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I thought I'd post this separately, since I like jc3's premise and didn't want to muddy up his thread.  But I thought it would be interesting to turn the questions around and see what the A's and Sox fans think about their respective teams.  For those who don't recall, here are the original questions put forth by jc3:

  1.  Are the Red Sox OK with their team the way it is today, especially at SS and CF? Are they a favorite to make the playoffs?
  2.  Are the Red Sox currently at a disadvantage in trade talks?
  3.  Two-part Joe Blanton question:
    a. Will his ERA jump significantly next year?
    b. What is his ceiling?
  1.  Is Barry Zito a "shutdown" pitcher?
  2.  Is Oakland currently a better team than Anaheim (or whatever they are called!)?

Star-divide

My answers (as a Sox fan):

1.  Are the Sox ideally situated for the upcoming season?  No, of course not.  But are they okay as things stand, I think so.  I think CF is more problemmatic than SS.  In house, the Sox have reasonable stopgaps with Cora (who isn't overly inspiring) and especially Pedroia.  Personally, I'd like to see Pedroia get a shot at the SS job in spring training.  He's held his own (and more) at every level until getting hit by a pitch in AAA.  I know that some scouts worry about his range and arm at short, but if David Eckstein can play there, I think Pedroia deserves the benefit of the doubt.  CF, as I said, is more of an issue.  There really don't seem to be too many in house options.  Stern could be put there, but I really think he needs more time in the minors to get ready.  Reed still seems to be a possibility through a trade, but it appears that the Sox will be unwilling to part with Lester or Papelbon, so I doubt anything will come of that.
Are the Sox a favorite to make the playoffs?  Talk about a loaded question.  I'd have to say "no" if for no other reason than I think the Yankees will win the East (can't really pick against them until they lose), and the Wild Card is going to be hotly contested by the Sox, A's/Angels runner-up, and possibly the Blue Jays (not to mention any other surprise teams that rise up this year).  And how can you really pick a WC "favorite"?  But I do like their pitching situation quite a bit.  I think they've upgraded their rotation and the pen over last year, though the health of the starters will certainly be a concern.

2.  I don't really think the Sox are at a disadvantage in trade talks.  True, many teams have likely increased their trade demands to the Sox, but I think the Sox are only at a disadvantage if they feel the must make a trade with another team.  That hasn't been the case thus far this offseason, and I see no reason that it would change.  Until the Sox make a desparation trade, I'm willing to give them the benefit of the doubt.  I think they've earned it (from my point of view) these last few years.

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I'm a sox fan
And I have no idea what to expect from this team, I think the rotation has been upgraded and I am happy with it, but having a hole at CF & SS is HUGE. Trading Marte for Lugo CERTAINLY isnt the answer (Fans would riot basically Renteria for Lugo and paying 12 million also HORRIBLE), I say sign a retread to keep the spot warm.

People think we will miss Damon and true he did cover a lot of ground but he had the WORST arm from CF (or anywere for that matter, I saw him under throw a ball to 2nd 50 yards away in CF!) and in fenway thats HUGE a David Roberts would work for me Wells for Roberts was a rumor earlier in the winter.

I think they are at a disadvantage in talks but this Sox mgmnt hasnt overpaid for anything so I dont think (hope) they will start now.

by goalieguy on Jan 4, 2006 6:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Retread
Sign a retread to keep the spot warm for who?  Julio Lugo, when he's th3e best free agent shortstop on the market next year?  I love Pedroia, but he's no shortstop.

by Brickhaus on Jan 5, 2006 10:21 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

why not a SS?
scouts say he has better range and a comparable arm to Eckstein. And the scouts underestime small players.

He was defensive player of the year as a SS in college.

BP has him being roughly an average defensive SS based on his minor league fielding numbers.

What do you see in him that says he can't play SS at the ML level?

by cdamon on Jan 5, 2006 11:17 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

MLK day so close and we are still segregated
3a.Define significantly ( I would expect a slight increase to about 3.95.
b. Ceiling. I see him as a consistent 200 + IP guy with an ERA flowing between 3.4 and 4.2. ( consider that a 2 some tough people would consider that a 3).
  1. No he is too inconsistent. When he is getting the curveball over for a strike he is a shutdown guy.
  2. Oakland is better than ANA (today). I do not believe ANA will rest though.
http://oaklandprospects.blogspot.com/

by novaoakland on Jan 4, 2006 6:19 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Oakland q's
Blanton's going to regress some.  I'm worried about the lack of strikeouts, even with a good defense behind him.  Probably no better than a 3rd started down the line.

Zito's close, but he's not the shutdown pitcher that you just know will stop a losing streak.

Oakland is slightly better than Anaheim, but I haven't seen their kids play.  Other than Vlad, nothing on this team scares me, but I keep hearing about Wood and Kotchman.

by ragnarok on Jan 4, 2006 7:07 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Blanton
It depends on which Blanton we see.

k/bb/hr

Full Season:
5.2/3.0/1.0

June and on:
5.9/2.6/0.8

If that is Adjustment Period -> Real Improvement, and his minor league numbers would support that, then he probably won't regress too much.

I think the big thing here is that his May is soooooo far out of line with the rest of his season.  He had a  6/14/5 k/bb/hr in 18 1/3 innings that month, for a 13.50 era.  I don't think he'll ever again be that irredeemably horrible for a full month.  Take out May and he had a 2.55 era.  I think we're (strongly) regressing from that point.  Add in the was-good/should-be-better defense, and I think his season numbers will end up being right around the same.

Ceiling-wise?  I think he's a good number 3 that will look like a number 2 because of the defense behind him.  

by vegasbill on Jan 4, 2006 8:00 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Zito
He's not a shutdown pitcher now, but he has been in the past and can be again in the future.  What I'd really like to see is a plan put in place to pull him after his first walk in the 6th or 7th inning.  He was generally lights out in the first 5 innings and then would give out most of his runs in the 6th.    Single, walk, homer and all of a sudden the start doesn't look so good.

by vegasbill on Jan 4, 2006 8:04 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Blanton
I predict that Blanton will lower his BABIP to .112 and go 32-0 and win the Cy Young award with an ERA of .087.  That should keep LizardKing happy...

by limozeen on Jan 4, 2006 10:39 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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