Crystal Ball: Francisco Liriano

Purposes behind the Crystal Ball feature: I want to stimulate debate about the player in question. I want to explore ONE POSSIBLE FUTURE given what we currently know about the player. This is not a prediction in the classic sense, especially when dealing with pitchers, but look at it like a possible path and a way to start a conversation about the player. It's also fun.

Questions:
Is this Crystal Ball too pessimistic? Too optimistic? Realistic? Are there any Cy Youngs in there? All-Star Games? Transactions and free agency, injuries, etc.