Trade Rumors
I figured we should have a place to talk about potential trade rumors since we are so close to the deadline. There have been all sorts of crazy things floating around the internet this moning. For instance I read today that the Yanks may be getting Abreu/Lidle for only Henry/White. If that is true, it is the biggest salary dump I can remember in recent years. How can the Yanks not be forced to deal either Hughes or Tabata by other teams?
Anyone else hear any good ones?
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Carrol
Tentative Deal
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 2:09 PM EDT reply actions
The weird thing...
Update
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2534459
My reaction is unless the "list" the Phillies can pick from reads Hughes, Tabata, Duncan, this is a huge win for the Yankees.
this deal is bad for baseball
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Not bad for baseball
What?
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Hellooooo...
It comes down to doing one of 3 things if you're the Phils.
A.) Keep him and spend over $15 mil over the next 2 years. He is obviously in decline - the Phils don't feel he's worth the money.
B.) Dump him for some good prospects and pick up some salary. They would spend millions to get those prospects and there is no such thing as a can't miss prospect.
C.) Take some mid-level prospects and lose all of the salary. The $30 mil or so you save will allow you to go out and buy proven talent. The money saved from Abreu will allow the signing/acquisition of 2-3 impact players that will outproduce Abreu dollar for dollar.
This is real baseball, not fantasy. Financial relief can help a team in many case WAY more than good or even great prospects. If Abreu's contract was only in the 10-12 mil range, I think you would have seen Hughes/Tabata/Duncan.
Thanks
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions
OK, have it your way.
The Cubs dumped Sosa last year. They had to pick up a bunch of his salary and got Hairston and a AAAA 2b.
Staying with the Cubs - Aramis Ramirez was a dump by Pitt. They got Jose Hernandez and handshake. The biggest part for Pitt was not having to pay Aramis.
Sure this deal is on a bigger scale, but so what? The Phils got over 30 million dollars of salary relief. That is absolutely HUGE for them. They could have remained strapped with a declining Abreu and not been able to make moves they wanted to for 2 years, or they could start upgrading sooner. NO ONE was going to pick up all of that salary AND give up top prospects. I'll put the shoe on the other foot and challenge you find a single deal where a large salary has been picked up by the new team AND they gave up top prospects to boot. You simply won't find it. Sure the Schilling and Sexson deals garnered some good prospects, but the new teams didn't pick up $30 mil over the next 2 years either. This isn't that hard of a concept.
Lee for Podsednik
I'm confussed
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions
no
come on...
by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Podsednick
Re: Pods
Chicago was 2nd in the majors last year in Team Defense Efficiency and Pods was a big part of that. He had a Rate2 of 110 and a +21 RAR.
Am I saying that if you make the all-star game you are a great player? NO. Far from it. But I won't accept that a guy who made the all-star team is a worthless player.
P.S.: GFYGAH
by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions
C'mon!!!
P.S. - WTF does GFYGAH mean
Re:
You're a friggin idiot who is a ChiSox hater. I'm glad your team traded Nolasco, Pinto, and Mitre for Pierre. Suck on Podsednik-lite for awhile.
by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions
I usually
And no, I don't give defensive metrics very much credit. There is no such thing as an air-tight defensive metric and the guys at BP will be the 1st ones to tell you that. Offense, on the other hand is WAY easier to quantify and can be proven. Defense? Not so much.
Whoa, cool down
BP's stats are good but aren't necessarily accurate, they'll be the first to tell you that. Baseball defensive stats are still in their infancy, as I'm sure you're aware. Podsednik might be a poor defensive player (I don't know or care either way), despite favorable stats.
Sorry
Screw you
You took my comment out of context and mocked me all in one swoop. Mocking someone is the same as calling them an idiot. I address your comments with statistics and I get b.s. nonsense that 'even xyz would tell you'. Whatever man. You mess with the bull you get the horns. I don't apologize. ESAD.
by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Tell me
Here's my fancy 'lil acronym for you: GSAD.
Pods
by TINSTAAPP on Jul 30, 2006 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions
I know that
Getting back to "He made the all-star team? Are you serious?" It was a legitimate question. I half thought natsfan was saying something toungue-in-cheek. I got called an idiot for that. I've been called worse by lesser, but that needed to be put in check.
walk away
by I Love Oakland As on Jul 30, 2006 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Sorry,
well
by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions
However
Philly can sign 3 Podsednik like players at $4 million each for 2 years and still spend less than $30 million. If someone (yankees) think that declining skills of a 32 year old is what they need - let them waste the money.
This is still a wait and see - but if the Phillies truly re-invest this money to address 3B and OF and possibly add a pitcher - then this will be a great trade for the organization. I think there does need to be some type of stipulation in baseball about what teams must do after they salary dump to make sure they are improving their team but I see no problem with this deal.
I'm in the middle
However, the system strikes me as broken when the value of having a very good player NOT play for you is greater than anything you could get in return.
I like the NBA's new deal where a team can waive one player and not have him count against the cap (even though the guy is still paid in full). Would a modified version of this work in baseball? Would it change anything? I'm not sure on both counts.
would never happen
I disagree
There's no cap in baseball
by OneHitWonder @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions
agreed
by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions
Luxury Tax
During the arbitration offers period, teams can designate one player to be placed on waivers under this clause. Unlike regular waivers, the player cannot be traded or sent to the minors. Said player joins the Free Agent pool and is free to negotiate a contract with any other team.
If the player signs with another team, the player's old team agrees to pay the guaranteed portion of the player's old contract in full. In return, the team gets the standard Type A/B/C free agent compensation (if applicable), and the player's salary no longer counts toward the luxury tax threshold.
If the player does not sign with another team, he remains with the team that waived him as such unless traded or DFAed.
This is an advantage over regular waivers because it allows the old team to avoid paying 150% or whatever on this player's contract (plus any others) and get some compensation (the draft picks), while making the player more attractive to other teams because he can be signed at a lower price. This could amount to a savings of several million dollars, which isn't negligible. The player wins because he still gets the compensation from the old contract AND gets a raise going to another team of (more or less) his choosing.
I see this applying to situations like Manny Ramirez with the Red Sox a few years ago, where he was waived and no one claimed him because no one wanted to pay the whole $20 million. Still having to pay the salary would restrict player movement by this program, but it would still amount to a fairly sizeable savings for some teams.
"other" minor leaguers
Anyone know anything about these guys? Obviously, the Yankees don't need a minor league catcher since the signed....ummm...I can't think of the guy's name.
Abreu deal
by OneHitWonder @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 3:49 PM EDT reply actions
Belliard
Seems a bit fishy since this was posted on their site prior to Belliard batting in the 9th. Wouldn't he be taken out?
by lofton09 on Jul 30, 2006 3:54 PM EDT reply actions
Re: Belliard
by APV @ Minor League Ball on Jul 30, 2006 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Belliard for Luna
by baseball006 on Jul 30, 2006 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Would think we'd get back more than Luna if both..
Hello everyone,
I've heard the same reports.
Luna is not bad for a backup, but Belliard is one of the better 2nd basemen offensively and has his moments defensively. If you add Mota's electric arm (granted, he hasn't done well enough with his command this year,) you'd think that that would be worth a minor prospect in addition to Luna.
Only problem is - St. Louis' farm system, outside of some notable prospects, is still relatively poor, so maybe the Indians feel that Luna is more of a sure thing than any prospects that were offered by the Cardinals.
Just my 2 cents. :-)
Take care and have a great day!
Far as I've seen
The Phillies got played
Gillick should be ashamed of himself.
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 5:15 PM EDT reply actions
Addition by Subtraction still applies
The Phillies have $1.5 million in responsibility instead of $21+ an option year. That puts them almost $20 million ahead at the least. That does not even take into account the money they saved by dumping Lidle.
The pitching staff could be better by the end of the year then what it started the year out with. Myers, Hamels, Wolf, Madsen and Mathieson would be a pretty nice staff to start 2007 with so I don't think they will have to get another arm if Wolf has a steady finish this year.
1B, 2B, SS and CF are solid, Burrell is OK in left so that leaves 2 OF spots, 3B and C. Victorino is an excellent 4th OF and Burrell can do the job especially with Victorino around so now we are left with finding a catcher, 3B and OF. Are you telling me they can't fill those needs with the money saved from lidle and Abreu and put a pretty darn good product on the field?
Maybe Colorado wants to trade Garrett Atkins in the off-season to make room for Stewart, Morgan Ensberg seems to be an every other season guy so next year might be a good year to try and get him or whatever. The point is that Abreu wasn't taking them any where and neither was Lidle. This frees them up to try to improve the team and given the problems they are having and the nice core they have in Utley, Howard, Rowand and Rollins, I think this was the best thing to do for them.
Exactly
~5 mil 2006 (Abreu)
16 mil 2007 (Abreu)
~1 mil 2006 (Lidle)
2 mil 2008 buyout (Abreu)
That's a 24 million dollar savings over 2 years. When you compare that to what KC or TB spends on a complete roster... You can get a lot of young talent to shore up your team for that much. That and they got a semi-servicable pitcher, and a very young athletic SS that was a 1st round pick in 2005. Looks like a win-win to me.
Here is the bottom line
20,000 people in the stands this year ain't going to cover Abreu's salary so the only way to fix that is to unload the salary and start over.
Gillick cannot be judged by what has happened today but rather by what happens prior to opening day next year. If the only thing this trade does is cut salary, then Gillick and the Philly ownership should be ashamed. However, if this money is properly re-invested to help improve this team and fill the stadium, then this will end up being a great trade for Philly. Only time will tell.
Again I agree
You're scaring me
Be Afraid.
That's my point
re:
by I Love Oakland As on Aug 1, 2006 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Hammerin Hank?
by ScottsLobs on Jul 30, 2006 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Red Sox & Rangers make minor deal
Vs. LHB: 10 IP, 5 hits, 1 BB, 10 Ks, 0.60 WHIP, .147 BAA.
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 5:22 PM EDT reply actions
Philly should have waited
by RandyKutcherHair on Jul 30, 2006 9:26 PM EDT reply actions

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