4:44 PM EST reply actions

Upton's Line

I don't see him having a very good season and believe he will more then likely be sent down to triple a in late may or early june. He will most likely get recalled sometime in the middle of august.

So with about 340 at bats, I am thinking the following line:
7hr, 40rbi, 35runs, 12stl a 235 average and a 300 on base percentage.

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by bheikoop on Dec 24, 2007 4:58 PM EST reply actions

i agree that his avg will be pretty low

but this guy could hit 20 hrs accidentally. if he gets a full season up, i have to think he hits at least 25.

http://www.simdynasty.com/index.jsp?refer=mychiefs58

by huckleberry on Dec 25, 2007 2:15 AM EST reply actions

Two Scenarios

He either goes the Ken Griffy/Manny Ramirez route and hits .270/24 HR before he starts putting up consistant MVP seasons or he goes the Pujols/A-Rod route and puts up MVP numbers in his first full season.

I assume this is a fantasy based question. The real answer is, Upton should go around the 20th or so OF off the board, ahead of guys like Sheffield, Manny Ramirez, and Ken Griffey. The upside is well worth it and the downside is limited. Most likely, he will slide much furthur than OF#20, so you will be able to snag him at a bargain. In a keeper league, you could argue he's in the top 10 OF, maybe even top 5, depending on keeper structure.

by rwperu34 on Dec 25, 2007 1:16 PM EST reply actions

Top 5

I was hoping he would be there. I am in a keeper league and have the 3rd pick. Thoughts are that Braun will go 1, and Gordon 2, so that leaves me with the pick of Gallardo, Hughes, Upton or Lincecum. My team is an expansion team, so really bad, either way I wont be wining this year. Does Upton have more of an immediate upside then those other three? I have always liked going with a guy who will play 150 games, not 30, so I always go batter vs pitcher. Problem is both my pitching and batting will be bad this year and next.

by ChrisRef19 on Dec 25, 2007 4:06 PM EST up reply actions