FanPost

1) Edwin Encarnacion, 3B

"Hit .232/.308/.436 in 69 games after being promoted to Cincinnati. I like him and he will do better than that in the long run. Just 22 years old after all." (from John's review of CIN top-20)

I don't have last year's book, so I apologize in advance.  But I really haven't gotten a good read on this guy.  I saw him play a couple times last year, and he looked lost on defense, but he is supposed to be a good defensive player ("plus arm, quick hands, and middle-infield actions" according to BA).  He slugged .436 in his debut after demolishing AAA, which isn't bad at all for his age - even given the ballpark.  

Yet, it appears as though nobody really talks about him among the good young players in the game now.  BA suggested he'd peak around .280-.300 with 20-25 HR.  I'd think with his patience, that would make for a very good ballplayer.  Maybe not Marte's peak value, but not far behind either.

I thought I might be the only person who still thought he was good.  I was IM-ing with a fellow strat player, and asked whose future he'd rather have - knowing he weighted walks extremely high - EE or Jeff Francoeur (we weren't negotiating a trade).  He replied emphatically that he'd rather have Francoeur.  I was surprised.  

I probably would have just let it go, and figured that maybe I overrated EE, but I looked him up in PECOTA today, and saw that BP has him slated as a ~20% "superstar", starting in 2006, with Chavez, Dw. Evans, and Larry Parrish being the top three comparables.

What do other people think of this guy, especially those of you who've seen him play a lot?  Thanks!

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