ALL QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Ethier

Andre Ethier: for real or Texas league wonder? What's his ceiling?

by Doug on Jun 16, 2005 11:11 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

sort of

Sort of both...:)

No, he's good. I don't think he's a 20 homer guy in the majors. .280-.300, 15 homers. Good solid player.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Nelson, Billingsley, or Miller to trade?

Which of these players do you think is least likely to reach their potential, and why?

I don't care about timetable. I don't care about scoring categories. In a pure baseball sense, if you were going to treat one of these guys as trade bait, which one would you least mind losing in the long run?

Chris Nelson, SS, COL
Chad Billingsley, SP, LA
Greg Miller, SP, LA

by FunWithHeadlines on Jun 16, 2005 11:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

miller

hm. I think I would trade Miller because he has the highest injury risk IMO.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Rickie Weeks

Do you think he'll certainly stick in the bigs with the recent call-up? Do you see all-star games in the near future for him?

by rickieweekshof2028 on Jun 16, 2005 11:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

weeks

I think he will exceed rookie qualifications by the end of the year. All-Star games? Probably not right way, but eventually yes.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Since I'm the only one here right now . . .

Felix's walks: young power pitcher adjusting to advanced hitters, or cause for concern?

Dallas Braden: Haven't seen him pitch, is it the screwball that's accounting for his good numbers or is he more than just a trick pitcher?

by Doug on Jun 16, 2005 11:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

felix

Given his age I'm not worried about Felix, aside from the usual "as long as he doesn't get hurt" caveats.

Braden: well, it's both really. The screwball is kind of a trick pitch, isn't it? that doesnt' mean it can't be effective. If he strikes people out in Double-A/Triple-A, then there is a reasonable chance he can remain successful at the major league level.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

John Nelson

Do you think he has a shot to make the show with the Cards or is he a minor leaguer for life?

by jparks77 on Jun 16, 2005 11:14 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

nelson

I don't think he will hit enough to be a regular. Could be a utility guy. That will depend on timing and luck.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Nolan Reimold

You mentioned you liked him -- there was some discussion that he was a serious reach for the Os, but Jim Callis mentioned that he was undervalued by some scouts due to a poorly timed slump and that his stock was rising after a strong finish to his season. What's your take? What's his upside/ceiling?

by Joltin Joe Orsulak on Jun 16, 2005 11:14 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

jim

I think Jim is right. Reimold can do a lot of things well. . .power, speed, strong throwing arm.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Brandon Moss

What do you think the prospects are of Brandon reaching the major. What kind of player do you see him becoming. With the struggles he started this year with to his current offensive explosion he looks like a real nice prospect.

by jbg3004 on Jun 16, 2005 11:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

moss

Moss should hit for average and get on base. the issue is how much power he will develop and whether it would be sufficient for him to play an outfield corner. Given that he is still just 21 I think we should be optimistic about him.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Michael Hinckley

How's he looked since he returned to action? His numbers have been pretty ugly for Potomac.

Go ahead and shoot your mouth off, like it might kill the silence.

by ESiegrist on Jun 16, 2005 11:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

hinckley

I haven't heard any specific scouting information, but you're right about the numbers. His ratios are all worse than they were in his previous try at that level. I have to wonder if he is really healthy.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Matt Murton

Cooled down a bit, but then again when you're hitting .400+ not much else to do but drop.

236 AB, 26 BB, 24 K. Only has a .492 slugging percentage despite his .352 average, but the low number of strikeouts makes me think that he should translate well to higher levels.

What're you thinking on him right now? I feel like he's got as good a shot to be a consistent .300 hitter in the bigs as most everybody else.

by mrkupe on Jun 16, 2005 11:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

murton

I agree that his low strikeout rate and more walks than strikeouts are excellent signs and project well for his chance in the majors. I don't tknow if he's a consistent .300 hitter, but he should be in the .280-.300 range most years.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Best A's pitching prospect

Below AA?

by Doug on Jun 16, 2005 11:16 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

wbb

Ryan Webb? No obvious candidates that stick out. Lack of high-ceiling guys at teh lower levels may be one reason why they went wiht some power arm high school guys this year in the draft

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Scott Baker

Who is the best major league eqivalent to Scott Baker?

by Sulla on Jun 16, 2005 11:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

baker

a good comp is Brad Radke.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Dodger First Basemen

James Loney apparently has increased his power thus far this year and brought his average up on a consisent basis from his early slump, while Cory Dunlap has struggled recently. Also, Adam LaRoche has racked up 13 errors at third base in A ball, suggesting that a move to 1b might be in the offing... What's the outlook on their respective futures, both within the Dodger organization and in your opinion?

by silvysilv on Jun 16, 2005 11:19 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Andy LaRoche, sorry.

by silvysilv on Jun 16, 2005 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

loney

I don't have any current info on how these guys are viewed by the Dodgers. As for my opinion, Loney has played better lately but his numbers are still pretty lackluster. If he doesn't get them boosted by the end of the year, then I'll be concerned that all the hype was seriously misplaced. Dunlop isn't doing much at Vero Beach, but LaRoche has really hit the hell out of hte ball. Despite the errors, he is considered a good glove at third base, so I don't think a move to 1B is really a major issue right now.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Gerald Laird

Has he taken a major step forward offensively, or is this just a case of an oldish prospect who is benefitting from PCL inflation?

by Joltin Joe Orsulak on Jun 16, 2005 11:19 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

laird

A little of both. I think he's made some real progress developing his power, but I don't know how much of his batting average and OBP would carry forward to the Majors. He deserves a full opportunity however.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Kearns

He counts as a minorleaguer now right? What do you make of him? There's a new diary about this, but I want your opinion. He hasn't been the same since Ray King sat on him. Any flaws in his approch you can see?

Bob Abreu for Kevin Stocker....I'll take it-Chuck Lamar

by Tyler on Jun 16, 2005 11:19 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

kearns

I have not seen enough of Kearns to know if this is true or not, but the current words is that he is continually busted inside and hasn't been able to adjust. His swing has supposedly gotten too long, perhaps in an attempt to boost his power production. when he was in the minors, his swing was quite compact and quick, and he generated power through sheer bat speed. Apparently that has changed. Is he fixable? Given his age and his past performance, I would think that his issues can be corrected, but a change of scenery may be in order.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Edison Volquez

Could this kid shoot past Danks and Diamond as the Rnagers top pitching prospect?

by jparks77 on Jun 16, 2005 11:19 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

volquez

He's good but I dont' think he is as good as Diamond.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Troy Tulowitzki

With Tulowitzki beginning play in High-A Modesto, when do you see him making his big league debut?

by Russ on Jun 16, 2005 11:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

2006

sometime in 2006. I suppose he might get a cup-of-coffee late this year. But sometime in the second half of '06 seems more likely.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Chris Shelton

What career path do you see for him? Is Matt LeCroy a fair comparison or can he be a starting MLB 1B/DH for several years?

by woody on Jun 16, 2005 11:21 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

lecroy

Shelton may have a bit less raw power than LeCroy but possibly a slightly better OBP/BA profile. I think his career path will be similar: a fine platoon DH/1B/emergency C guy.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Markakis vs. Fiorentino (vs. Majewski?)

Which O's OF do you like the best, and why? How much has this year changed your impressions of Markakis and Fiorentino?

by Joltin Joe Orsulak on Jun 16, 2005 11:22 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

of

Can I cheat and say I like them all?

Seriously, I think you have to move Firoentino to the head of the pack given how quickly he has risen this year. Unfair to comment on Majewski given his injury.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Dutch Zimmerman

Has there been any further word on where the Nationals #4 pick is going to report? Is sending him to AA Harrisburg overreaching?

by NFA Brian on Jun 16, 2005 11:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

zimmerman

I haven't heard anything new. Double-A may be a little aggressive, but he's a pretty advanced player and throwing him directly into the fire is less of a risk than it would be for some guys.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Jackson and Rosario

After putting up some outstanding numbers (8-1, 2.88, 48 SO, 6BB, 59.1ip) at Dunedin Zach Jackson was promoted to New Hampshire where he has continued his great season (2-0, 1.35, 15 SO, 8 BB, 20.0ip). How good of a major leaguer do you see Jackson developing into? What major leaguer would you compare him to?

What are your thoughts on Francisco Rosario's season in Syracuse? He is having a pretty good year (3.81, 59so, 64h, 75.2ip) but seems to be getting hurt by walks and the long ball (26bb, 11HRs).

by Krusher55 on Jun 16, 2005 11:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

jackson

Jackson has been solid no question. A young Andy Pettitte maybe? Eric Milton with fewer gopherballs? Something like that.

Rosario according to reports has his old velocity back but is still trying to put his command together, a common problem for Tommy John guys. I'd leave him in Triple-A all season if I were the Jays, then give him a chance to earn a role next spring. Nothing would be gained by pushing him to the majors right now.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Brewers OF of the future

John, how would you rank these Brewers OF?

Anthony Gwynn
Brad Nelson
Corey Hart
Dave Krynzel
Nelson Cruz

Cruz is the oldest of the bunch, but hitting well at Huntsvile. Will he jump ahead of the trio in the PCL?

Finally, when is Gwynn's ETA?

by cranston shoemakers on Jun 16, 2005 11:24 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

OF

Gwynn: 5th outfielder.
Nelson and Hart: very disappointing lack of power production from both these guys this year. Both could be fine number 5/6 hitters based on past performance but what happened to the homers?
Kzynzel: 4th outfielder. Won't hit enough to start.
Cruz: good pop but plate discipline is a questionmark. Will have to prove himself in Triple-A before I believe in him.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

CC Hooks

John,

Could you please share your thoughts on the trio of Corpus Christi starters (Nieve/Hirsh/McLemore)to make the All-Star team, specifically lefty Mark McLemore, who took a no-hitter into the 7th in his last outing(even tho I was apparently the only one who cared judging by the diary thread)

thanks for doing this

Jason

by jrose643 on Jun 16, 2005 11:25 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

nieve

Nieve is the best of the group IMO. I also like Hirsh and McLemore. McLemore's biggest problem in the past has been lack of confidence in his stuff, but he gets into the low 90s and has more than enough movement and velocity to succeed if he trusts himself. Of the 3 I think Nieve is the best, but Hirsh and McL are certainly fine prospects.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Dan Meyer

Is Dan Meyer worth taking a risk on? What's the projection on him - better than Haren or Blanton or somewhere in between?

by cunningt on Jun 16, 2005 11:31 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

meyer

I thought Meyer could be like Zito or Mulder eventually. But he is NOT worth taking a risk on right now until we find out if his shoulder trouble is a seroius problem or not. If you have Meyer, keep him. But if you don't, I would not go out of my way to get him at this point, not until we find out of his shoulder is OK.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Ian Kinsler

What happens with him and the Rangers? Is he ready? Does Soriano get moved?

by kannc6 on Jun 16, 2005 11:31 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

kinsler

He's not ready and won't be until sometime in '06. I've heard his name in trade rumors, and he may be more likely to end up on the block than Soriano.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Jairo Garcia

The A's are rumored to be considering dealing Jairo for Joe Kennedy from Colorado. These rumors give me the feeling that Billy Beane views Jairo as just another Franklyn German. How do you view Jairo? He just another live arm with a lot of potential?

by ucd stomper on Jun 16, 2005 11:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

jairo

Good comparison. I mean, you have to respect Garcia's stuff and he could end up as a Dotel-type. But you can say that about a lot of guys. Great stuff, can his command come around? I'd be lying if I said I knew for sure and so would anyone else.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Doumit

I've read that the Pirates are going to send Doumit back to AAA after this round of interleague play is finished. I would assume that if he stays in the bigs he'll receive the Craig Wilson treatment (i.e. playing 2 games a week and not at the same position). Two part question:

Should he stay in the bigs, where he will presumably be given inconsistent playing time?
Does it make a difference to his long-term outlook if he stays up this year or goes back down?

by SamsDog on Jun 16, 2005 11:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

play

I think it is better for young players to play than to sit. So heading back to the minors would make sense to me if they can't find sufficient at-bats for him on the major league roster. Would it make a difference if he stays and sits? Probably not, but why burn up service time on a guy with great potential and not lethim plaY?

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Jeff Francouer

Will he ever become the star all the scouts say he will be?

by Ur on Jun 16, 2005 11:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

not

Not unless he gains marginal command of the strike zone. Will be disappointing if he doesn't. I'm not saying he has to be a walk machine, but he needs more patience than he currently has.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Eric Duncan

John, what are your thoughts on Eric Duncan and his struggles in AA? Is it simply a case of being young for AA, or should we not expect too much from him in the future?

by RiverCats05 on Jun 16, 2005 11:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

rushd

He's been rushed. He is equivalent to a college sophomore, so struggles in Double-A are not unusual. He is not in the B.J. Upton or Delmon Young class of prospect, so it is neither surprising nor damning that he is having problems. If he's still struggling two years from now thne I would worry.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Nationals Later Round Draft Picks (Pitchers)

Of the pitchers they have signed, what is the potential there?

Signed pitchers:
Marco Estrada rhp Long Beach State U. CA
John Lannan lhp Siena College NY
Craig Stammen rhp U. of Dayton OH
Andre Enriquez rhp Le Moyne College NY
Michael Wadkins RHP William E. Tolman HS, Pawtucket, R.I. RI
Josh Palm rhp Penn State U. PA
Ricky Shefka rhp Coastal Carolina U. SC
Coby Mavroulis RHP Texas A&M U. TX
Antonio Evangelista rhp Seminole State (Okla.) JC OK
Jeffrey Taylor RHP Missouri Southern State College MO

by NFA Brian on Jun 16, 2005 11:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

pitchers

too many to answer in this format! :)

Estrada and Shefka look like sleepers to me. The other guys I don't know enough about to comment.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Daric Barton?

Is his slow start in high-A ball cause for concern? When do you project him being called up to the big leagues?

by ucd stomper on Jun 16, 2005 11:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

no

Well, it's certainly not a good thing. But he has hit better lately and is still controlling the strike zone. As long as he does that he should come around at some point. also remember the appendicitis operation. That can sap your strenght for 6 months.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Baby Ruckles

Danny Rueckel has gained something of a following amongst Nats fans -- he threw a couple of good innings against the Orioles in spring training, and has looked pretty good in Harrisburg.

Does he have a shot at the show? How does he project in general?

by Yuda on Jun 16, 2005 11:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

mid

Middle reliever at best. Not a great prospect.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Drew vs. Upton

Who will wind up being the better D-Backs prospect: Stephen Drew or Justin Upton?

by Ur on Jun 16, 2005 11:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

upton

Upton. as a CF.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

John Jaso and Andy Sonnastine

Right now, Jaso and Sonny are overpowering the Midwest League for the Rays.

As for the questions...

Jaso is a catcher as of now with tons of power potential, do you see him staying at homeplate or do you see him turning into a 1B/DH type of player?

Sonny is one of our top pitching prospecting, sporting a phenomenal K/BB and K/9 ratio. Do you see him continuing the immaculate control and continuing to be a strikeout pitcher as he goes up in levels?

by The Rocc on Jun 16, 2005 11:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

guys

I don't know enough about Jaso to comment at this point, especially about his defense.

Sonnastine I like although he does not burn radar guns, and as a Division I college product he should be expected to do well in a-ball. we need to see what he can do in Double-A but at the least he is a sleeper based, as you point out, on his ratios and his command.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Brian Peacock

What are your thoughts of the Nationals signing of catcher Brian Peacock prior to this year's draft? Is we worth keeping on the radar?

by NFA Brian on Jun 16, 2005 11:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

comment

Don't know enough about Peacock to comment right now.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

brandon mccarthy

though his K/BB is consistent with his other minor league stops, is it time to worry about mccarthy?

by doofusme on Jun 16, 2005 11:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

hr

The home runs are the big problem. Everything else is still solid or better. He should not be rushed and I would try to keep him out of the majors until SEptember.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Murton / Sing / Pie

What are your thoughts on Matt Murton, Brandon Sing, and Felix Pie? Both have been having great season at AA West Tenn. With the Cubs OF woes, what are the odds of any of them being called up, particularly Pie?

by viewfromthebleachers on Jun 16, 2005 11:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

pie

Pie has the best tools, Murton the most polished bat, Sing the most power but the weakest defense. If hte Cubs need an OF, the guy who gets the call would depend on what exactly the cubs need. If they need a bat on the bench, then Murton or Sing would be the guy. If they need someone to pinch-run or play defnese, Pie.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Justin Maxwell

John

Thanks for taking the time to answer our questions. During the draft chat you referenced the injuries that have plagued Maxwell. Are these injuries ones that could affect his development (assuming he signs)? Or are they more the signs of Nick Johnson-like bad luck injuries?

by NFA Brian on Jun 16, 2005 11:45 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

freak

Well, Maxwell has one of those really wiry-strong bodies, the kind that can be vulnerable to nagging injuries, muscle pulls, etc. But for the most part the big injuries are kind of freaky in nature. He may never be a guy who can play 160 games for you.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Guzman vs. Stewart

Who would you rather have at the hot corner for the next 10 years -- Joel Guzman or Ian Stewart?

by Ur on Jun 16, 2005 11:50 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

guz

Guzman right now.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Non-prospects becoming prospects

Have any players really surprised you with their better than expected play this year which as a result has elevated them from a non-prospect to a prospect and someone worth keeping an eye on.

by Krusher55 on Jun 16, 2005 11:53 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

good question

That's a great question but it deserves a longer answer than I can give here. Why don't we make this something to write about next week in a larger post? Please remind me if I don't do it.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

JP Howell

How good can he be? I'm sure you think he is up WAY too early...but can he survive this year and what about long-term?

Cool Dude

by kidmikey on Jun 16, 2005 11:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

howell

If everything works right for Howell: he can be a Jimmy Key type, an excellent number two starter who lasts for a long time on the basis of his sheer instinct for pitching.

If it doesnt' work out, he could turn into Jimmy Gobble or Chris George.

A middle result would be Glendon Rusch.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Andy Sisco

Should or Will he become a starter in the longer term?

Cool Dude

by kidmikey on Jun 16, 2005 11:56 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

sisco

Well, if I were the Royals I'd leave him in the bullpen for now. I'd consider a move to starting perhaps in, oh, 2007.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Chris Ray

The Orioles just called up this RHP after going 1.10 ERA in 32 2/3 IP in AA. What do you think his chances of success are in the majors this year and beyond. Does he have the ability to step into the closer role in 2006 if the O's can't resign BJ Ryan or will he be the O's version of Jesse Crain?

by RandyKutcherHair on Jun 16, 2005 11:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

ray

Ray is a fine sleeper prospect and someone who deserves more attention. Key this year has been better breaking stuff to go with ihs fastball. He has the stuff to close if he has the confidence.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

The Next OF

John - I need a third OF in my fantasy league (Kearns and Baldelli currently) and I would like to keep an eye out for the next call up that might make an immediate impact for the rest of the year. Any suggestions of who I should watch for? Thanks!

by gator on Jun 16, 2005 11:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Delmon is already taken

by gator on Jun 16, 2005 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

OF

without knowing the specifics of how your league works and what the rest of your team looks like, I can't really give you valid advice on questions liek this. Carlos Quentin would be one name to consider.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Conor Jackson or Prince

OK, so this winter if I can draft Conor Jackson or Prince Fielder who do I take. Also, please rate Quentin vs those two.

I gotta admit, I'm really warming up to Jackson as the BB/K is sick.

I'm most interested in the impact the player will likely make in his first 3-4 years.

by natsfan2005 on Jun 16, 2005 11:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

1b

Longer term fielder will probably be better, but Jackson is excellent and will make a larger impact in the next few years.

Quentin is more of a complete player than Jackson is all things considered, and I still rate them about equal overall, but Jackson's bat has taken a major step forward this year.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

One more...Jhonny Peralta

Looks solid (with occassional defensive lapses). Is a future star?

Cool Dude

by kidmikey on Jun 16, 2005 11:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

peralta

Future star? No. Decent player with some very good seasons? Yes.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Montz and Ambres

what's your take on C Luke Montz. I saw a lot of him last year in the NYP and he looked like one othe better prospects I have seen in the last several years (other than a few week check out right after he turned 21 :( ) He is hitting for power but not average this year. The pitchers supposedly don't like throwing to him, but he has a great arm.
Is Chip Ambres suddenly gotten it together or is this a fluke half season? He has looked good when I have seen the PawSox play. He looks better than Jay Payton right now.

by cdamon on Jun 16, 2005 12:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

montz

Again, I don't know enough about Montz to comment beyond what you already mentioned about him. Ambres I know more about. He's always had outstanding tools, and the change of scenery seems to have helped him blossom. We need to see more to make sure it is not a fluke, but i would not be surprised to see him have several solid years in the show.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Chris Snelling

Chris Snelling has been tearing up AAA at Tacoma. If he stays healthy of course, what do you think his ceiling is; and do you see him getting called up this year, or the M's sitting on their thumbs until 2006?

by IggyReilly on Jun 16, 2005 12:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

snhelling

I love Snelling and he could be a consistent .300 hitter if he stays healthy. Horrible IF.

If he stays away from the doctors, we should see him in the second half. He's really a solid player, even excellent/outstanding at times, but his body is just so fragile and he plays with such aggression.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Dr. Livingston

What is your take on Bobby Livingston at AA San Antonio?

by IggyReilly on Jun 16, 2005 12:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

livingston

he knows how to pitch, but his stuff is marginal and this shows up in the low strikeout rate. My guess is that he tops out in Triple-A.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Sox questions

Two questions

Chip Ambres (Pawtucket): Legit Prospect?
I think he's gonna take over CF next year for Damon until Hanley Ramirez is ready (assuming thats where they put him). Is he the real deal or is he just having a real good year, considering his past performance is nowhere close to this.

Jarret Gardner (Greenville)
I know he was getting lit up at Wilmington, but I've fallen deeply in love with his BB/9IP and his K/BB. Cause of his age he's obviously a sleeper at best, but is it just a matter of adjusment to the competition level or does he simply not have the stuff?

by Ltrain3000 on Jun 16, 2005 12:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

ambres and alvarez

cancel the ambres question, somebody beat me too it. In, which case, how do you think Alvarez projects, considering his recent hot streak at AAA?

by Ltrain3000 on Jun 16, 2005 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Alvarez as in Abe

by Ltrain3000 on Jun 16, 2005 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

gardner

WEll, you nail it on Gardner. He's got awesome command but his stuff is probably too short for him to succeed at the highest levels. Sleeper at best

Abe Alvarez is similar to J.P. Howell, although his command is not quite as sharp. If his command improves from good to excellent, he has a chance to be a Key/Tudor type finesse lefty.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Bullington

what is wrong with Bryan Bullington, his numbers are terrible, and he doesnt seem to be throwing hard at all anymore. Is there some injury hes hiding or has he just gotten progressivly worse since his days at Ball State.

by pittsburghdog on Jun 16, 2005 12:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

bullington

I think his arm has just worn down. Pitchers often see their velocity drop a little around age 23 or so, and as they get acclimated to pro ball. In his case the velocity loss has been rather pronounced and he doesn't have enough other stuff to compensate.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

M's AAA pitching

The M's have three solidly performing pitchers at AAA (four if you count Damian Moss, but his walks are still up there - and he's Damian Moss):

Felix Hernandez
Jorge Campillo
Cha Seung Baek

Would the M's be wise to bring all three of these guys up to prepare for 2006, or do you think any of them needs more time at AAA?

by IggyReilly on Jun 16, 2005 12:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

guys

I'd promote Campillo first since he is the oldest IIRC. I'd move Baek and Felix up in September but not before. Felix needs better command and Baek is Baek, erratic.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Mike Morse

What do you think about Seattles newly called up SS Mike Morse?? Could he stick there?? Any chance he has a little bit of A-Rod or Ripken in him (big tall guys that played a good ss)?? He hit his first ML HR last night and is now batting .395 (I know, I know small sample size).

Also with the recent catching woes that the M's have had is there any chance that Jeff Clement could go straight to the majors (ala John Olerud), or at least burn through AA and AAA and be a contender for the starting role by next years spring training (I think Jeff could do it, but the M's FO is too pansy to ever let it happen)? Also what about Ryan Christianson (former 1st round pick), why hasn't he gotten a chance, but the 21 year old AA catcher Rivera has? Which reminds me is Rivera's .421 average just the mirage of a .250 hitter getting hot for a small sample size, or is he a real prospect??

Go M's!

by OBF on Jun 16, 2005 12:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

morse

THe few times I have seen Morse, he has looked awful. He never hit much before last year, and I can't say I really believe in him, but I could be wrong.

Clement in the Show in '06? That's probably a bit fast. His bat should be ready quickly but he may need some additional defensive work. I'd say '07. Rivera small sample.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

2 quick questions

Josh Sharpless (Altoona): Fringe prospect or decent chance of major league success down the road? After 27 scoreless earned innings (1 uer) in Lynchberg (7h/11bb/46k), he has thrown 2 shutout innings for Altoona.

Also, which Giants prospects in A ball (Ishikawa, Timpner, Schierholtz, Martinez-Esteve of note) do you see making the jump to AA Norwich this year?

by SPW26yankees on Jun 16, 2005 12:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

sharpless

sharpless is a legit prospect, he throws hard and if his command remains strong he will be a big surprise. watch him.

Martinez-Esteve has the most advanced bat of the Giants group I think, most ready for Double-A, but defensive questions are the issue there. The other guys I would not rush, but they haven't asked me! :)

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

anthony reyes

went on the dl again with a sore shoulder --- 3d yr in a row. will he ever be healthy enough to become a useful big leaguer?

viva el birdos www.vivaelbirdos.com

by lboros on Jun 16, 2005 12:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

ontiveros

Remember a 80s/90s pitcher named Steve Ontiveros? Good stuff, good command, pitched extremely well at times but was constantly injured? I think taht is the future for Reyes.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Rank these

My mid-year Scorehseet draft comes up soon. How woudl you rank these availables? Primarily long-term, but some weight on how soon they get to the bigs. Yes, park effects should be accounted for.

SS J Upton
SS S Drew
1B J Loney
P G Miller (LA)
P L Hochevar
P C James
P R Hill

by TomHanrahan on Jun 16, 2005 12:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

draft

Upton, Drew, Hochevar, James, Hill, Miller, Loney.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

luke hochevar

Labled as the most polish pitcher entering the draft, does hochevar have front
line ace material in the majors? How does he compare to the top 3 college
pitchers that were drafted last year in verlander, niemann and humber? Does his
frame have enough projection to where he can add a couple more mph to his
fastball to have it sit between 93-95 instead of the 90-92 right now? If the
dodgers can sign him by the winter, can it be reasonable to expect that they
might start hochevar off at AA jacksonville since the dodgers have had a
history of challenging thier pitching prospects under the logan white era as
scouting director?

by npurcell on Jun 16, 2005 12:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

hochevar

Hochevar has the stuff and command to be a number one starter, yes. Take Verlander's stuff and Humber's command and you have what Hochevar coudl be. Yes, he would likely start in Double-a once he signs. Projection? Yes, I can see a bit more velocity otu of him but he already throws pretty hard.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

thanks john!

i am going to win my argument with canuck now :)

by npurcell on Jun 16, 2005 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Jonathan Barratt

Can I get your opinion on Jonathan Barratt? He's not posting as impressive numbers as he did last year. But what do you feel his ceiling is, and do you think he can be a starter long term?

Also, your feelings about Nick Adenhart. When should we expect him to make his pro debut? What kind of pitches does he throw? And what kind of impact can he make on a big league club?

by cincyinco on Jun 16, 2005 12:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

ad

Adenhart it all depends on how he comes back from Tommy John. Way too early to answer those questions about him.

Barratt is just 20 and since he's such a short guy there have always been concerns that he was undersized. He probably fits better as a middle reliever down the road.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Joel Zumaya

What do you think of Zumaya as a pitching prospect?

He has very good overall numbers and reportedly has high 90's heat. At 20 in AA I think he has been impressive. I would have to think that his prospect status is on the rise.

by VtTigers on Jun 16, 2005 12:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

zumaya

With Z it is all about command. If he throws strikes, he can dominate. If he doesnt' he walks himself into trouble. He's made progress certainly but I don't think he will be ready to help until sometime next year.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Jamie Vermilyea

Not much has been said about Vermilyea in the prospect rings, but the guy is young and has dominated every level he has been at including AA. At what point do the Blue Jays promote him to Syracuse and how long do they have to make the decision on whether to have him pursue starting or relieving (Which he has stated that he prefers)? What is his major league future?

by SPW26yankees on Jun 16, 2005 12:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

vermilyea

I've rated him as a sleeper prospect since his college days at New Mexico. He probably slots best as a long reliever/spot starter to avoid overexposure, but his command is outstanding and he has just enough stuff to survive. yes he has a major league future as long as he maintains his strong command.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Rajai Davis

He looks like hes having a solid season in AA Altona so far. How long untill we can see him in a Pittsburgh uniform and who do you think is a good comparison to him.

by pittsburghdog on Jun 16, 2005 12:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

tike

The obvious comp is something like Tike Redman/Tom Goodwin. I think davis will slot best as a fourth outfielder/legs on the bench. We should see him late this year or in '06.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Papelbon, Lester and Sanchez

What is your view on the development track of these Red Sox pitchers? Should Papelbon (.190 BAA, 2.20 ERA, 65/18 K/BB in 69.2 innings) be promoted to AAA in your view?

In general, what is the right time to promote someone who is dominating a league - 200 ABs for a hitter and 60-70 innings (10-12 starts) for a pitcher?

by amfox1 on Jun 16, 2005 12:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

skjk

I think Sanchez is the best guy but Lester and Papelbon are fine as well. Papelbon will be ready the quickest. I would be willing to promote Papelbon to triple-a on July 1st.

IF a guy is dominating a league, and by dominating I don't just mean a pretty ERA, I mean excellent K/BB, K/IP, and H/IP marks, I think 12 starts is a good time.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Grant Johnson

What is the word on Cubs 04 2nd rounder, Grant Johnson and what kind of prospect he can be?

by jonpyardi on Jun 16, 2005 12:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

johnson

Good stuff, still needs to show his labrum/shoulder problem is not a long-term hindrance. May also be some issues with his command down the line. My guess is that he may be better suited to relief work than starting.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Neighborgall

What is your take on Diamondbacks 3rd round selection Jason Neighborgall? Historically, can you recall a player with his potential and lack of control ever "finding it" after being drafted?

by jonpyardi on Jun 16, 2005 12:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

jason

Well, I'd say there is about a 10% chance of him emerging as a Dibble-like relief dominator, about a 20% chance of him being something like Todd Van Poppel, and about a 70% chance of him having no success at all.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

By the way, it appears your time stamp is wrong

10 minutes fast -- obviously important so my Questions get answered!!!!

by jonpyardi on Jun 16, 2005 12:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Manny Delcarmen

What is your view of his ceiling. He has been dominating over the last six weeks.

Post 4/27 - 16G, 26.1IP, 17H, 4ER, 37/8 K/BB

by amfox1 on Jun 16, 2005 12:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

delcarmen

yes, his command seems to have come around lately. nice K/BB and K/IP! The emergence of other Red Sox pitching prospects could help him in the sense that there is less pressure on him to be a prospect savior and more time for him to get his command together and overcome any final effects from his injury. Ceiling: number two starter or a closer. Liklihood: number three starter or solid long reliever.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Jackson and Quentin

Can Quenting play centerfield at all because he's really blocked on the corner outfield spots?
Also what are the D-Backs waiting for with Jackson. It seems quite clear he can outperform Chad Tracy right now. Offer Tracy to the Mets who are begging for a first baseman and call up Jackson immediately. Love both of these guys and am anxious to see them both in the majors soon.

by eastin on Jun 16, 2005 12:37 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

quentin

I don't think Quentin runs well enough to play CF on a regular basis. He has a strong arm and he runs well for a big guy, but in the long term he would definitely be stretched in center. A corner would be better.

I don't know what the delay is on Jackson other than roster-clogging. He's ready now if they can find him the At-bats.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

NO MORE QUESTIONS

NO MORE QUESTIONS. I have to cut this off so I have time to answer the others! Thanks for all the great questions, guys.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 12:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Thanks John!

Big thanks for a great AQA

by jonpyardi on Jun 16, 2005 1:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

thanks

Thanks, guys! I have to run some errands now, but I will be back with more material for you late this afternoon, and I will answer the pre-questions at that time.

by John Sickels on Jun 16, 2005 1:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Thanks

I love these thing. Great work!!!

Bob Abreu for Kevin Stocker....I'll take it-Chuck Lamar

by Tyler on Jun 16, 2005 1:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

More thanks

That was a lot of fun, John. Thanks for the forum and for the answers!

by Joltin Joe Orsulak on Jun 16, 2005 2:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Travis Ishikawa

Any opinion on Ishikawa, John?

by theoldbreed on Jun 16, 2005 3:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Thanks John

Great work on answering all the questions!

by VtTigers on Jun 16, 2005 4:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Stewart vs. LaRoche

John, hi! Love the site, please keep up your great work. What the heck is wrong with Ian Stewart? He's been back long enough from his hamstring injury that I thought he'd be hitting by now. The high K rate is troubling. Who's the better 3B prospect, Ian Stewart or Andy LaRoche? Also, how does the California League compare to the Florida State League from a hitters perspective?

by JakeFree on Jun 16, 2005 5:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

dang I was at work

no one talked about Gallagher :(

by Ienpw on Jun 16, 2005 8:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Gaby Hernandez

He has looked really impressive as one of the youngest players in the South Atlantic League. What do you see as his upside and when could the Mets realistically expect him to reach the majors (if they do not trade him first!)

by mtk52983 on Jun 16, 2005 9:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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