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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

ROCCO BALDELLI and others....

I am really curious about him as to what his future holds.  Can he continue to gradually improve as he had been doing prior to this injury filled 2005 season?  In his first full major league season in 2003, he hit 11 homeruns with 89 runs, 78 rbis, and had 27 stolen bases along with .289 average and a .326 OBP. He had 30 BBs compared to 128k's.  In his second big league season, he hit 16 homeruns, scored 79 runs, had 74 rbis, 17 stolen bases, .280 average with a .326 OBP.  He also had 30 BBs with 88 k's...all this coming in about a 100 less at bats than 03.  I think I saw somewhere, that he was BA's prospect of the year at least once, maybe twice.  So he has quite the pedigree.  

But this past year, he has suffered from numerous injuries.  What does the future hold for him, next year and beyond (he still is only 24 years old)?  Will he be able to continue his progression.  Will his speed be sapped from him due to injury or will he maybe one day be able to become a possible 25-25 man?  What will the Drays do with him?

And on a fantasy note, between Alex Gordon and
Billy Butler...who is going to be the better overall hitter?  I am assuming Gordon will play 3B and Butler will play OF.  I personally think that Gordon will be a little less of a hitter than Butler but safer.  What do you guys all think?

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I think you're right
I personally think that Gordon will be a little less of a hitter than Butler but safer.  What do you guys all think?

Butler's got the higher upside, but he's the riskier player.

by Sulla on Oct 23, 2005 1:05 AM EDT reply actions  

Rocco
I'm not a fan of Rocco's. I see a guy who doesn't hit RHP and didn't show improvement from one year to the next to shore up that weakness.

OPS vs RHP:

  1. .719
  2. .709
Rocco's overall #s were dragged up by a .930 OPS vs LHP. But alot of batters can mash vs LHP. Hell, Benji Molina had an OPS > 1.000 against southpaws. But for an OF to play everyday in my lineup he can't be an machine vs RHP. Rocco must improve dramatically or he's an eventual platoon player.

Also, Rocco's batting average is heavily driven up by infield singles. That might be OK for a hitter that hits leadoff or 7-8-9 but Rocco is advertised as supposedly being more than that. He doesn't have the OBP to bat leadoff and RBI men don't have their game built around the infield single.

According to BP, in 2004 Rocco had 99 singles of which 34% were infield singles. That would rank 4th for all players with 30+ singles.

He's coming off knee surgery. Atleast initially that will likely impact his speed. Rocco may take a step back as he must shed the rustiness and cope with not having the same speed he used to beat out so many infield singles in the past.

"If you don't like Torey Lovullo, then you don't like baseball." Sparky Anderson

by natsfan2005 @ Minor League Ball on Oct 23, 2005 5:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Knee
His knee is fine.  It will have been a year and a half since his surgery when ST rolls around.  He's been timed and hasn't lossed any of his speed.

As for your assesment, it's fair, however he still has signifigant upside and can develop into a star.  Will he, I'm not sure he will, but, it's possible.

Chuck Lamar, you're fired- Stuart Sternburg

by Tyler on Oct 23, 2005 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah...
What Tyler said...

by The Rocc on Oct 23, 2005 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

butler vs. gordon
you really can't go wrong between these two guys, especially if you only consider hitting.

it's amazing to look at what butler's accomplished, and he's only 19. if they can find a place for him to play, then he will probably mash.

gordon is the most polished hitting prospect from the 2005 draft, and i think he's destined to be a star. he does literally everything well, and there are some (including john) who think he'll be a big-time hitter, like .300+ with 30-35 home runs at his peak.

personally i think that any "upside" advantage that butler may have over gordon is very small. is it at all far-fetched to suggest that gordon could be the next mark teixeira? maybe with slightly less raw power, but he's more likely to stick at 3B.

it'll be fun to watch both of these guys at wichita next year.

by jpahk on Oct 23, 2005 11:25 AM EDT reply actions  

Gordon
Gordon will offer power and speed.  He was 35-40 in SB attempts over his last 2 years at Nebraska.  If it's a fantasy question, Gordon will be the more valuable player, at least for the first few years of each player's careers.

by jhelfgott @ Minor League Ball on Oct 23, 2005 1:31 PM EDT reply actions  

3b
Can either play 3b, or will both become 1b/dh types?  If Gordon is as good as Teahen at 3b then it looks like he will be a star.  If Butler is league average defensively at 1b then he will also be a star.  If only KC could get players up the middle to compliment Dejesus.

by LindInMoskva on Oct 23, 2005 1:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Gordon
can plan 3B and projects well defensively (from what I have heard).  The Royals are currently trying Butler in LF.  With Huber and Sweeney at 1B/DH, they wanted Butler elsewhere.

by count sutton on Oct 24, 2005 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gordon
has the tools to stick at 3B.  Butler, not so much.

by jhelfgott @ Minor League Ball on Oct 23, 2005 2:05 PM EDT reply actions  

but when
in all actuality, neither should be up til '07...but is there any chance we'll se a cup of coffee for either of them in '06? (or maybe more?)...or will the royals go the way of the d-rays and limit butler and gordon's major league service time until they think they can actually contend, condemning them to the minors for way too long?

by Rob Castellano on Oct 23, 2005 9:53 PM EDT reply actions  

bulter and gordon
butler = right-handed texiera

gordon = left-handed david wright

will bat 3-4 in the kc lineup for years. could  become one of the best hitting combo's in the league by 2008.

by werdnadogg on Oct 23, 2005 10:40 PM EDT reply actions  

old player skills
John was just talking about old player skills.. does Butler fall into this category?  ... i was all set to say Billy B is a tad better, but if he cant run or field, maybe not? .. if the old player skill theory is correct, is it not even close?

by ufo on Oct 24, 2005 12:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Old vs Young
The old-player vs. young-player skills question is used mostly to project how a player will age.  I haven't seen Butler play, so I don't know if he's slow enough to be classified as having old player skills.

The original question was about fantasy, though, and Gordon's track record suggests there's a good chance that he'll steal at least 10-15 bases a year his first few years in the majors.  If the consensus is that Butler has slightly more power potential (which I don't necessarily agree with), then I think that's offset by Gordon's speed, as long as you're playing in a league that rewards SBs.  Butler didn't attempt a SB this year, though he was 5-for-5 in 2004.  My guess is that he won't run much, if at all, in the majors.

by jhelfgott @ Minor League Ball on Oct 24, 2005 12:33 AM EDT reply actions  

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