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Twins: Whom in the rotation would you replace?

Well, it's about a quarter way through the season and a huge chunk of the rotation hasn't performed as expected.  Minnesota has this premier left-handed starter currently pitching middle/long relief in the bullpen.  What to do?  If you are left with this decision by Twins management, who loses a rotation spot, why, and what becomes of that demoted starter?

Background stats....

Carlos Silva: 2-6 8.80 ERA. Has given up a homer about every three innings and to my recollection, has maybe one quality start all season.  Has a gb/fb ratio of 1.06 to last year's 1.55.  Comments have indicated that his sinker which he relies soley on just isn't sinking.  Needs secondary pitch and has been a candidate for regression for some time now.

Kyle Lohse: 2-3 8.33 ERA, about a walk every other inning and plenty of hits.  Has limped his way into a few quality outings but hasn't looked effective in those starts either.  Has established himself at age 27 as a pilar of mediocrity and is an impending free agent.

Brad Radke: 4-4 7.57 ERA, a home run every four innings.  Has to be fine to succeed, but hasn't been.  Pitches are up and out over the plate too much and people are jumping on them.  His walks aren't high unless you consider exactly how stingy he's been the last five seasons.  Is his velocity slipping?

Who comes out for Liriano, if any, and why? What happens to the veteran (realistic situations only.  Note that Radke has a statutory no-trade clause by virtue of being a 10/5 man, for instance)?

Poll
Who goes out of the rotation?
Carlos Silva
57 votes
Kyle Lohse
41 votes
Brad Radke
1 votes
Stick with the Veterans
6 votes

105 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 11 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Lohse
Would be the odd man out in my mind.  Radke has too good of a track record to stink like this for an entire season.  Silva needs to get it together, and might have some value as a DP-inducer in relief, but I don't see him making that transition.  Lohse is young enough and talented enough (read: throws hard enough) to possibly succeed in the bullpen or draw interest from someone willing to take a flyer on pitching (Florida? TB? NY?).  

by Doug on May 15, 2006 11:11 AM EDT reply actions  

Lohse
I'd replace him because if he turns it around they could get a prospect in a trade(not a great one). Liriano must be put in the rotation now.

by fiftydrinker on May 15, 2006 11:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Based on the numbers....
Silva has to go.  I know he is finally getting a feeling for his sinker, but 15 homers in 8 games????  Baker should stay, with Liriano coming in, Radke and Loshe still.  I say get the old guys out if they are not producing so the young guys can get the experience.

Silva - 8 games, 2-6, 8.80 era, 13/4 -k/bb, 15 hr 46 inn
Lohse - 7 games, 2-3, 8.33 era, 21/18-k/bb, 6 hr, 35.2 inn
Radke - 8 games, 4-4, 7.57 era, 22/9 - k/bb, 11 hr, 44.0
Baker - 6 games, 1-3, 4.67 era, 24/4- k/bb, 5 hr, 34.2

by ChrisRef19 on May 15, 2006 12:06 PM EDT reply actions  

voted for Silva
but it really doesn't matter.  Both have been atrocious, and both have tossed decent outings of late--Silva on May 4th against KC, Lohse on May 10th in Texas.

Radke's been a bit better lately, and he has the experience & wit, I think, to turn things around, becoming a league-average pitcher.

What I'd do:  callup Boof Bonser and give him & Liriano some favorable starts.  Look for outings at home, or outings on the road against below-average offenses in pitcher's parks.  (Confidence does matter in this game.)  In the meantime, don't screw up Santana, Baker & Radke's rest days, but at least begin to work the two of them into the rotation.  If unfavorable starts arise, throw Silva or Lohse--whoever--to the wolves.

(By the way, "whom" is the subject of your title sentence; as a noun, wouldn't "who" be the proper usage.  I'm no grammatician, so disregard if you grew up in the Canadian school system, in which case I'd clearly be in error.)

by Azteca on May 15, 2006 12:07 PM EDT reply actions  

grammer
(By the way, "whom" is the subject of your title sentence; as a noun, wouldn't "who" be the proper usage.  I'm no grammatician, so disregard if you grew up in the Canadian school system, in which case I'd clearly be in error.)

ROL!  No, I could be in err as another product of the confusing American school of gramatical thought.

;)

by steve johnson on May 15, 2006 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe Silva but ...
  1. Lohse isn't a free agent after this year. He is still in arbitration.
  2. Lohse is second on the team in quality starts after Santana. Including his last one. Why would you replace him now?
  3. Radke will likely retire after this year, so if you are ready to put Liriano in the rotation and play for the future, he might well be the logical candidate.
  4. Silva has struggeled with his sinker and that might be something he can work on better pitching more often out of the bullpen. On the other hand, he had a very good outing before his last one so you also might want to give him another shot before going to plan B.
  5. Liriano is probably only good for 60-75 pitches. He might make it 5 innings as a starter, but he would have to get outs more efficiently than he has to do that. So you probably are going to need to plan on someone in the bullpen to give you two or three innings to get you to the 8th when you would normally want to plan on turning it over to the bullpen. And there is no guarantee Liriano won't struggle the second time through the order.

by TT @ Minor League Ball on May 15, 2006 12:51 PM EDT reply actions  

Re: Lohse
"Lohse is second on the team in quality starts after Santana. Including his last one. Why would you replace him now?"

How about that 8.33 ERA? I voted for Silva but on a team with less candidates worthy of removal from the rotation I'd have no problem yanking Lohse.

In Billy We Trust

by I Love Oakland As on May 15, 2006 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

ERA
How about that 8.33 ERA?

It matters if he is on your roto team. Lohse has four awful starts and three good ones. But it doesn't much matter whether you lose 10-2 or 8-2.

by TT @ Minor League Ball on May 15, 2006 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

it's silva
it's moot now... according to rotoworld, liriano will take over for silva starting this friday against the brewers.

by ahalman on May 15, 2006 1:27 PM EDT reply actions  

While they're at it
they should have Boof Bonser take over Lohse's spot as well.
"If there wasn't nine guys out in the field, I'd have a hit every time except when I strike out." - Delmon Young

by Brickhaus on May 15, 2006 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Silva
is a batting practice pitcher.

by yoda1 on May 15, 2006 1:42 PM EDT reply actions  

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