Sabathia Community Projection

by John Sickels on Mar 17, 2006 5:20 PM EST in News

Time to project C.C. Sabathia. I want as many entries as possible, so I will leave this one open until Monday.

Project:
Games started
Innings pitched
Wins
Losses
ERA
Strikeouts
Walks
Hits

Please enter all categories.

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2nd half 2005 no fluke

32 Games started
200 Innings pitched
18 Wins
10 Losses
3.33 ERA
180 Strikeouts
65 Walks
185 Hits

by yoda1 on Mar 17, 2006 5:28 PM EST reply actions

future stud

33 Games started
215 Innings pitched
19 Wins
7 Losses
2.98 ERA
195 Strikeouts
60 Walks
195 Hits

by taggartd on Mar 17, 2006 5:45 PM EST reply actions

Not sure yet

Games started- 31
Innings pitched - 213
Wins 17
Losses - 12
ERA - 3.74
Strikeouts- 178
Walks - 69
Hits - 187

by ChrisRef19 on Mar 17, 2006 5:48 PM EST reply actions

career year

Games started - 32
Innings pitched - 210
Wins - 20
Losses - 6
ERA - 3.50
Strikeouts - 186
Walks - 63
Hits - 189

by bjanusch on Mar 17, 2006 5:54 PM EST reply actions

Stud

Games Started: 32
Innings Pitched: 215
Wins: 18
Losses: 7
ERA: 2.85
Strikeouts: 231
Walks: 54
Hits: 167

by jaffmasterj on Mar 17, 2006 6:45 PM EST up reply actions

CC

33 Games started
204 Innings pitched
18 Wins
11 Losses
3.76 ERA
175 Strikeouts
68 Walks
185 Hits

by steve johnson on Mar 17, 2006 7:25 PM EST reply actions

Nagging injuries in '06, will break out in '07

18 GS
130 IP
10 Wins
4 Losses
4.20 ERA
90 Ks
41 BBs
127 Hs

by tom @ Minor League Ball on Mar 17, 2006 7:38 PM EST reply actions

CC

32 GS
205 IP
17 W
6 L
3.78 ERA
175 K
61 BB
192 H

by trevorpost on Mar 17, 2006 8:06 PM EST reply actions

CC

Continued improvement, but not an ace yet - he'll go through one 5-6 game stretch that will temper his other numbers...

33 GS
211 IP
16 W
8 L
3.65 ERA
174 K
66 BB
196 HA

by joeficarra on Mar 17, 2006 8:41 PM EST reply actions

WYSIWYG

32 GS
210 IP
14 W
14 L
4.48 ERA
152 K
70 BB
199 H

by mandamin on Mar 17, 2006 11:33 PM EST reply actions

Treads water

29 GS
180 IP
12 W
10 L
4.25 ERA
162 K
75 BB
182 H

by Vaux on Mar 18, 2006 6:10 AM EST reply actions

Due an injury

That bulk has to affect his mechanics, so I'm predicting an injury and a dip in form. Good enough to rebound - if healthy in 07

12 GS
63 IP
4 W
4 L
4.50 ERA
50 K
28 BB
75 H

"Never go to bed mad. stay up and fight" - Phyllis Diller

by hazy cosmic jive on Mar 18, 2006 7:43 AM EST reply actions

CC

32 GS
210 IP
15 W
8 L
3.94 ERA
162 K
75 BB
193 H

by Zero Gs on Mar 18, 2006 9:20 AM EST reply actions

One more year before true ace breakout

Games started- 31
Innings pitched- 200 1/3
Wins 16
Losses 9
ERA 3.66
Strikeouts 166
Walks 59
Hits 183

by rev on Mar 18, 2006 9:27 AM EST reply actions

career #'s similar to 2 and 3-yr avgs

Games started - 31
Innings pitched - 196
Wins - 14
Losses - 9
ERA - 4.06
Strikeouts - 152
Walks - 68
Hits - 183

by rojosoto on Mar 18, 2006 9:56 AM EST reply actions

2nd half is no lie, run support helps the wins.

GS 33
IP 210
W 19
L 9
ERA 3.45
K 195
BB 65
H 180

by abbreviatedman on Mar 18, 2006 12:15 PM EST reply actions

C.C

Project:
Games started: 30
Innings pitched: 188
Wins: 15
Losses: 6
ERA 3.15
Strikeouts 152
Walks 56
Hits 136

by Mix Won Soon on Mar 18, 2006 1:49 PM EST reply actions

CC

Project:
Games started: 28
Innings pitched: 187
Wins: 18
Losses: 4
ERA 3.25
Strikeouts 162
Walks 65
Hits 175

by APV @ Minor League Ball on Mar 18, 2006 1:53 PM EST reply actions

sabathia

33 GS
215 IP
18 W
9 L
3.55 ERA
191 K
85 BB
180 Hits

by jeck on Mar 18, 2006 1:59 PM EST reply actions

CC

Project:
Games started: 33 games started
Innings pitched: 205 IP
Wins: 17
Losses: 9
ERA: 3.46 ERA
Strikeouts: 188 Ks
Walks: 62 Walks
Hits: 192 Hits

by atlbraves on Mar 18, 2006 2:15 PM EST reply actions

CC has only passed 200 IP once, so Cleveland will continue to protect his arm somewhat. I do expect some missed starts though. I am also a little concerned about the CLE defense, but CC has always had fairly high BA BIP and done well.

CC's has also never been great at keeping the ball on the ground until last year's 1.55 G/F ratio, which may be a freak occurrence. Despite the fly balls, CC has not given up too many home runs, but last year he allowed 10.2% of all fly balls allowed to go for home runs, which is a higher rate than his previous levels (around 8.5%). If he returns back to his normal almost 1.1 ratio but the flyballs keep leaving the yard at last year's levels, then expect his HR/9 to increase and the ERA to struggle a bit. (I personally don't anticipate it, but it's worth mentioning.)

Projection:
31 GS
196 1/3 IP (Avg of 6 1/3 per start)
13 W
11 L
4.00 ERA
159 K
68 BB
184 Hits
21 HR Allowed (added based on my comments above)

by count sutton on Mar 18, 2006 2:58 PM EST reply actions

CC

Games started: 30
Innings pitched: 195
Wins: 15
Losses: 8
ERA: 4.16
Strikeouts: 160
Walks: 65
Hits: 175

Go Tribe...

by matt k on Mar 18, 2006 3:07 PM EST reply actions

Same ol' C.C.

GS: 31
IP: 191
W: 16
L: 10
ERA 4.12
K: 163
BB: 62
Hits: 177

by Con on Mar 18, 2006 3:22 PM EST reply actions

cc

GS: 32
IP: 210
W: 17
L: 9
ERA: 3.72
K: 166
BB: 73
H: 197

by roaddog on Mar 18, 2006 4:39 PM EST reply actions

It's pretty good . . .

C.C. Sabathia:

GS: 32
IP: 199
W:18
L: 8
ERA: 3.47
K: 167
BB: 61
H: 189

I'd like to give him more innings because he seems to be set to take over Livan Hernandez's spot in the league (with better stuff), but we'll see . . .

by baumann on Mar 18, 2006 7:47 PM EST reply actions