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Top 20 PRE-SEASON Diamondbacks Prospects


Conor Jackson

Top 20 PRE-SEASON Diamondbacks Prospects in Review

    This is the PRE-SEASON list. That means it was generated BEFORE THE SEASON STARTED and that the grades were PRE-SEASON. Anyone complaining about the grades based on 2006 performance will be smacked up the side of the head with a Nick Bierbrodt autographed baseball.

1) Carlos Quentin, OF, Grade A
    Hitting .284/.413/.474 for Triple-A Tucson, underperforming compared to what he did at the same level last year. This is not uncommon, a player not hitting as well in his second Triple-A year as he did in the first. The theory is that this is due to discouragement. Quentin's status has slipped but I still think he is a good prospect.

2) Stephen Drew, SS, A-
    Hitting .283/.340/.437 for Tucson, like Quentin he isn't hitting quite as well as expected. Still a top prospect.

3) Chris Young, OF, A-
    Hitting .267/.346/.496 for Tucson, again less than anticipated. Is Tucson playing more like a neutral park this year?

4) Justin Upton, OF, A-
    Hitting .279/.348/.405 for Class A South Bend in the Midwest League, certainly not spectacular numbers although the hitting context is not an easy one.

5) Conor Jackson, 1B, A-
    Hitting .275/.374/.414 in 67 games for the Diamondbacks. Just six homers but has a 34/26 BB/K ratio in 222 at-bats. I still believe in his bat long-term.

6) Matt Torra, RHP, B+
    Rehabbing a shoulder injury.

7) Carlos Gonzalez, OF, B+
    Hitting .313/.363/.540 for Lancaster in the California League, 10 homers, 10 steals. Tools hound, has knocked 28 doubles. Strike zone judgment is still an issue but he is making progress.

8) Dustin Nippert, RHP, B
    8-3, 4.79 in 77 innings for Tucson, 71/34 K/BB ratio. Best news is that he's been healthy.

9) Garrett Mock, RHP, B
   3-7, 4.55 in 17 starts for Double-A Tennessee, 94/39 K/BB in 99 innings, 103 hits allowed. Not really breaking through as I thought he might, but the K/IP remains promising.

10) Micah Owings, RHP, B-
    Combined 9-2, 2.90 in 15 starts in 92 innings combined between Tennessee and Tucson, with a 79/23 K/BB. One of my favorite unsung pitching prospects, definitely worthy of more attention.

11) Enrique Gonzalez, RHP, B-
     2-1, 4.03 in six starts for the Diamondbacks. Holding his own and should continue to do so.

12) Cesar Nicolas, 1B, B-
     Hitting .278/.361/.412 for Lancaster. Worse than expected, another guy not breaking through as I thought.

13) Chris Carter, DH, C+
     Hitting .301/.396/.514 with 13 homers in 76 games for Tucson, outhitting more-heralded teammates like Quentin and Drew. Main problem remains lack of defensive position.

14) Miguel Montero, C, C+
      Hitting .268/.369/.443 for Tennessee, 9 homers, 36 walks, 33 strikeouts in 246 at-bats. Not dominating but doing OK, showing good plate discipline and some pop.

15) Ross Ohlendorf, RHP, C+
     7-3, 2.42 in 16 starts for Tennessee, 65/15 K/BB in 108 innings, 106 hits allowed. Throwing strikes, getting grounders. Strikeout rate is lower than I'd like but he's been effective.

16) Matt Green, RHP, C+
      3-6, 6.31 in 15 starts for Lancaster, 42/29 K/BB in 71 innings, 104 hits allowed. Getting killed. . .his control is good but he's too hittable and can't dominate a game. Very disappointing.

17) Brandon Medders, RHP, C+
     3.44 ERA in 28 games for Arizona. Having a solid season in middle relief and I see no reason for that to change.

18) Greg Smith, LHP, C+
      Combined 11-1, 1.88 in 16 starts for Lancaster and Tennessee, 83/36 K/BB in 105 innings, 73 hits and just 4 homers allowed. Was dominant in the California League and has continued to pitch well in Double-A. Moving up the prospect list.

19) Jason Bulger, RHP, C
    Traded to the Angels for infield prospect Alberto Callaspo. Has a 5.60 ERA in 21 games for Triple-A Salt Lake, 35/15 K/BB in 27 innings. Throws hard, command still an issue.

20) Matt Chico, LHP, C
     A rebounding process, combined numbers are 5-6, 3.14 in 17 starts between Lancaster and Tennessee, with an 86/24 K/BB in 95 innings, 75 hits allowed. Is finally adapting to Double-A competition after failing to do so in '04 and '05.

Comment:
   This is another system with some disappointing hitting prospects, which seems like a common theme this year. Quentin, Drew, and Young are all underperforming at Tucson. On the pitching side, I like Micah Owings quite a bit as a breakthrough guy. Lefties Smith and Chico look good as well, but Matt Green has been a bust. Mixed results overall, but system depth helps compensate.

0 recs  |  Comment 18 comments

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I thought Torra had surgery?
Is he just rehabbing?  Can someone clue me in?

by abbreviatedman on Jun 30, 2006 4:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Torra
He had labrum surgery in mid-September last year.

by William K on Jul 1, 2006 7:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Disappointing hitting number universally..?
Can be somewhat attributed to the replacement umpires.  Many hitters complained that the inconsistancy of umps zones from pitch to pitch really messed with them.  IIRC, total offensive numbers in many leagues are down.

Its not that the zones were smaller with the scrub umps but the fact that hitters didn't know what an umps zone WAS, was the problem.  A pitch would be a ball and then the next pitch would bei nthe same spot and be a strike.
It kept them off balance and got them down in the count quickly.

by nms on Jun 30, 2006 4:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

NICK BIERBRODT!
Man, THAT brings back memories.  When did he fall off the face of the earth again?

by drjayphd on Jun 30, 2006 4:41 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Right
after he got shot.

by Tyler on Jun 30, 2006 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And he's kind of back
Signed with the Somerset Patriots, two years after the Reds voided his contract.  Guess that tryout with the Pirates didn't work out.

by drjayphd on Jun 30, 2006 9:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nick Bierbrodt?
What's he doing on this list?  I thought he washed out of baseball a couple of years ago...

by limozeen on Jun 30, 2006 6:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

OVERRATED?
Maybe these guys that are struggling at AAA are just overrated.  These are BP's Major League Equivelent lines (what they would be hitting if they were in the majors rather than Tuscon):

Drew (23) - .239/.300/.364
Quentin (23) - .236/.306/.395
Young (22) - .233/.300/.429  

This is more than just a mild dissapointment, these hitters have cratered, only the ballpark is making them look half-decent. I doubt its that the ballpark is suddenly becoming nuetral; Scott Hairston, Chris Carter, and Alberto Collapso are all hitting better than the prospect trio and putting up typical PCL numbers.

Quentin and Drew Im not so suprised at, Quentin's been living off of inflated numbers his whole career, and Drew hasnt hit anywhere outside the California League to begin with.  Chris Young is suprising though since he was playing in much tougher hitting environments prior to this season.  I think the struggles that the Angel hitters (kotchman, mcpherson) have had should show how much of an adjustment it takes to go from the California/Texas Leagues to the Majors.

by sanchez101 on Jun 30, 2006 6:43 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

C.J
Im in love with this kids bat.  I think his numbers will be more realistic next year when hes playing 4 of 5 games.  Right now T. Clark is taking some bats from him, but I think he will be a league all star for years to come, as a back up obviously to A.Pulojs and Helton.

by ChrisRef19 on Jun 30, 2006 9:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dissappointment?
Is it possible that after a hitter has been in a league for more than a year, the organizational pitchers get a "book" on him and start to expose weaknesses?  Sorta like the "sophomore jinx" in the majors?

by DrBGiantsfan on Jul 1, 2006 2:06 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Quentin
I'd like to see his monthly splits...My casual glances at BA's Prospect Updates seem to indicate that Quentin has been coming on strong this month...
I defend the Pedro for Delino trade.

by Nolan on Jul 1, 2006 2:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Quentin's monthly splits
April .306/.420/.472, .893 OPS
May .246/.390/.474, .864 OPS
June .314/.433/.477, .909 OPS

Better average and OBP than before.  The slugging has been consistent though.

by William K on Jul 1, 2006 6:48 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Drew's monthly splits
April .340/.381/.598, .979 OPS
May .279/.346/.423, .770 OPS
June .224/.286/.290, .575 OPS

He has had an absolutely horrendous June with only 5 extra-base hits in 107 ABs.  League adjusting to him?  Didn't stop him from getting selected to the Futures Game and the PCL All-Star Game though.
Possible mitigating factor : Heard on a Tucson Sidewinders radio broadcast a week or so ago that he was having vision problems and had been prescribed eye-drops.

by William K on Jul 1, 2006 7:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Quentin
I kept hearing that Quentin had some sort of nagging injury to his side. Was it a muscle pull? Couldn't that have something to do with his struggles this season?

by Jlmphx on Jul 2, 2006 1:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gerardo Parra
Will be better then all of these guys

by Jeremy1Esq on Jul 2, 2006 8:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Mark Reynolds
Darn, I was hoping John would have a blurb on Mark Reynolds - especially since he was left out of the book and is now mashing his way through A-ball.  I know he's no spring chicken, but a little history and commentary on him would be very interesting.

by okbluejays on Jul 3, 2006 12:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Injuries
Quentin and Young both suffered upon returning from injuries.  Closer analysis of the splits will reveal this was the case.  Don't take my word for it.  And of course I don't expect one to completely throw those stats out the window, but it's another factor to consider.

by rustic on Jul 4, 2006 10:25 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Medders
What are the chances of Medders becoming a stud closer for the D-Backs?

by Stat Ninja on Jul 6, 2006 12:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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