MOD: Cubs
I'll be doing the mock draft for the Cubbies. Any input from Cub-loyal posters? SoCalBob?
I will also be needing a deputy, apparently. I plan on being around on draft day, but it is a couple of weeks away.
The Cubs have but one pick in the first four rounds(the 13th overall selection), thanks to the signings of Scott Eyre, Bob Howry and Jacque Jones. As such, I'll be looking to take the best available guy, regardless of position. Getting a polished college hitter would be ideal, though.
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Eh there's not much there as far as college talent
I say we go best available period. I like Max Scherzer, he should be there for the Cubs in the real draft, but not here because scouting directors want be realists when it comes to bonus' and Scott Boras. Other guys I like there: Jeremy Jeffress, Clayton Kershaw, Kyle Drabek, Brandon Morrow, Daniel Brad and possibly Chris Marrero. Stay away from Ian Kennedy please.
As for the fifth round pick? A guy like Jason Berken out of Clemson would be perfect.
My suggestions
Certainly, if Daniel Bard falls (which I don't believe he will), take him in a heart beat.
Otherwise, best available and preferably a college player.
Draft Scherzer
Greatest pitcher ever.
M-I-Z!
by jeromechef on May 17, 2006 12:34 PM EDT reply actions
Scherzer
LOL
by jeromechef on May 17, 2006 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions
re:
Now it'll never happen.
you wont draft a pitcher
Sarcasm, my friend
However, if for some reason a top five guy like Andrew Miller or Brandon Morrow were to drop, I'd probably take them. I'm not sure I'd take Lincecum, though. His delivery, erratic command and enormously high pitch counts are all red flags for me.
Is Morrow really better than Scherzer?
9-4 1.86 ERA, 106.1 IP, 59 H, 131:41 K:BB
7-3 1.74 ERA, 93.2 IP, 65 H, 96:36 K:BB
Something I wrote somewhere on Scherzer:
Strengths:
Scherzer is not terribly tall, but he's a stocky 6'2" who is powerfully built. His bread and butter is his fastball. He works 93-95 with a fluid motion and reaches 97-99 MPH when he's in a tight spot. This was evident in the ninth inning of a game last season against former Nebraska star Alex Gordon, where he sat at 97-99 much of the innings and struck out Gordon on three fastballs clocked at 98 MPH. Unlike Tim Lincecum or Brandon Morrow, he has not been clocked in triple digits but he's got much more polish on his fastball than they have. He was also on Team USA where he pumped 99 MPH consistently to Nicaragua and the next day a few of their players came to get his autograph. To compliment his fastball he has the makings of a good major league slider, but it's not in the class of Lincecum's curve, Lincoln's curve or Morrow's splitter. Scherzer would certainly be the top RHP in the draft had the injuries not come about, he might have the most upside of the college crop this year, Andrew Miller included.
Weaknesses:
Scherzer's fastball and slider are solid pitches, but his changeup is very inconsistent and needs a lot more consistency for him to remain a starter. The injury this year is concerning on some level. Bicep injuries can often creep up to the shoulder and be a prelude to rotator cuff and/or labrum problems. While his work ethic and love for competition are plusses, he's a lot like Kerry Wood where they can be detrimental. His bulldog mentality causes him to pitch through problems which could be an issue. Finally, he's a guy who could slide into the middle of the first round because of the injury issues, and more importantly the potential bonus demands.
Something I wrote somewhere on Morrow:
Strengths:
There is not much concern with his performances as a freshman and a sophomore. As strange as this might sound, his struggles have been attributed to higher velocity. He was throwing in the upper 80s in high school, then low 90s as a freshman than all of a sudden he was throwing 97 as a junior and his back muscles weren't strong enough to withstand the added stress. He spent most of the second half of the season working out and getting in shape. He underwent a huge transformation on the Cape in the summer. He was not completely healthy yet, but he was healthy enough to close. He was running his fastball consistently 96-99 MPH in the role. This spring he has matched that velocity, but has moved into the Golden Bear rotation. His primary offspeed pitch is a devastating splitter which is probably the best offspeed pitch in the draft. The deadly two pitch combination could make him a dominant closer in the future, or he could evolved into a front line starter, but it's weird seing a college kid relying on this pitch, most guys develop after they lost their curve or slider.
Weaknesses:
Brandon Morrow needs a lot of work on his command in order to move quickly through the minor league ranks. He's a very thin pitcher, standing 6'3" and weighing only 185 lbs. Pitchers like that rarely hold up and that's an issue for a pitcher, obviously. Scouts aso complain about his consistency this season. He has had his dominant performances, but take his first two starts for example. He opened the season with a 12 strike out performance but failed to strike out a batter in his second start. Like many college pitchers he does not have a third pitch. He needs to develop some sort of a useful breaking pitch. He's worked on a slider and a curve, but it's nowhere near the quality needed for him to stick as a starter. Finally, he also has mechanical issues that need some work.
re:
Not necessarily, but he is healthier.
and Morrow
Can we draft a
Agree on the need for a sure thing
That said I believe it should be an up the middle positional player. The one interview I read with the new scouting director said he likes selecting talented hitting shortstops because the athleticism allows them to change positions easily.
Impact
That said, is there any chance that Hochevar would drop? Otherwise, as far as pitching is concerned Drabek or Jeffress both have upside. Otherwise a HS position player like Conger or Marrero.
Neither Dopirak nor Sing is a good reason not to draft a 1B. They're age and recent performance make them both fringy guys.
by tom @ Minor League Ball on May 17, 2006 2:45 PM EDT reply actions

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