San Francisco Giants Top 20 Prospects List

Merkin Valdez Learning About the Major Leagues
- Matt Cain, RHP, A-
- Merkin Valdez, RHP, B+
- Eddy Martinez-Esteve, OF, B
- David Aardsma, RHP, B
- Nate Schierholtz, 3B-OF, B
- Craig Whitaker, RHP, B
- Fred Lewis, OF, B-
- Alfredo Simon, RHP, B-
- Patrick Misch, LHP, B-
- John Bowker, OF, B-
- Marcus Sanders, 2B, B-
- Billy Sadler, RHP, C+
- Todd Linden, OF, C+
- Clay Timpner, OF, C+
- Travis Ishikawa, 1B, C
- Justin Knoedler, C, C
- Justin Hedrick, RHP, C
- Brian Burres, LHP, C
- Jonathan Sanchez, LHP, C
- Scott Munter, RHP, C
I like Fred Lewis, but I want to see how his bat holds up outside of the California League before pushing him higher than B-.
Scouts love Travis Ishikawa, and this is reflected in his consistently high ratings by Baseball America. He did show more power last year, but he struck out 126 times in 113 games, and his overall production has yet to live up to his hype. His career numbers: .251 average, .356 OBP, .393 SLG. His best attribute is age: he is 21 years old and still has plenty of development time ahead of him. He has the most raw talent of any of the Grade C guys, and some people think he is about to break out, but at this point I think he is overrated, as first base prospects go. He could certainly prove me wrong.
I'm not a big Brad Hennessey fan, due to his poor K/BB and K/IP ratios.
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47 comments
Comments
Go Dodgers
I always thought that Brian Sabean was a little overrated as GM in that while he orchestrates good deadline deals and makes some good signings (Matheny and Alou were good deals), the Giants as a whole do not seem to draft well. Is this correct or am I just being a Dodger fan?
As a side note - based on your discussion a couple days ago - I just found out that I am going to Vero Beach for Spring Training for my first time.
by count sutton on Feb 21, 2005 12:50 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Billingsly, Jackson, Cain, Valdez
by Roger on Feb 21, 2005 11:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Ortmeier
by Roger on Feb 21, 2005 12:52 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
whitaker
by Bobo2 on Feb 21, 2005 12:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Hitting the Wall
Please, please tell me that the Giants finally have enough hitting prospects in their system that 2 or 3 will eventually contribute to the major league team.
by DrBGiantsfan on Feb 21, 2005 1:27 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
linden
by John Sickels on Feb 21, 2005 2:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Pat Misch vs Alfredo Simon
by DrBGiantsfan on Feb 21, 2005 1:33 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: Whitaker
He has 76 professional innings, none at a full season level. In those 76 innings, he's walked 47 batters and thrown 15 wild pitches. His command has a long, long ways to go before he's going to be effective against good hitters. It might get there, it might not. But he doesn't have the best mechanics in the world and his stuff isn't good enough to overcome poor command.
If he threw 98 with a hammer curve, I could maybe see him as a Grade B based on potential. But, realistically, I just don't see it, unless every first round pick in the past two years who hasn't blown out their arm yet gets a similar grade.
I also think Esteve is a bit too high. Combine his awful defense in left field with a torn labrum and you're looking at a future first baseman. The bat has promise, but he hasn't shown enough to be ranked that highly if he's going to have no defensive value and play the easiest position on the field.
by david cameron on Feb 21, 2005 1:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
whitaker
by John Sickels on Feb 21, 2005 2:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Stats
by AaronMullen on Feb 21, 2005 5:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
whitaker
If he threw harder maybe he'd deserve more of a consideration despite his walk rates and wild pitches.
by Bobo2 on Feb 21, 2005 6:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
well
OHso-Linden is an intiguing prospect- his average went in the dumper last year in the second half, but he also hit 18 home runs over that span- basically, he doubled his power performance, which is what he had to do if he expects to be be a starting corner OF some day. What he needs to do now is couple this power with a two strike approach that achieves the BA he had in his first year- and there is some question as to whether he is coachable enough to turn this corner, or to develop the patience to take a walk more often. Still, all the ingredients are there to make a nice player.
I'm surprised by Ortmeir's absence too- I gave him a Mulligan for last year because he looked fantastic before his injury- he should have stayed on the DL for another 3 weeks at least, but the team was short handed so... if he had taken a proper recovery time, his stats would have been much more robust.
Count Sutton- with the exception of 98 when he was relatively inexperienced, Sabean actually has drafted fairly well. It is somewhat masked by 1)Never having a top of the draft pick 2)The prediliction to draft pitchers rather than position players, which makes the system look fairly weak 3) The tendency to use prospects to reload more often than some and 4) the tendency to give away pics almost every year on FA signings.
John- I too have an element of "show me" for Lewis, but I've had the opportunity to watch him bout 20 times in the last two years, and the improvement has been remarkable, as the raw talent has been educated.
I think your Hennessey comments are extremely off base. He had a two year layoff with those back tumors and the location/speed of his FB and the bite on his plus slider were still only about 80-90% of pre condition last season. When his FB location is back, and he needs location on the 92-93 FB to set up the slider, I think you'll see the ratios plummet.
You are either going to be very wrong about Ishikawa or very right, and it's too early to tell. His development was also masked a bit from being through that rather toxic enviroment at Hagerstown as well as the rookie team issue,so I want to see what he looks like playing a whole year in SJ before making any judgments.
by ProspectHound on Feb 21, 2005 1:42 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
hennessey
Ortmeier...yes, the injuries are an issue for him too. But he turns 24 in May and struck out more than once per game. I think he's a Grade C right now...you could slot him there somewhere.
by John Sickels on Feb 21, 2005 2:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Linden
I saw alot of Lewis and Ishikawa (and others) in Hagerstown. For Lewis, I was amazed and encouraged by the improvement he showed last year in SJ. He just so often looked in Hagerstown like an incredibly talented guy who was picking this game up for the first time. That he could bat 300 and have an OBP over 400 a year later in the Cal League is fantastic. I also wish Ishikawa well -- he puts on Bonds like performances in BP. It's just jaw-dropping the power he can display. But he gets in games and way too often seems to be passive and thinking himself into oblivion (the hitting version of Estes). I hope he figures out the balance between patience and agressiveness because he's got one pretty LH power stroke.
by Roger on Feb 21, 2005 2:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Split stats
by natsfan2005 on Feb 21, 2005 2:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Splits
by Roger on Feb 21, 2005 2:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Linden
by DrBGiantsfan on Feb 21, 2005 3:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
CNN/SI
by Grant on Feb 21, 2005 3:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Marcus Sanders
by eastin on Feb 21, 2005 1:43 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I would...
by Grant on Feb 21, 2005 2:43 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Ishikawa
I'm a believer, though.
by Grant on Feb 21, 2005 2:50 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
good point
by John Sickels on Feb 21, 2005 3:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cain
by AaronMullen on Feb 21, 2005 3:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Dude
by ohad on Feb 21, 2005 3:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cain
by AaronMullen on Feb 21, 2005 3:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
cain
by John Sickels on Feb 21, 2005 3:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cain
Plus, it's kind of mind boggling to think that a 19 year old will have an impact on a major league team.
by ohad on Feb 22, 2005 6:54 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cain
by AaronMullen on Feb 22, 2005 8:00 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You're right
by ohad on Feb 22, 2005 9:52 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cain
by Roger on Feb 21, 2005 3:15 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Realistically
by ohad on Feb 21, 2005 3:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Timpner makes the list
by UCFKnights on Feb 21, 2005 5:28 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
giants and cain
Expect Cain to be called up real soon this year if he can have respectful numbers to start off the season in the minors.
by Bobo2 on Feb 21, 2005 6:07 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Hedrick
by ProspectHound on Feb 21, 2005 7:05 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
What went wrong?
by ucd stomper on Feb 21, 2005 7:12 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Big 3
And Jerome Williams likes to eat.
by jte87 on Feb 21, 2005 7:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
foppert
As for the hopes of Giants fans....well, that's what happens with young pitchers.
by John Sickels on Feb 21, 2005 8:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Foppert/Ainsworth
by MikeE on Feb 21, 2005 8:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Big Three
Look for Williams to have a breakout year this year. His stats so far are right there with the other W's from 2003, Willis and Webb.
Don't write off Foppert yet. Many pitchers come back from TJ stronger than ever.
I think Noah Lowry makes a nice substitute for Ainsworth, don't you?
We're not finished yet, with Matt Cain, and Merkin Valdez waiting in the wings. If you are looking for a real sleeper to keep your eyes out for, go with Pat Misch.
So, the Giants may not only have a big 3, they may have their own homegrown big 5 in a couple of years. Williams, Lowry, Foppert, Cain, and Valdez.
by DrBGiantsfan on Feb 21, 2005 8:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Lowry
by ucd stomper on Feb 21, 2005 10:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Big 3 hype
Williams not doing that well? You need to look at the facts first. He had a great 3.30 ERA in his initial season, 21 starts, and in his second season when he was admittedly overweight (speaking of Blanton, Blanton looks like a bloated Ponson, if that is possible) and out of shape - which he corrected this off-season - AND he had elbow problems, he had a 4.25 ERA, which is not bad. His WHIP both seasons were below 1.30 (1.26 and 1.29, respectively), which he has kept low all through the minors, with walks going down his second season but much higher HR rate accounting for about half his rise in ERA. His maturity as a pitcher (beyond his years) has always been praised by most analysts I've read and he's going to be entering into only his 23rd age season. If Sandy Koufax was around today and starting his career, you'd be flogging the Dodgers for keeping him around this failed, over-hyped prospect.
Foppert, in recent interviews, have finally admitted that he lied about his arm problems the whole season until his injury. Everyone was saying in 2003 that they noticed his velocity had dropped but he denied it then when in reality he was gutting out each game until his arm couldn't take it anymore. If he can regain the mid-90's velocity that made everyone rave about his abilities before the injury, he should be back on track. From all reports, it sounds like he has recovered physically but hasn't gotten the speed up there yet but he's already ahead of the time table for "Tommy John" surgery. Again, he is still very young, he starts the season as 24 years of age (he turns 25 mid-season). So there is still time for him to do something good to great.
What I've noticed is that hype on any prospect is already something you need to take with a grain of salt no matter who it is coming up because anything could derail them before they reach the majors and even when they reach it, injuries seem to be a huge problem as well as the league learning about you. Watching the Giants prospects over the years builds up an immunity to hype because many of them fizzled by the time they got up. The A's are no better with their first hyped Big Rotation (Van Poppel, Conroy?, etc.) or even more recently, how about Eric Hinske, he's not looking so great for Toronto anymore, is he? (Mike Caruso is our version of that) Look at the Dodgers with Jackson and Miller, they were hyped even more than any of the Giants prospects have been, and the former has fizzled so far and the latter has been injured.
Lastly, 4 years? Obviously you haven't been following this closely else you would have known that Foppert was not heralded as a prospect until mid to late 2002 season. He was one of Sabean's many unheralded top draft picks (a converted pitcher in only his 2nd year of pitching for a little known baseball college?)and didn't get the big hype for making the majors until the off-season prior to the 2003 season. He literally leapt to the top of the charts from nothing in one season. So he has only been hyped about 2.5 seasons ago.
by biasedgiantsfanatic on Feb 24, 2005 1:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hype on prospects
by biasedgiantsfanatic on Feb 24, 2005 1:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Fred Lewis
I really liked the way he played last season. I'm more of a stat guy than a scout guy, but he looks like a ballplayer. Didn't really blow me away on defense in center though.
Was at a game last season where the bat flew out of his hands and landed about 10 feet to the left of where we were and broke some old lady's arm. That sucked.
by jte87 on Feb 21, 2005 8:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
EM-E
by MikeE on Feb 21, 2005 8:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
EM-E
Incidentally, the H/R splits are still available on CNNSI if you hardcode the year in the URL, even if the L/R aren't...
by Der Komminsksar on Feb 21, 2005 11:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
CNN/SI L/R splits
If you want MLB splits, I have found ESPN and Yahoo to be good places to get L/R and a multitude of other great splits.
by biasedgiantsfanatic on Feb 24, 2005 2:10 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
replying to previous comment
by Isisaston on Dec 9, 2006 8:11 AM EST reply actions 0 recs










