FanPost

Making full season projections

I recently decided to make a full season projections for the first time. I am willing to put a lot of time into it. I also decided to only do one or two teams. The main thing I want to accomplish is creating equations for future use. Example(players # 1,2,3... correspond to batters # 1,2,3) How many runs should #1 score if #2 has OBP.370 SLG.430 and #3 has OBP.440 SLG.560. And there are a million other equations like that that I want to get an indication of.

I think this is the best way to create accurate projections. I have looked at others projections for several years and wondered if they used such equations. As I have been doing initial research I have come across several indicators already. One oddity that I have no answer for is that the Reds scored 774 runs last year in 5,942 TPA, while the Astros scored 693 runs in 6,139 TPA. It took the Reds a full PA less per run scored. I have my thoughts on this, it is just a huge discrepency.

I was wondering if some of you do this and know of sets of projection indicators?

I just want to see if there are special things that I should look into while I am making my calculations.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Minor League Ball

You must be a member of Minor League Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Minor League Ball. You should read them.

Join Minor League Ball

You must be a member of Minor League Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Minor League Ball. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker