You're the Mets GM
hope you don't mind me stealing one of your article titles john. hi everyone, was wondering what everyone, especially met fans, would do as the mets GM. are they buyers? are they sellers? whats your plan for this year and for next year and beyond? what should be done with reyes, does he need some time in AAA to learn patience? thoughts on randolph continuing to bat wright 7th most nights. thoughts on randolph as a manager. feel free to include any minor league promotions you feel are due (milledge, bannister, petit, etc.) John, i'd love to hear your thoughts on this as well if you have the time. cheers.
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My thoughts
huh?
I'm guessing it's going to take a bit more than this group to obtain an upper-tier NL 1st baseman with two more years until he's arby-eligible.
I agree though that if Glavine or Piazza have ANY value at all you move them...
Overbay will be dealt for less than you think
nah
by dcarrano on Jun 24, 2005 6:16 PM EDT up reply actions
I here
Except Overbay started out as an OF
There is no rush to trade Overbay and they will get value in return for him.
Reyes and Wright
Wright
By way of comparison, Piazza's avg with RISP is .219. It is time for Mike to slide down to 6th or 7th - he isn't a .300 hitter anymore. Beltran is at .299, Floyd is at .276 and Minky is at .182 with RISP.
Randolph is an idiot
Beltran, Floyd and Wright are by far their best hitters and should be bunched together.
My lineup:
1.Cameron
2.Wright
3.Beltran
4.Floyd
5.Piazza
6.Anderson
7.Reyes
8.Mienkievijgaregngzzz or Diaz
How many more at-bats will Wright get in the 2nd spot over the 7th? ~90 over the course of a year.
Then I would fix the rotation, giving Heilman and Seo starting jobs. Pedro, Benson, Heilman, Seo and Zambrano (with Ishii as a loogy/longman)
I'd promote Bannister and Petit to AAA, because I want to see if they will be ready for 2006 (Petit especially).
As for buying and selling, Petit is untouchable, but I would consider trading everyone else. The Mets don't need to make any impulse trades, and the only person on the market that they should want is Overbay. Otherwise, just wait till the end of the year to get a first baseman. This team is ready to compete for the next 3-4 years, so no need to panic. On the other hand, this division looks very winnable, even for the Mets.
I would also consider trading Cameron for prospects if the Mets fall out of contention. His value is high right now, and a couple teams are looking for a CF.
But most importantly, I would bat Wright higher. Please, I beg you Willie.
by drew on Jun 24, 2005 11:07 AM EDT reply actions
Wow
There is NO way that glavine can be removed from the rotation, except by trade. Even an insane GM could find that to be too inane to do. If, and I say if, Glavine can be traded (which he should be if possible) Heilman gets the first shot. Ishii, I'm not so sure I want out right now. If Glavine is gone, I'd rather have ishii over seo for the time being. Bannister should be promoted soon, PEtit needs to get his pitch count extended before he gets promoted.
BTW, from the 7 hole, reyes' speed loses value.
Am I a clown?
Ishii? He of the 93 ERA+ coming in to the year? well, yeah he is ok as a stopgap. But the Mets have better options with Heilman and Seo. They are both much younger and have shown improvement this year.
BTW, from the 7th hole, Wright's OBP loses value.
by drew on Jun 26, 2005 12:44 AM EDT up reply actions
nothing, for now
I suspect that when you hit the deadline, you're going to be sellers. In that case, I think you're trying to cash in Cameron for one of the team's needs down the line, i.e. a future C, 1B, or 2B. Which one largely depends on who the teams who want Cammy happen to have, since I don't expect there to be a large number of such teams. (Adrian Gonzalez? Kotteras? Kotchman?) Glavine can also go if anyone wants him, and being a lefty with a long and impressive postseason record, someone might. I think you keep Piazza and Looper, unless you really can get something for them that's worth more than the draft pick (more likely in the latter case.) And I keep Floyd, because otherwise you're locked into having to find a lefty hitter at LF or 1B, and that could deprive you of some attractive offseason options.
If you do hit the deadline and you're a potential buyer, that's most likely the point at which you try to trade in some of the pitching depth (Heilman, Seo, minor leaguers) for an impact player, who is very likely to be a 1B (I'd go for Overbay; Casey would be acceptable; not a fan of Sweeney.)
Of course, useless choads like Ishii and Matsui can be dealt at any time for any reason to anyone who will have them.
I don't think batting order is a big deal in general, but I think I'd want Beltran hitting 2nd just to see if it makes any difference. Cammy, Beltran, Wright, Floyd, Piazza, Daubach, Reyes, 2B. You can't send Reyes down now; the team would look ridiculous after making him the leadoff man and hyping him for the All-Star team... he could be very adversely effected psychologically... you don't have a better SS option to use instead... and honestly, the guy is not THAT bad by NL SS standards.
by dcarrano on Jun 24, 2005 12:00 PM EDT reply actions
Mets
Mets GM
PROSPECTS: Keep Milledge at High A for the season. Promote Bannister and Petit to AAA after the break. Get Humber to AA if he comes out firing in the second half. Keep Hernandez in Low A, but maybe reward him with a couple FSL starts. Don't worry about Pelfrey until instructional league.
Only move these A and B prospects in a deal for a big bat who could be around a few years, e.g. Adam Dunn.
REYES: If the Mets see him as a leadoff guy, he'll have to get the PAs there. However, he may be served by batting down in the order for a few weeks to get his head together.
RANDOLPH: It's frustrating to watch him bat utility guys, e.g. Anderson, Woodward, ahead of Wright. At times it seems Willie has gotten more out of this team than he should have, but right now it seems like he's getting less.
He's starting to get the bullpen out of it it's misshapen mess. Wouldn't Padilla make more sense than Koo? I mean, Ring has more of a future with this club than Koo. Both lefties are as likely to walk a lefty batter as to get him out.
by Mr Met on Jun 25, 2005 9:47 AM EDT reply actions
Lyle Overbay
2B is not a need - they have a half dozen good internal options there for next year.
CA will eventually be a need - I'd like to land a young guy like Kelly Shoppach, Russ Martin, Navarro, etc, for the future there, but I'd also consider offseason FA options like Kenji Johima or Roberto Hernandez. However, Piazza is doing the job for now. He's not throwing out runners, but he knows the hitters and handles the pitchers well, and provides some offense. I'm not sure I wouldn't bring him back for at least one more season.
Alot of fans overestimate their own propects, and are underestimating what it would take to get a guy like Overbay. I'd offer Bannister, Diaz, and Milledge.
I don't think it gets done for much less. I had some thought that they might have some interest in Kaz Ishii, who isn't good, and wouldn't be a major part of a deal, but he could be an inexpensive piece over the next couple of years for a low budget team, and not a bad stopgap for a rebuilding team until a younger player is ready. But now that they've added Thoma Ohka, and demoted Gary Glover, there's no way; that rotation is too good. Neither Aaron Heilman or Tom Glavine would crack that rotation.
Their bullpen is pretty sound too; but they could add one or two more arms there - Jorge DeLaRossa has great potential but probably should be honing it in AAA. And Wes Obermueller never was any good. They should lose him. Heilman would fit nice in that role, and I might part with him if it means I can keep Milledge.
I think I'd consider Heilman, Diaz, & Petit a decent offer.
Otherwise, I'd generally consider Wright, Reyes, Beltran, Floyd, Cameron, Pedro, Benson, & Zambrano core players who would generally be untouchable. You don't need to do too much to build on that successfully, just upgrade the few major underperformers (1B & 2B), and solidify the back end of the rotation (Jae Seo is a better starting pitcher right now than Glavine, Heilman, or Ishii) and you can have a contending team there.
The bullpen is continuing to come together, and I think I'd keep trying to address that mainly with young arms from the farm. But in the offseason, I might consider a run at an elite guy like B.J. Ryan. It took them long enough, but at least they've finally cleaned most of the junk out of there (DeJEan?? Aybar??).

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