Travis Hafner...What happened??
After a monsterous season in 2006 when he posted a 1.098 OPS and 42HRs despite missing the last month of the season with a broken wrist, Travis Hafner has slugged.451 in the 2007 season.
Hafner's eye ratio and contact%s are nearly identical identical to his 2006 season, so whats the problem? Is the wrist injury still lingering?
Anybody have any idea why he had such a substandard year in 2007? Whats the outlook for '08 and beyond?
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49 comments
Comments
I can answer that....
by hallofamer2000 on Oct 18, 2007 11:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
not true
by pedrophile on Oct 19, 2007 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
False
by siddfynch on Oct 19, 2007 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
link?
by Kanst42 on Oct 19, 2007 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
hGH
- hGH helps steroid users maintain their health by preserving tendon strength. This is important because the new and oft-oversized muscle garnered from AAS will often be prone to tears.
- hGH leans you out. In this sense, it is comparable to Winstrol (the stuff Raffy Palmeiro was caught with). Ballplayers want to be lean since, if you're too bulky, it will hurt your swing/pitching motion. While he did not use hGH to my knowledge, Mike Morse did use Winstrol to remove excess weight gain after cycling Deca Durabolin during an offseason workout/rehab regimen.
- hGH will help promote bone growth. While this will manifest as something that looks an awful lot like acromegaly (see : Barry Bonds' giant head and foot growth, Stallone's waaaay-too-thick fingers, of for a natural version, Andre the Giant). This is the reason why someone like, say, Kurt Angle or Edge (two pro wrestlers) relied on hGH to help them overcome very serious neck injuries. This is valuable to someone like Rodney Harrison in the NFL, or in MLB, a Rick Ankiel (who was recovering from TJ when he used). As an aside, if one of the medical professional types on the board could explain to me how hGH use aids in UCL-replacement surgery, that'd be great, since as far as I know there's no deleterious effect to the bone.
- hGH is believed to have anti-aging effects, as has been well-publicized. This may lead older ballplayers to use, in an effort to stave off father time.
This information is really all very freely available, and all you have to do is keep your eyes/ears open and make sure to remember what you hear. I'd suggest that a baseball fan start with Game of Shadows( Lance Williams and Mark Fainaru-Wada), The Juice (Will Carroll), Juicing the Game (Howard Bryant), Juiced! (Jose Canseco), the excellent work of the New York Daily News' I-Team, ESPN's Shaun Assael, Tom Verducci's seminal reporting for Sports Illustrated (including the Ken Caminiti issue), Buster Olney's blog on ESPN, just about anything Vic Conte has written/said (it's not always sooth, but it is always entertaining and enlightening), the St.Patrick's Day 2005 Massacre testimony, and regular visits to bodybuilding and pro wrestling forums.
I'll leave you with an anecdote and a question. "Rowdy" Roddy Piper oft-reminisces about a disclaimer on steroids in the late 1980's which read "Caution : Will NOT enhance athletic performance." Of course, the boys in the back all thought this was the funniest thing ever, since about the only reason to be on the gas was because it DID enhance your performance. Yes, it's true that some ballplayers would shoot moose piss into their eyes if they thought it could raise their batting averages .001, but remember that ballplayers aren't a stupid lot, by and large. Do you really think they'd be using this stuff if it didn't work?
P.S. To the more athletically inclined on the board, do you think there's any truth to the whole "hGH is marijuana to AAS' heroin" mythology?
by GuyinNY on Oct 19, 2007 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
eyesight
As to fact-checking, again, any google search will return far more than I ever could. However, if there are any problems with the information I presented, I'd be glad to have them corrected. Free and open discourse is really the best to way to learn about the entirety of the PED issue (as it is with most everything else), and as the old adage goes, sunlight is the best disenfectant.
by GuyinNY on Oct 19, 2007 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for that info
by Kanst42 on Oct 19, 2007 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm glad somebody finally posted something true
It does not help with strength. Could help you return from injustry faster . . maybe . . . but steriods are still better.
At least with steriods you're adding healthy muscle tissue and strength (assuming you work out).
I can't fingure out why an athelete would take HGH. It's like taking an herbal concoction for a cold.
by Montreal97 on Oct 19, 2007 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Citations, please
by siddfynch on Oct 19, 2007 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you try to prove a negative...
What's that? You say you can't?
Whew! Good thing a lack of evidence isn't the same thing as conclusive evidence the other way! But we shouldn't let facts get in the way of your beliefs, I suppose. :-)
--
Sarcasm aside, what I should have said earlier is, "There is no evidence that shows that HGH adds to an individual's strength." Which is true. There's anecdotal evidence (and AFAIK, inconclusive science) that it improves eyesight, and it's thought to help with recovery and such.
But there's nothing to indicate that it adds to strength or HR-hitting ability, which is what I was trying to say in a single subject line as I headed off to class early this morning.
by mraver on Oct 19, 2007 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So...
Heh.
So, after reading sidd's well-stated post below, it seems that he an I basically agree. Sorry about that. Especially the sarcastic bit at the beginning. It was obviously uncalled for. >_<
I do disagree about one thing. While it is bad that people are walking around thinking that HGH has been conclusively "proved" to not effect a player's strength, I think a far more insidious thought is that expressed by a couple of posters in this thread. Namely that any drop-off in player performance these days is caused by (the player no longer using) PEDs. It seems like people just can't rationalize "up years" and "down years" anymore and instead immediately assume that players' performances are effected in enormous ways by their use of PEDs. And while some PEDs certainly do improve performance, the degree of that improvement has never really been estimated with any degree of precision. For all we know, it could be pretty marginal.
I think that's all I've got.
by mraver on Oct 19, 2007 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kanst42
One of the fundamental parts of training for research scientists to teach how to examine flaws or weaknesses in either published research, or in the transfer of published research to a new situation. The study I am thinking of simply doesn't translate well to baseball players...it was on a different demographic (elderly people), didn't necessarily cover the dosages or applications or methods that a ballplayer would, etc. etc. The study itself is fine - it's the transfer to another setting that has major faults. Honestly, baseball analysts make poor assessors or science and (real) statistics.
A couple more direct answers:
- GuyinNY already addressed some points about HGH very effectively (post right above mine), so I won't repeat them here. Suffice to say that "HGH doesn't add strength" is not only based on incomplete evidence, it is also a red herring argument - e.g., it could provide other benefits besides sheer strength.
- You can't prove a negative in science - period. So to say that one (or 2, or 5) studies "prove" that HGH has no effect is an uneducated statement that says more about the poster's belief system than about what the real truth is. Off-hand, I'd say a high-caliber experiment or study that would yield confidence in HGH NOT helping add enough strength to benefit ballplayers would take years to perform, and would have to be very specific. Such a study is probably not very realisticaly going to happen, so the best we can do is go off off of "Strong inference" (JRM Platts, 1964) in combination with an abundance of anecdotal or peripheral evidence...of which we have almost none. Such an approach, when used well, is actually well-respected in science when there is no better information.
- GuyinNY also asks about HGH and eyesight. Without recounting it all here, I provided a few citations for HGH and eyesight in a thread about 2 months ago. I don't post too often on this, so a quick search might turn it up. Clearly, there is a mechanism by which HGH can improve eyesight (it is prescribed to some people suffering from glaucoma, though the reasons for its success are not known for sure). Once again, however, the transfer of this to a ballplayer's situation has not been proven. Again, we have strong inference, some anecdotal evidence, and some peripheral studies, but no silver bullet study on ballplayers.
by siddfynch on Oct 19, 2007 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re-paste of thread regarding HGH and eyesight
Steroids and Vision
I am not aware of any credible evidence that steroids improve vision. If you can show me they do from a study in a peer reviewed scienific journal, I'd be interested in seeing it.
by DrBGiantsfan on Wed Aug 08, 2007 at 10:19:14 PM PDT
[ Parent ]
Well
i see what you are saying...no proof, especially not peer-reviewed.
But the problem is that there is a often a lag time between when a theoretical mechanism is proposed and the publication of a study that tests the hypotheses (I know you are an MD and thus are obvuously all-too-familiar with this). So lack of a peer-reviewed study is hardly conclusive proof that a pathway that appears logical and makes sense based on reasonably-informed hypothesis isn't correct. Basically, lack of a test on a specific user group doesn't mean the hypothesis is wrong.
But I don't mean that as a cop-out. There are tons of peer-reviewed studies that show the palliative benefit of steroids on restoring eyesight that has been damaged thru illness or trauma - clearly, steroids improve vision in some subsets of people, both injured and aging-related illnesses (or diabetes). Whether or not some of these same benefits are known to apply to age-35 athletes (whose decline in hitting may or may not be due to eyesight that is diminished through normal or illness-accelerated causes) As always, it also a a little slippery to try to test drugs on humans that have no diagnosed ailment (which is why we can never say that Agent Orange definitely affected Vietnam vets - we can't design a peer-reviewed study that would dose a bunch of otherwise-healthy 20-yr-old men to it). I don't know enough about eyesight itself to know if the kinds of "normal" vision decreased have any sibling relationship with the kinds of ailments that steroids are used to treat.
But clearly, steroids are well known to improve vision in at least some patients, so there is a mechanism in place between the injection into the body and the performance of the vision.
A few citations:
Brusaferri F, Candelise L. Steroids for multiple sclerosis and optic neuritis: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled clinical trials. Journal of Neurology, 2000; 247(6): 435-442
Eye (2005) 19, 747-751. doi:10.1038/sj.eye.6701636 Published online 10 September 2004
Intravitreal triamcinolone improves vision in eyes with chronic diabetic macular oedema refractory to laser photocoagulation. A K Negi1, S A Vernon1, C S Lim1 and K Owen-Armstrong1
Br J Ophthalmol 2001;85:1061-1064 ( September )
Scientific correspondence. Steroid management in giant cell arteritis Colin C K Chan, Mark Paine, Justin O'Day
(note that one review of this reads "While limited by its retrospective nature, this study adds significant weight to the argument that steroids can improve vision...")
A random quote I lifted from the Mayo clinic:
Dr. Mark J. Kupersmith, director of Neuro-ophthalmology at Beth Israel Medical Center in New York City, said, "Most MS doctors would prefer their patients to take a course of steroids to bring their vision back quickly."
by siddfynch on Wed Aug 08, 2007 at 11:03:18 PM PDT
[ Parent ]
[new] Disease
Each one of those references refer to the treatment of disease with cortisol and related chemicals. Cortisol is not even in the same class of drugs as anabolic steroids that are used as PED's. That is vastly different than trying to improve something that is normal already.
Here's an interesting question: Let's just say that Kirby Puckett's vision could could have been saved by use of an anabolic steroid if it was given in time. Would that disqualify him from playing baseball because performance enhancement was a side effect?
by DrBGiantsfan on Thu Aug 09, 2007 at 07:25:19 PM PDT
[ Parent ]
by siddfynch on Oct 19, 2007 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My Guess
by Dfarth on Oct 18, 2007 11:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Compare
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 19, 2007 12:49 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Would that have an affect on his hitting?
by taro on Oct 19, 2007 3:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Draw Your Own Conclusions
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 19, 2007 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You throw out...
by knightgalt on Oct 19, 2007 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
More
You make a good point that appearances are not proof.
Acromegalic features can come from a genetic variant, intrinsic overproduction of HGH, or exogenous administration of HGH.
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 19, 2007 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pictures
by knightgalt on Oct 19, 2007 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Conclusion
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 19, 2007 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Accusation
by CrimsonLiederhosen on Oct 20, 2007 10:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No Insinuations
Only doctors can write prescriptions.
And Dr. B's a Giants fan.
Just something to think about and draw your own conclusions. ;-)
by Yakker on Oct 21, 2007 12:21 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
LOL!
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 21, 2007 2:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I Don't Thnk So
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 21, 2007 2:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ha ha
by CrimsonLiederhosen on Oct 21, 2007 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just an honest question..
by taro on Oct 19, 2007 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Acromegaly
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 19, 2007 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget
by drjayphd on Oct 19, 2007 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wight
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 19, 2007 6:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
More Information?
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 19, 2007 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's "Google"
by siddfynch on Oct 20, 2007 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To Google- the act of logging onto google.com and typing in a search word.
by DrBGiantsfan on Oct 20, 2007 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Looking at the stats
2004- .362
2005- .353
2006- .328
2007- .302
That is primarily due to his linedrive percentage dropping to 17.5 percent. Looking at the numbers he basically wasnt hitting the ball as hard. I would guess lingering wrist injury which can sap a lot of your power. But there is also the risk that he is declining. Thirty year old DH's dont normally age very well. I think he will be back to his old self next year but I dont know how long that will last
by Kanst42 on Oct 19, 2007 10:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Look like another down moment for you right there
by siddfynch on Oct 19, 2007 11:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Back to baseball analysis
I agree with Kanst42 (probably should have replied to him), he'll be back and fine next year, although he's gonna be an old player skills guy at some point pretty soon.
by Yakker on Oct 19, 2007 1:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I also think he had trouble because he wasn't
Hello Kanst42 and Uncle Charlie,
Uncle Charlie - I agree with you regarding his having trouble with inside pitches; I can't say for sure whether it was from his 2006 wrist injury, his declining, or his just having an off year, but I too noticed that he didn't hit nearly as many balls hard as in the past.
As well, he wasn't as adept at taking the ball the other way as much, and especially hitting the ball hard the other way. He couldn't reach that outside pitch very often during the season, and especially in the ALCS (I think that's partly why Hafner struck out something like 9-12 times in a 16 AB stretch; Boston pitchers knew they could go on or just off the outside corner to get him out; they also got him out on inside fastballs as well.) In the past, he could hit hard shots to left-center field and even down the LF line, but this year, that was few and far between, especially after April, really his only good month on the year in my opinion (and he was getting intentionally walked a lot in April as well - some even suggested that his getting intentionally walked also affected him by encouraging him to swing outside the strike zone at pitches he used to take because he knew he wouldn't get anything else good to hit.)
Thinking about it, I wonder how many hard-hit balls (such as HRs or line drive 2Bs) Hafner hit to left and left-center field - I'd be curious to know the numbers, but I'd be surprised if his 2007 numbers in those categories didn't go down by a lot over his past season numbers (2004-2006, and especially 2006) in those categories.
Just my 2 cents. :-)
Take care and have a great day!
by indiansfan on Oct 23, 2007 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So from what I understand from you guys...
Then there's David Ortiz. Hell, we may as well talk about it.
by BlackOps on Oct 19, 2007 1:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
uhh, pretty simple question here.
by Mean Dean on Oct 21, 2007 7:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Answer
Matt
by WayneCampbell05 on Oct 22, 2007 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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