Howie Kendrick vs. Lastings Milledge
Howie Kendrick has been one of my favorite prospects for a couple of years now. And the best comparable offensive player i have come up with in the minor leagues is Lastings Milledge. Both players hit for a high average from the right side. Both players have good power and have average plate discipline. Both players have good speed.
Howie Kendrick was 22 years old last year. In the Cal League(a hitter's league)he hit .384/.421/.638 with 12 homers, 23 doubles, 6 triples, and he was 13 for 17 in stolen bases all in 63 games. He basically destroyed the league. Moved up to the Texas League(which I believe is more of a pitcher's league, but correct me if I'm wrong) he hit .342/.382/.579 with 7 home runs, 20 doubles, 2 triples, and was 12 for 16 in stolen bases all in 46 games. Not as good as his A ball numbers but damn good numbers nonetheless. I always knew he could he hit but he has greatly improved his baserunning. Kendrick's defense at second base has improved from bad to average, and he probably will never be more than an average second baseman. His minor league career line is .359/.403/.555 in four seasons.
Lastings Milledge was 20 years old last year. In St. Lucie, A ball, he hit .302/.385/.418 with 4 homers, 15 doubles, 0 triples, and was 18 for 31 in stolen bases all in 62 games. Moved up to AA Binghampton he actually hit better. In 48 games he hit .337/.392/.487 with 4 homers, 17 doubles, 0 triples, and was 11 for 16 in stolen bases. Defensively Milledge is a very good outfielder. He has good range and a strong arm. He is a natural centerfielder but will probably play left field if he stays with the Mets. His minor league career line is .313/.382/.485 in three seasons.
I think Kendrick and Milledge are similar type hitters. I know it's probably difficult to compare them since one is an outfielder and the other is a second baseman that is two years older. But I have to ask the question, who would you rather have?
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Vote for Lastings
by Mr Met @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2006 2:05 PM EST reply actions
Kendrick, easily
Kendrick has hit for higher average and higher ISOP at every level. Milledge is faster, but Kendrick is actually a better basestealer. Their plate discipline is equally mediocre.
I don't see where Milledge wins, except that he's more valuable defensively. Milledge is younger than Kendrick, but it's not like Kendrick is old for his league, so I have a hard time holding that against him.
by FI @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2006 2:18 PM EST up reply actions
quibble quibble
by ohad @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2006 2:15 PM EST reply actions
Kendrick
by WakeboardJock @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2006 2:46 PM EST up reply actions
yup
But once i actually looked at it, i realized how wrong i was. I made a post about this a few weeks ago, but i think it's fair to assume he's pretty special
by ohad @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2006 3:13 PM EST up reply actions
& a little prodding from BP...
by Azteca on Feb 1, 2006 3:17 PM EST up reply actions
I know very little about Lastings but...
by Yoda @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2006 3:45 PM EST reply actions
Milledge
by FI @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2006 3:52 PM EST up reply actions
Kendrick
Worse case scenario: he moves to third base and becomes a rich man's Bill Mueller.
Howie Kendrick Review
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Arkansas Travelers Manager Tom Gamboa was quoted as saying that Howie Kendrick might be the next Tony Gwynn (okay, Gwynn was left-handed), and after the year Howie posted who could argue with him? Kendrick would be the top prospect in most organizations, and vindicates Angels legendary scout/manager Tom Kotchman's recommendation to select this unknown out of a Florida community college. The Angels drafted Howie in the 10th round of the June 2002 draft, based largely on his excellent hand-eye coordination. His approach at the plate is simple -- look for a fastball and adjust to what he sees, something that only hitters with fast hands and hand-eye coordination can do. (Another is Casey Kotchman, Tom's son.) The physical skills are one reason to compare him to Gwynn; another is the relatively low walk rate. Howie's approach at the plate fits in perfectly with the Angels' "Contactball" style of play; it's not hard to envision him a #2 or even #3 in their lineup, behind speedier brethren, although his high OBP might put him in the leadoff slot too. "Contactball" is based on the fact that a hit moves up a runner while a walk doesn't (unless it's a force); Kendrick walked only 20 times in 2005, driving nuts the "Moneyball" crowd, who are scratching their heads trying to figure out how a guy could have a 1.000 OPS without taking a lot of walks. As with all young hitters, there's a question of how much power will eventually manifest itself, but it's beginning to look like Kendrick could have the explosiveness at the plate to bat in the #3 slot; in the post-season AFL, Kendrick had an AVG/OBP/SLG of .380/.405/.603 in 121 AB. The only knock on his game has been his defense, but he continues to work hard at improving that aspect too. Although he'll never be as flashy as Alberto Callaspo, he'll more than get the job done defensively to warrant recognition as the heir apparent to Adam Kennedy, who's signed through 2006. One major decision this off-season for Angels management will be to choose between Kendrick and Callaspo, although who knows what trade offers may bring. For the last two years, analysts talked about Callaspo and Erick Aybar as the Angels' infield of the future, but barring trades or injuries that future middle-infield now appears to be Kendrick and Brandon Wood, perhaps as soon as 2007. Injury notes: Kendrick missed two months in 2004 with a groin injury, and a month this year with a strained left oblique muscle.
Thank You FutureAngels
the future
by kolbotn @ Minor League Ball on Feb 2, 2006 8:45 AM EST up reply actions
One thing
Really?!
I had 190 hits in 2005, and had an OBP of .300 even.
Without checking the stats...
by abbreviatedman on Feb 2, 2006 1:50 PM EST up reply actions
Unlike Soriano and Reyes...
by The Rocc on Feb 2, 2006 3:36 PM EST up reply actions
since when
Reyes and Soriano
Kendrick IMO will be a lot like Nomar Garciaparra. He's a player who puts the ball in play, and puts it in play with authority. His walk rate will never be great, but he won't strike out a lot, either. He's a fantastic prospect.
by jc3 on Feb 2, 2006 3:54 PM EST up reply actions
Having actually checked it out, it was Reyes.
by abbreviatedman on Feb 2, 2006 4:01 PM EST up reply actions
Hmm.
by abbreviatedman on Feb 2, 2006 4:02 PM EST up reply actions
i enjoyed
Also, "contactball" is pretty funny. It reminds me of Ozzie Guillens "Heartball", "Gutball", "Spleenball", "Blatterball", "smartball", and various other "balls" he came up with to justify the WS win.
by ohad @ Minor League Ball on Feb 2, 2006 7:08 AM EST up reply actions
As if...
by abbreviatedman on Feb 2, 2006 1:51 PM EST up reply actions
I find this an interesting comment.
Road stats:
Sox AvgTeam
Batting Avg .267 .264
On-base% .325 .324
Slugging .409 .416
Runs 374 381
HR 85 86.3
SB 67 44
I am aware, and have posted before here, that their division will make the road power numbers lower than they would be in a "neutral" division. But still, this doesn't look anything like a team who's only asset is their ability to hit homers.
Very elucidating.
I guess my statement is more accurate in their home games, where they truly relied on the home run. At home, they were dead last in average and OBP and several related categories, 2nd to last in 2Bs, but 3rd in home runs, good enough to make them 7th in home scoring.
Spleenballers would argue that they weren't one-dimensional, because they ran so much, being 3rd in SBs, but they also had one of the worst SB%s at 67%. So basically they were just sending them whether they could make it or not, which can't be good for scoring runs, especially when you're hitting so many homers.
by abbreviatedman on Feb 3, 2006 1:40 PM EST up reply actions
Comparing Apples and Oranges
I'm not complaining. I'm asking this question because it'd make more sense if we were comparing 2 players of the same position, same age, same set of tools and are at the same level. However, the comparison between Milledge and Kendrick makes no sense. They both reached the AA Level in 2005, but thats about it.
Kendrick- .359/.404/.555 (142/68 K/BB in 1182 ABs)
Milledge- .314/.382/.485 (166/62 K/BB in 793 ABs)
Do you see any similarities? I don't.
Production like Kendrick's at 2B doesn't come too often, however Lastings' production at OF at isn't anything rare. Delmon Young is the same age as Milledge and has him beat in both batting average(.317), slugging(.531) and OPS(.901)and only trails him in OBP by .012(.370) in 300 more ABs.
Since Milledge isn't even a better overall hitter than Young, what makes people think that Milledge is better than a more advanced hitter in Kendrick?
by The Rocc on Feb 2, 2006 11:24 PM EST reply actions
re:
I voted for Milledge, but it's so close that it really depends on the team. A Milledge-Kendrick swap between the Mets and Angels would actually make sense for both sides given their respective organizational strengths.
It's not like....
So if Lastings is a Beltran-clone, should we expect 15-20 HRs at max in Shea?
If Kendrick is pretty much handed the job when/if Kennedy leaves, without any contraversy...I'd pick Kendrick in a hitter-friendly stadium over Milledge in Shea's oft-pitcher friendly stadium. I don't know if the Mets new stadium is built to be(hitter-friendly or pitcher-friendly), so this may change.
I personally think Milledge may be a little overrated, seeing that he's not exactly setting the world on fire and his alleged speed was proven in the AFL to be a bit overexaggerated.
by The Rocc on Feb 3, 2006 1:24 AM EST up reply actions
Hmm
Should we expect anyone to get a debilitating calf injury?
True, but where's Milledge's Beltran-like power?
Maybe the Mets made a mistake when they drafted him so highly...
by The Rocc on Feb 3, 2006 1:31 AM EST up reply actions
Please
by Mr Met @ Minor League Ball on Feb 3, 2006 10:40 AM EST up reply actions
the same place Beltran's was
Beltran
14.5 AB/XBH
47.6 AB/HR
Milledge
9.0 AB/XBH
34.5 AB/HR
Power develops.
Speed was overexaggerated?
Don't get the logic
The question is...
Someone made a false comparison with Milledge and Kendrick and it makes no sense at all.
by The Rocc on Feb 3, 2006 1:26 AM EST up reply actions
There's nothing wrong with this comp
Well...
If you can hit the ball whenever you're up at bat, why does it matter if he walks or not? As long as he gets on base, right?
However, I know what you're saying.
I was just wondering why this guy had a "VS" diary about 2 different kinds of hitters.
by The Rocc on Feb 3, 2006 1:38 AM EST up reply actions
Comp
I think it boils down to: Kendrick has had the better minor-league career, no question. But Milledge, based on his tools, age and position, projects as a more valuable big leaguer.
It's very close. I like 'em both.
by Mr Met @ Minor League Ball on Feb 3, 2006 10:38 AM EST up reply actions

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